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JerryModerator
A degree of certainty with Ryanair from Cardiff?
"The one thing that is always certain about Ryanair announcements is that if they happen, they're almost impossible to second guess!
If there is an imminent announcement incoming, I'd make my guess, in decreasing likelihood...
1. Lauda route to PMI.
2. Ryanair route to bucket and spade destination.
3. Ryanair Dublin route.
4. Other Ryanair route.
5. Malta Air route - FCO.
6. Buzz route.
1. This one has been rumoured to be on its way for a little while now. PMI is usually CWL's best seasonal route, so it seems logical this would be high up the pecking order for expansion. Since Lauda have recently announced Bournemouth- PMI, CWL would be on par with this. Announcement of Lauda on this route would be a heavy duty nail into Vueling's coffin at Cardiff.
2. As mentioned above by Jerry above, a highly likely route would be Alicante, which is another route similar to FR's offering at CWL already. This again, would be problematic for Vueling.
3. This may seem like an unlikely option given Flybe's up to 3x daily schedule, however this route does have its merits. The type of customers a Ryanair route would attract, and did when it operated, are high volume mutual tourism between the two cities, something the Welsh Gov is keen to increase. Flybe's route is more attractive to business and connecting passengers for Aer Lingus to America. Following Mrs Bowen-Rees's recent comments on CWL's targeting of a transatlantic route, I don't know how much value the airport would place on a Dublin connection diluting these passengers anyway, especially when KLM from AMS is in this market too. From FR's perspective, an early DUB arrival could easily operate their entire current CWL schedule with a later return to DUB. This could continue the successful TFS route as well without the cost of basing at CWL."......
Easyjet rumours from Bristol...?
"I will be very surprised if something is not announced in the next couple of weeks or so. Seems a bit daft to buy slots if you're not going to use them. I don't know how much BRS slots would have cost as they are only scarce in the 2300-0700 period in summer, or if easyJet would be expected to give them up if they don't use them. The report in the local paper a week or so ago contained strong hints from easyJet that something was in the offing. The linked report mentions easyJet's belief that more people want holidays outside the 'traditional' seven or 14-day periods. TUI said much the same thing with its announced summer 2020 programme from a number of airports where some sun routes have been given additional flights on other days of the week to provide a more flexible product for customers.".....
Easyjet profits down
Easyjet profits down...
"Todays full years results from Easyjet show profits down 26% year on year, accept in line with city forecasts but not good and camouflaged by the Holiday company news. No mention of German losses, but blame Brexit. If I remember Monarch placed an order for new airlines, in July 2018, Condor looking to buy new wide body aircraft. Buying new aircraft not a sign of financial strength. This is an extract from a briefing note I have received today on Easyjet 2019 figures, not sure I am allowed to publish in full "we don't think the group is out of the woods yet". The report question nearly every future prediction the company made in their report and lets say the report is cautious on the hopes for the new travel business.".....
Cardiff Qatar Doha stats breakdown...
"In what was a relatively easy exercise thanks to Jerry's monthly breakdowns in the CAA stats thread, I thought I'd have a quick add up and see what the rolling total for the past year has been on the Doha route. Just out of curiosity.
Nov 2018 - 5221
Dec 2018 - 6449
Jan 2019 - 6641
Feb 2019 - 5435
March 2019 - 6106
April 2019 - 7884
May 2019 - 4997
June 2019 - 6077
July 2019 - 10558
August 2019 - 11714
September 2019 - 9030
October 2019 - 7387
That would give a rolling year total on the route to the end of October of 87,472. Hopefully by the two year anniversary of the route we will be looking at a total comfortably into the 90's.
It's strange how poorly May has performed for both years it has been in operation.".....
Downloadable copy of the BHX winter timetable 2019-2020
"Find attached my compiled timetable for Winter 2019-20. all subject to change, missing charter flights not included are TUI to Sharm El Sheikh, Titan santa flights to Ivalo, Freebird Sunday charters to Dubrovnik, and as of yet no schedule for the expected return of Turkmenistan. enjoy!"......
Bristol Airport expansion delayed
"North Somerset Council's planning committee won't now hold a hearing into the airport's current expansion plan application until next year, but no date has yet been set. The application was submiited last December. Given the make-up of the elected membership of the council it seems highly likely that they will reject the application which could then lead to an airport appeal to the planning Inspectorate. It that course of action was taken it might be 18 months from now at the earliest before a planning inspector made a final decision. Not a good prospect for the airport if someone like Jet 2 was looking to base a number of aircraft there from 2021 as almost certainly that would take the annual passenger numbers close to or through the 10 mppa current planning limit."......
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