Pax Levels BHX Vs MAN in 2023
  • 2023: BHX 11,479k / MAN 28,078k (40.9%)
Emirates Pax Levels BHX Vs MAN for the last 10 years.
  • 2023: BHX 591k / MAN 1,049k (56.3%)
  • 2022: BHX 481k / MAN 765k (62.9%)
  • 2021: BHX 108k / MAN 207k (52.2%)
  • 2020: BHX 195k / MAN 319k (61.1%)
  • 2019: BHX 702k / MAN 1,002k (70.1%)
  • 2018: BHX 710k / MAN 1,000k (71.1%)
  • 2017: BHX 744k / MAN 990k (75.1%)
  • 2016: BHX 704k / MAN 932k (75.5%)
  • 2015: BHX 610k / MAN 861k (70.8%)
If you count Oct 2023 - Oct 2024 BHX is 41.8% of MAN total figure which is an improvement.
 
Our numbers would be higher if we had 2x A380 or a third daily flight.

The third daily flight probably won't be back any time soon, I'm sure they had their reasons. Might take a bit longer for things to recover before they bring back the second A380.
 
I do not know whether the statistic is still relevant but a few years ago, a reliable contributor (User001 I believe), said that of EK’s European routes, the lowest yields were KBP, NCL followed by BHX. I have no idea why that should be, whether it was correct nor how it might have changed since then. If I recall, it was a discussion about why First was not offered from BHX.
 
I have heard that the evening flight may go A350, but if yield is the issue out of BHX, I suspect a decrease would mean sacking the A380 off as the A359 has a more premium heavy config.
 
Pax Levels BHX Vs MAN in 2023
  • 2023: BHX 11,479k / MAN 28,078k (40.9%)
Emirates Pax Levels BHX Vs MAN for the last 10 years.
  • 2023: BHX 591k / MAN 1,049k (56.3%)
  • 2022: BHX 481k / MAN 765k (62.9%)
  • 2021: BHX 108k / MAN 207k (52.2%)
  • 2020: BHX 195k / MAN 319k (61.1%)
  • 2019: BHX 702k / MAN 1,002k (70.1%)
  • 2018: BHX 710k / MAN 1,000k (71.1%)
  • 2017: BHX 744k / MAN 990k (75.1%)
  • 2016: BHX 704k / MAN 932k (75.5%)
  • 2015: BHX 610k / MAN 861k (70.8%)

I suppose what these stats show are the following:

  • Even though at the end of 2023 BHX was only 40.9% the size of MAN, we have 56.3% the amount of EK Pax suggesting we are punching above our weight with regard to MAN in the amount of EK Pax.
  • Even now - and even once 2024 has ended i suspect - EK are carrying less pax from BHX than they did in 2015. Between 2015-2017 EK has a near monopoly at BHX as did everything they could to fight off QRs arrival in 2016... in 2023, the landscape is VERY different!
  • In 2023, MAN had its highest EK pax Levels, yet BHX was still 20% lower than its peak.
The reality is that MAN and BHX are very different airports. EK is not up against much bigger and stronger QR/TK/SV/AI which were not such a big worry from BHX in 2017

i was just about to upload a graph showing EK pax at BHX comapred to other carriers but the forum states "ive reached my maximum number of allowed atachements/images".... has anyone else experience this?
 
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Our numbers would be higher if we had 2x A380 or a third daily flight.

The third daily flight probably won't be back any time soon, I'm sure they had their reasons. Might take a bit longer for things to recover before they bring back the second A380.
Our numbers will not be higher with another A380, it will cause more money to operate the service than the profit coming out of it will be, Evening service isn’t as popular

I have heard that the evening flight may go A350, but if yield is the issue out of BHX, I suspect a decrease would mean sacking the A380 off as the A359 has a more premium heavy config.
Sacking the A380 off for a something that’s comparable to the 777-200LR is a bit strange, there was a reason they Readded A380 back to BHX
 
I'm really not sure why we have constant comparisons to MAN when they are two completely different airports in two completely different places (not just geographically) 🤷‍♂️

Can Birmingham do better, undoubtedly so in my opinion but considering half it's catchment area has very easy access to one of the worlds busiest and most well connected airports I think it's doing okay.

Growth will happen when the market dictates. The last thing we want is over capacity driving yields through the floor and ending up worse than before.

'Slow and steady will win the race'.
 
i was just about to upload a graph showing EK pax at BHX comapred to other carriers but the forum states "ive reached my maximum number of allowed atachements/images".... has anyone else experience this?
 
i was just about to upload a graph showing EK pax at BHX comapred to other carriers but the forum states "ive reached my maximum number of allowed atachements/images".... has anyone else experience this?

I think there is a limit to the amount of images allowed so you may have to delete one of two of your older ones.
 
That’s the most frustrating thing about this forum

The forum costs a lot of money to maintain. Image hosting comes at a cost. The forum has thousands of images stored. If you want to pay for extra storage for your own images visit the help pages where you can find subscription details.
 
Thanks for the update guys... didn't even know subscribing was an option for more attachments, happy to look into it...

Anyway, looking at all the schedules airlines flying east to their respective connector hubs out of BHX, its clear to see what is happening here and why EK doesnt appear to dominate at BHX like it used to...

These figures show the month of August for each year from 2015 to 2024. i will do another one for annual figures once we get the 2024 totals in as August my have some specific impacts on specific airlines.

What the graph shows is as follows:
  • In 2024, we are now back at 2018/19 levels of Pax flying east out of BHX and a little behind the peak in 2016/17 which is great to see.
  • Pre-pandemic, EK presented between 56-65% of the BHX market travelling east, in 2024, this dropped to just 47% of the market
  • Pre-pandemic, EK was key, and when up against pretty low value airlines like PI/T5, EK would clearly win out. QR was new to the market and TK still never managed to make in to 14x weekly.
  • Post-pandemic, PI and T5 have been replaced with SV and PC, much better and respected airlines which significantly better service.
  • Post-pandemic, QR is a much more well known airline in the UK and likely the reason they have exceeded their pre-pandemic levels at BHX even with the same capacity. Similarly, TKs presence is significantly better and pax loads are up 36% compared to pre-pandemic
In short, EK is up against much more compelling and high quality competition than it was previously from BHX and they will need to up the game if they are to regain market share at BHX. I wold be shocked if QR/SV dont increase capacity over the next 12 months making them even stronger competition against EK. Be interesting to see how EK responds!EK pax.jpg
 

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