Had the UK remained in the EU I assume we would have been under the control of the EU regulators who seem to have been slow in their vaccine approval process, hence the poor rollout rate across much of Europe.Domestic production is no guarantee of anything I am afraid. The Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine is made in Belgium, and most of the work to develop it was done in Germany. Yet the UK has bought and deployed more of this vaccine than both of those two countries put together by several orders of magnitude.
The AZ vaccine is the one the EU has ordered the most of, yet as of last week the regulator (EMA) had not even started the approval process.
The vaccination is the one thing that the UK does seem to be doing very well, there any many things during the pandemic where we don't seem to have done so well compared to our near neighbours.
Had the UK remained in the EU I assume we would have been under the control of the EU regulators who seem to have been slow in their vaccine approval process, hence the poor rollout rate across much of Europe.
Incidentally, China where it all started reckons it has had 4,635 virus deaths which works out at three per one million population. Back to the stats reliability discussion again?
China essentially did a very strict lockdown (stricter even than ours was last March) for several months which basically meant there was no domestic transmission of the virus. International borders have been either closed or strictly regulated since meaning no imported cases.
I doubt the 'public' figures for China are 100% truthful, but they are certainly closer to the New Zealand end of the scale than the UK end!
,You are quite right of course and I agree with every word you say. However, how many folk take ant sets of stats presented to them as gospel. This is the problem. The media and assorted politicians realise this and are quite happy to publish and repeatedly publish any set of stats they can get their hands on and however dodgy the stats people still believe them. I really do give up on how easily the public are taken in by such figures.As do journalists and those in my field of interest, the Law. I have tried and failed to distinguish Facts and Evidence as two domains never to meet on the same field of play. Statistics are a plaything for anyone with the skills of manipulation but I contend that they cannot be held in evidence due to the variable nature of the subject. One can submit them but proof is often harder to secure. An interesting post from airforced to whom I offer thanks!
In most areas they haven't finished group 2 yet, let alone beginning group 3 or group 4.
I think part of the problem is the rate tat which producers are able to supply the vaccine. In the UK each batch apparently has to be tested by the MHRA before approval can be given, a process that can take up to nearly three weeks, which can be another source of delay. Complaints about delayed supply (for various reasons) are becoming quite common around the 'developed' world.You might be forgiven for thinking that Government could match procurement of supply to patient numbers in NHS systems but this assuming those tasked to the job are intelligent and are proficient rather than blanket promises to the BBC and others under pressure from journalists. For me, the take up rate is the number to watch, how many refusals as a percentage of offers of vaccination and what the media do with such information.
The World Health Organisation stated today that it is concerned that wealthy countries are buying up supplies of vaccine to the detriment of the less wealthy ones which, says the WHO, will prolong the pandemic around the world.
There seems to be some expert opinion that the vaccine protection (albeit not expected to be 100% of course) might only last for 5-9 months with the possibility of boosters being given as next winter approaches, at least to the more vulnerable groups along the lines of the annual flu vaccine.It's no secret that the UK (and many other developed countries) have bought enough vaccines to vaccinated everyone multiple times, so once everyone is this country has been vaccinated there will be left over supplies. By the end of the year, when most of the developed world is largely vaccinated, it wouldn't surprise me if countries donate some of their supply to those poorer countries that have had limited access to vaccines.