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  1. TM3

    Road, Rail & Access

    Thanks, it's useful to get the input of someone with your experience in the industry. Whether the name of the airport can be changed or not, the main thrust of my point was the naming of the HS2 station at BHX/NEC. People appear to be referring to as either Birmingham Interchange or Solihull...
  2. TM3

    Road, Rail & Access

    I don't agree that for that specific route most passengers are flying via the gulf. I think many if not most already drive to LHR for direct connections to Japan, other more convenient and direct connections exist from BHX via AMS, CDG, FRA, MUC, IST, ZRH and VIE right now. I'm really talking...
  3. TM3

    Road, Rail & Access

    I think Southend has potential to develop routes out of London, but at the moment doesn't have the portfolio to compete with Stansted or Luton but it is restricted by runway length such that limit's it's ability to accomodate a variety of aircraft. London - Oxford got a lot of critism in the...
  4. TM3

    Road, Rail & Access

    By way of note, this discussion started on the MAN thread, so it maybe useful to check there to get an idea of the discussion that has already taken place. In essence the point made was that Manchester would prefer to be seen as a completely distinct location in the UK and that people there...
  5. TM3

    Archive Route Development & Rumours

    BHX is 1hr and 5 minutes from London Euston with a 2 minute people carrier transit from the station to the terminal. When HS2 arrives it will be 37 minutes. For context it takes 45 minutes to get to Heathrow from Euston at least, Google says 53 minutes, plus you can spend a lot of time...
  6. TM3

    Archive Route Development & Rumours

    Why not?
  7. TM3

    Archive Route Development & Rumours

    @David_itl I agree on your point about existing carriers, I feel that all the carriers out there will ultimately gravitate towards their hub cities. In this respect all UK cities (outside of London) are in the same boat. However whilst a proliferation of different carriers is good for...
  8. TM3

    Route Development & Rumours

    I think your point regarding cargo is an important one as typically on these forums people talk about passenger numbers, which only tells half the story. Taiwanese EVA Air's (as owned by Evergreen logistics which you commonly see on shipping containers) business model is to make 50% of their...
  9. TM3

    Route Development & Rumours

    I'm going to be contraversial here but given that just about any location can be reached by a small widebody now, plus the fact that the A321XLR can reach pretty much all of the US, is it worth the cost of adapting the runway to deal with it?
  10. TM3

    Archive Route Development & Rumours

    The original point still has merit though if what you say is true demand does appear to be maxxed out at MAN right now for US destinations, partly because Aer Lingus have stepped in to fill available demand. For any expansion at JFK at least Virgin will now have to compete with IAG/Aer Lingus...
  11. TM3

    Archive Route Development & Rumours

    Not sure what your point is, obviously LHR slots are now being filled by ex-Gatwick planes and Virgin are now only one frame short of their pre-COVID restructure. Plus there are now less seats out of MAN overall than pre-COVID with apparently no plans to go daily on JFK or ATL. Do you have any...
  12. TM3

    Archive Route Development & Rumours

    I accept there are variations over the year and picking more data might give a different figure but your test seems to concur with mine that tickets are cheaper on MAN-BKK that BHX-BKK as a significiant proportion of customers will pick the absolute cheapest fares on the route. A significant...
  13. TM3

    Archive Route Development & Rumours

    Virgin have enough flexibility in their fleet to put another aircraft at MAN if they want to. They also have discretion as to which aircraft the take when and which they let go. They can also co-ordinate with Delta to have them service routes if they want to (like they do at Edinburgh and...
  14. TM3

    Archive Route Development & Rumours

    Virgin do have other aircraft though, it's just they think they can earn more money elsewhere. Maybe they are happy for Aer Lingus to continue to grow but it appears they have fallen back considerably from the bold claims they were making in 2017 to turm Manchester into a hub in the north.
  15. TM3

    Archive Route Development & Rumours

    I think MAN is maxed out right now for US flights. Despite all the hype Virgin haven't got enough traction there for daily JFKs or daily ATLs. If their operations there are all about PAX an not cargo really they need to look at some narrowbody options to consolidate. Aer Lingus seem to be...
  16. TM3

    Archive Route Development & Rumours

    Well it is the route rumours thread..... I'm not making a prediction either way I'm just pointing out at Nobby63 said that no airport has a "device right" to serve any particular airline. And there are still some very solid reasons for a BKK service at BHX, it doesn't need to be Thai as access...
  17. TM3

    Archive Route Development & Rumours

    I'd like to pick you up on these figures. Anna Aero used to get these figures from Skyscanner searches and this is not a measure of demand as such. I much prefer the earlier stat you used about the number of passengers annual travelling from MAN to BKK. Do you have a comparible figure for...
  18. TM3

    Route Development & Rumours

    OK, not quite the same, but I get some travel agents and tour companies do build their product around the (partially true) assumption that all UK passengers can be funnelled through a London connection. Maybe I read it wrong but I was really commenting on the Australia/NZ itinerary with Qatar...
  19. TM3

    Archive Route Development & Rumours

    I don't get the assertion that people won't travel to get a flight to Birmingham, when they do travel from Birmingham to get flights from LHR and MAN. Can you qualify that one with an explanation please? Essentially every overlapping area within both airports' cachement areas should be up for...
  20. TM3

    Archive Route Development & Rumours

    What is your expertise?
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