Manchester: CAA Provisional Statistics Update

  • Thread starter Thread starter Aviador
  • Start date Start date
  • Tagged users Tagged users None
Use this prefix for new threads for Manchester Airport
Quickly, I assume we are confident of comfortably passing 25.5m for 2016?
 
I am confident yes.

Interestingly, the DfT predictions of 2013 stated that it would be 2020 before we hit 25m, so looks like we beat the model.
 
Well, the models have not been in point for many airports across the UK... Let's just hope a downturn doesn't knock MAN back down to the model's level!
 
CAA stats for October are now out. I am away until Sunday however, with any luck, I may have managed to process my data offline in preparation for posting on my return.
 
I generally don't look at the CAA statistics too much and am unsure where to find them but could anyone tell me the LF's of the Tel Aviv route for Monarch and EasyJet? It would be greatly appreciated and I would love to see how such a route is doing. Thanks in advance.
 
I generally don't look at the CAA statistics too much and am unsure where to find them but could anyone tell me the LF's of the Tel Aviv route for Monarch and EasyJet? It would be greatly appreciated and I would love to see how such a route is doing. Thanks in advance.

Sorry but I can't help when it comes to load factors. Hopefully Land23R might be able to assist.
 
My apologies for the formatting of some of the columns

Manchester Statistics - October 2016 (Part 1)


Destinations that are either new (no passengers since my records started in January 2005), or have not been served for a number of years - if the latter then the month and year of the last service is shown.

Beijing - Worth noting as a still 'new' service with 7564 passengers.
Bolshoye Savino - This Russian city appeared for the first time with a total of 66 charter passengers.
Prestwick - 33 charter passengers


Manchester Statistics - October 2016 (Part 2)

Top 25 destinations - by passenger numbers

AMSTERDAM..................................... 86,874
ALICANTE........................................... 84,338
DUBLIN.............................................. 84,203
TENERIFE (SURREINA SOFIA)............. 78,729
PALMA............................................... 78,574
DUBAI................................................. 76,105
MALAGA............................................. 74,698
HEATHROW........................................ 58,123
FARO................................................... 56,860
PARIS (CHARLES DE GAULLE).............. 51,593
ORLANDO........................................... 51,189
BARCELONA........................................ 47,375
ARRECIFE............................................ 45,770
NEW YORK (JF KENNEDY)................... 34,807
PAPHOS.............................................. 33,145
ABU DHABI INTERNATIONAL.............. 32,421
FRANKFURT MAIN.............................. 30,894
LAS PALMAS....................................... 30,069
DALAMAN.......................................... 29,818
COPENHAGEN.................................... 29,560
DOHA................................................. 27,130
MUNICH............................................. 26,892
FUERTEVENTURA............................... 26,068
BELFAST CITY..................................... 24,768
IBIZA.................................................. 24,282

CAA provisional statistics for October are missing a large number of domestic destinations.

These file will be updated when available.


Manchester Statistics - October 2016 (Part 3)

Top 25 destinations with highest percentage increase.

Destination......................................Total Pax....Schedule Pax....Charter Pax....Percentage change
KARACHI.......................................... 177............... 177...................... 0...................... 331.707317
BREMEN......................................... 2921............. 2921..................... 0...................... 321.500722
MIKONOS........................................ 672............... 672...................... 0...................... 275.418994
MILAN (MALPENSA)..................... 15582........... 15582..................... 0....................... 215.169903
SKIATHOS...................................... 1162................ 982.................. 180..................... 141.580042
BERLIN (SCHONEFELD)................ 22371............ 22371..................... 0....................... 138.904314
ISLAMABAD................................. 22658............ 22658..................... 0....................... 122.551812
TEL AVIV........................................ 6249.............. 6249..................... 0....................... 117.356522
ROME (FIUMICINO)..................... 19193............ 18007................ 1186.................. 112.147673
PULA............................................... 344................ 155................... 189....................... 84.946237
SALONIKA..................................... 4630............... 4105................... 525...................... 80.930051
FUNCHAL...................................... 12333............. 8996............... 3337.................... 73.581985
PREVEZA...................................... 4562............. 3013............... 1549.................... 67.351431
LAS PALMAS.................................30069............ 22184.............. 7885.................... 59.898963
KRAKOW...................................... 7377............. 7377.................... 0........................... 58.440771
GIBRALTAR.................................. 7915............. 7915.................... 0........................... 57.355865
JERSEY........................................ 5133............. 5133.................... 0............................ 49.43231
BARCELONA................................ 47375........... 46040.............. 1335...................... 47.982133
ILHA DO SOL C.VERDE................ 3149............. 1715............... 1434...................... 46.806527
VALENCIA................................... 4595............. 4595..................... 0............................ 46.151399
BASEL MULHOUSE....................... 9518............. 9518..................... 0............................ 41.342441
BURGAS...................................... 404................... 0.................. 404......... ........................41.258741
SPLIT.......................................... 2096............. 1558.................. 538........................ 39.269103
CORFU........................................ 17493........... 13301................ 4192....................... 39.26439
ALICANTE.................................... 84338........... 76845................. 7493....................... 38.109586

CAA provisional statistics for October are missing a large number of domestic destinations.

These file will be updated when available.


Manchester Statistics - October 2016 (Part 4)

Figures for the European and long haul destinations that I consider to be the main points for our connecting traffic.

Foreign_airport……..Total_pax……..Total sched pax……Total charter pax……..% change
VIENNA……………………..9173……………..9173……………………0………………………………..+29.837226
BRUSSELS………………..16087……………16087……………………0………………………………..-8.948381
BEIJING……………………..7565……………..7564…………………..0………………………………….0.00
PRAGUE…………………..13892……………13892……………………0………………………………..+34.612403
COPENHAGEN………….29560…………..29560……………………0………………………………..+12.442466
HELSINKI…………………….8893…………….8893……………………0….……….……………………+3.611791
PARIS (CDG)………………51593………….51593……….……………0…..…………………………..+34.792037
DUSSELDORF……………17196…………..17196……………………2…...…………………………..+6.39114
FRANKFURT MAIN……30894………….30894……………………0………………………………….-2.815439
MUNICH……………………26892………….26525…………………..387……………………………..-4.196651
HONG KONG…………….10462………….10462…………………..0………………………………….+3.369232
KEFLAVIK………………….13199………….13199……………………0………………………………….+20.351965
DUBLIN…………………….84203………….84203…………………..0…...…………………………..+10.27975
MILAN (MALPENSA)….15582………….15582…………………..0…………………………………+215.1699
ROME (FIUMICINO)….18007..………..18007………………..1186…………………………..+112.14767
AMSTERDAM…………… 86874………….86874.………………….0…….………………………....+17.564111
ISLAMABAD………………22658..………..22658………………….0………………………………….+122.55181
LISBON……………………..18601………….18344….……………..257..………………..…………+0.955224
DOHA……………………….27130………….27130…………………..0………………………………….+14.92354
JEDDAH……………………..3834…………….3834…………………..0….……………………………..-20.67039
SINGAPORE……………….6910…………….6910….……………….0………………………………….-10.36451
MADRID…………………..13755…………..13755………………….0………………………………….+20.026178
STOCKHOLM (ARN)….13403…………..13403……………….0………………………………….+33.11153
GENEVA……………………14077…………..14077…….…………….0……………………………......+9.039504
ZURICH……………………...8713…………….8713………………….0………………………………….-2.232944
ABU DHABI……………….32421…………..32431………………….0…………………………………-13.35917
DUBAI……………………….76105…………..76105…………………0…………………………………+4.409324
ATLANTA…………………..13549………….13549………………….0………………………………..-13.35917
CHICAGO…………………….8662……………8662………………….0…………………………………-13.50974
NEW YORK (JFK)…………34807………….34807…………………0…………………………………+24.244155
NEW YORK (NEWARK)..9098…………….9098…………………0…………………………………-6.552999
PHILADELPHIA…………..11415………….11415…………………0………………………………..+0.705779
HEATHROW……………….58123…………..58123……………….0………………………………..-4.12701

I have added 5 American cities to the connecting points, plus Beijing.

CAA provisional statistics for October are missing a large number of domestic destinations.

These file will be updated when available.


Manchester Statistics - September 2016 (Part 5)

Comparison of top 25 destinations - October 2006 versus October 2016

Foreign airport.............................Oct-06...............Oct-16
AMSTERDAM..................................... 51,912..................86,874
ALICANTE.......................................... 73,033..................84,338
DUBLIN.............................................. 60,024..................84,203
TENERIFE (SURREINA SOFIA)............. 85,806..................78,729
PALMA............................................... 85,263..................78,574
DUBAI................................................ 32,777.................76,105
MALAGA............................................. 74,001.................74,698
HEATHROW........................................ 88,033..................58,123
FARO................................................. 50,312.................56,860
PARIS (CHARLES DE GAULLE)............. 37,224.................51,593
ORLANDO........................................... 25,465................51,189
BARCELONA........................................ 11,274.................47,375
ARRECIFE............................................ 42,836................45,770
NEW YORK (JF KENNEDY)................... 19,997.................34,807
PAPHOS.............................................. 42,521.................33,145
ABU DHABI INTERNATIONAL................ 8,437..................32,421
FRANKFURT MAIN.............................. 30,056.................30,894
LAS PALMAS...................................... 30,988.................30,069
DALAMAN.......................................... 42,808.................29,818
COPENHAGEN.................................... 21,164.................29,560
DOHA.................................................12,515.................27,130
MUNICH............................................. 14,654.................26,892
FUERTEVENTURA................................ 21,330.................26,068
BELFAST CITY..................................... 22,784..................24,768
IBIZA................................................. 20,163..................24,282

CAA provisional statistics for October are missing a large number of domestic destinations.

These files will be updated when available.
 
Last edited:
Some LFs for some of the US routes in Oct. with some 'ifs and buts' I'm afraid.
No of flights for US carriers based on data in TAS magazine (TCX not included)

JFK: If TCX operated 6 x weekly all Oct. and if AA & DL used only B763s, I reckon the LF was approx. 82%.
AA flew 60 sectors and DL 54. Obviously LF would be higher if these assumptions incorrect.

ORD: 72% based on 58 sectors and a B763.

PHL: 75.5% with 60 sectors. (nice to see a small increase)

EWR: 86.8% with full 62 sectors.

IAD: 73.5% with 42 sectors.

ATL: 82.2% assuming flights on all 31 days.

MIA: 76.7% if flight ops 2 x weekly all month.

LAX: 70.4% if 2 x weekly all month.

The last 2 in particular I found disappointing, although if the flights were ceasing at the end of the month, then a fall off in outbound pax towards the end of the month might be expected. Did either or both operate in November?

If I haven't already done so, I'll post a few of the non-US routes tomorrow.
 
Should hopefully hear the 2016 annual total next week. Should be well past 25.5m.

I wonder what the predictions are for the strongest growth in 2017 (all things being equal).
 
A poster on pprune is quoting Nov. stats for Newcastle with percentages by routes. I can only see October still on the CAA web site. Can anyone get November's and if MAN is reported, could they give me a link please?
Thanks.
 
Posters have quoted CAA provisional statistics for November, for other airports, but up to 5 mins ago, they was only October on the CAA site.
 
I checked just in case they meant October, but for NCL Dubai was reported in Nov. as down 2%, whereas Oct. was -5%.

T'is a mystery where they are getting the figures from.
 

There are fewer services remember.

If there is a similar seat allocation split between MAN/IAH as there was MAN/MUC you would expect the overall figure to reduce by 5/7th.

Who knows, let's see how it does over the next few months. Houston looks very poor.
 
Assuming there were 20 services, I have done a quick calculation and worked out (roughly) and it may be wrong, considering I am new to this!:

Overall capacity offered on MAN-SIN, MAN-IAH: 5280

Pax on MAN-SIN: 4758, Load factor of approx. 90%
Pax on MAN-IAH: 2320, Load factor of approx. 43%

As I say, it may be wrong but that is what I got for the 4 class 77W on a five weekly basis. I think starting a US route in Nov from MAN is brave so hopefully it should do better this year.

If we assume similar numbers for when the A359 operates the LFs could look more like:
MAN-SIN: approx. 94%
MAN-IAH: approx. 46%

I am sure Scottie Dog and David_ITL will provide more accurate info.
 

Remove Advertisements

Subscribe to help support your favourite forum and in return we'll remove all our advertisements. Your contribution will help to pay for things like site maintenance, domain name renewals and annual server charges.



Forums4aiports
Subscribe

Heads Up!

For some weird reason, my days off work tend to involve being out of my flat by 5am and not getting back until 10pm. Back to work and the regular "fix" of 7.40am to 7.15pm hours
Heatwave Mk2 next week?
Some explosive weather build-ups currently in the North of England. What is it like where you are?
LBA: B737-300 G-GDFK empty down to Paris at 16:15 to operate the return LS268 back to Leeds 20:00 ETA where it will then operate the delayed LS265 to Malaga 20:40ETD
LBA: Albastar B737-800 EC-MUB positioning in tommorow afternoon from Gatwick 15:45 to operate a charter to Lourdes/Tarbes on Friday afternoon 14:00 AP7721 STC

Trending Hashtags

Advertisement

Back
Top Bottom
  AdBlock Detected
Sure, ad-blocking software does a great job at blocking ads, but it also blocks some useful and important features of our website. For the best possible site experience please take a moment to disable your AdBlocker.