Ike Thomas Cooks daily Seattle services out of Heathtow saw that launch MAN services? Cathay weren't number 1 for MAN-hub-HKG but Emirates was. As for routes, MAN has comfortably more than LHR.
I think Jerry's point was that Heathrow 'proved' there was demand from the UK to Seattle. If Heathrow didn't have a regular service to Seattle - a destination that isn't a typical long haul leisure destination (e.g. Caribbean, Vegas, Phuket) - would Thomas Cook have launched a service from Manchester?
Yes MAN has more routes than Heathrow - a lot to very leisure/holiday oriented destinations that are priced out of Heathrow.
I don't mean this to be offensive but are there any long haul destinations that MAN serves that LHR doesn't that aren't typical long haul leisure destination (e.g. Caribbean, Vegas, Phuket) - I'm asking as I genuinely don't know.
But there are plenty of other connecting hubs to choose from. And that just doesn't apply to MAN. The implied claim that LHR is the only show in town is misleading in my view. LHR isn't the only option if flying to Africa or South America. And I think even Davies admitted that the number of new long haul destinations from a R3 wouldn't be substantial.
You are correct - there is absolutely no need for anyone withing MAN's catchment to connect through LHR, yet passengers still do. It would be naive to suggest that that won't continue if LHR expands. Of course LHR isn't the only option, but they are trying to position themselves as the best option for passengers.
I think in these LHR vs MAN discussions its always best to draw comparisons between the two. I don't mean to antagonize anyone, but there seems to be a general resentment about passengers in MAN's catchment connecting through LHR or when LHR claim its the 'only' way to connect the regions to the world. Flip things around and I know I'm not alone when I say there are posters on here that use the exact same arguments LHR use but instead in relation to MAN being the best/only way to connect northern cities to the world. To highlight this how about a little game of would you rather:
Would you rather:
Passengers from MAN's catchment fly: MAN-LHR-Tokyo or MAN-PEK/HKG-Tokyo
and compare that to, would you rather:
Passengers from Leeds' catchment fly: MAN-SIN or LBA-AMS-SIN