Manchester: CAA Provisional Statistics Update

[Land23R]

Thanks Dobbo. The comparatives for Feb'16 don't appear I notice.

 

[Dobbo]

Thanks Dobbo. The comparatives for Feb'16 don't appear I notice.

Yes, we could probably compare elements manually but it's a lot of work!!

 

[Scottie Dog]

Very true about the missing comparatives. If I was at home I could have sent you them but as said previously I'm away at the moment.

 

[Land23R]

The Feb'16 figures are there back in the 2016 reports so are accessible. Just a few percentage changes to calculate!

 

[Land23R]

I agree Dobbo's and David's average loads for SQ, CX and HU
The LFs and percentage changes from Feb'16 for some non-US long haul I reckon are:

CX 92.4% up 2.0%
HU 71.8%
EK 87.8% up 2.7%
EY 88.7% down 9.1%
QR 82.2% up 11.0%
SV 67.6% up 30.5%

Based on HU being all A333
EK being 2 x daily with 3 class and 1 x daily 2 class
EY being 1 x B773 daily and 1 x A332 daily.

From the TAS magazine, it would appeat all scheduled flights operated.
Remember, Feb'16 was a leap year so an extra day. The percentage changes are therefore better than shown - at least for daily flights.

 

[User001]

For EY, I believe there were a few B777-300ER thrown on the afternoon flight also?

As for CX, 92% in March, that's pretty damned impressive, no wonder they are going up to daily!

 

[ethanegcc]

Cathay Pacific are doing brilliantly at Manchester. 92% load factor is amazing - I think Hong Kong is possibly our most prestigious and successful route at the moment. Could someone work out how that would be with:

-5x weekly 359 and
-daily 359

few B777-300ER thrown on the afternoon flight also?

Yes, I believe there were.

Also, do we have any load factors for SQ to SIN and the US flights?

 

[Scottie Dog]

Manchester Statistics - February 2017 (Part 1)

Please remember that 2016 was a leap-year and therefore a small reduction in passengers may be expected due to the loss of 1 day in comparative figures.

Destinations that are either new (no passengers since my records started in January 2005), or have not been served for a number of years - if the latter then the month and year of the last service is shown.

St Etienne - 2,402 passengers. This was a 'one-off' for football supports.

In the absence of much data for this section I have provided a review of the performance for the domestic destinations served from Manchester, comparing February 2017 with the same month in 2016:

Aberdeen - +1.0114%
Belfast City - +3.9198%
Belfast International - +0.7926%
Bournemouth - -94.035%
Edinburgh - -24.748%
Exeter - -1.756%
Glasgow - -35.309%
Guernsey - +2.5224%
Heathrow - -4.6282%
Inverness - -5.5044%
Isle of Man - +2.0116%
Jersey - -51.932%
Newquay - -9.8817%
Norwich - +5.3077%
Southampton - +32.934%


Manchester Statistics - February 2017 (Part 2)

Top 25 destinations - by passenger numbers

DUBAI................................................ 81,066
DUBLIN.............................................. 78,793
AMSTERDAM..................................... 75,212
TENERIFE (SURREINA SOFIA)............. 68,760
HEATHROW....................................... 54,278
ALICANTE.......................................... 48,722
PARIS (CHARLES DE GAULLE)............ 45,786
MALAGA............................................ 36,458
ABU DHABI........................................ 33,671
GENEVA............................................. 33,510
ARRICIFE............................................ 31,152
MUNICH............................................ 27,419
DOHA................................................ 26,729
FRANKFURT....................................... 26,444
COPENHAGEN................................... 23,971
BARCELONA....................................... 23,523
BELFAST INTERNATIONAL.................. 22,254
BERLIN (SCHONEFELD)....................... 22,209
LAS PALMAS...................................... 21,833
BRIDGETOWN.................................... 21,559
KEFLAVIK............................................ 20,892
BELFAST CITY...................................... 20,732
FUERTAVENTURA............................... 20,145
HAMBURG.......................................... 18,892
DUSSELDORF...................................... 18,187

CAA statistics for February are provisional.

Manchester Statistics - February 2017 (Part 3)

Top 25 destinations with highest percentage increase.

Destination......................................Total Pax....Schedule Pax....Charter Pax....Percentage change
NUREMBURG................................. 7,747................ 7,747....................... 0.................... 1324.10
KARACHI............................................ 214................... 214....................... 0.................... 355.32
TOULOUSE...................................... 4,834................ 3,466................ 1,368................... 240.9
MILAN (MALPENSA)..................... 11,321.............. 11,321....................... 0................... 154.06
KRAKOW....................................... 10,917.............. 10,917....................... 0................... 134.47
HAMBURG.................................... 18,892.............. 18,892....................... 0.................... 102.44
BERLIN (SCHONEFELD)................. 22,209.............. 22,209....................... 0.................... 97.589
DUBROVNIK...................................... 769....................... 0.................... 769.................... 94,192
GOA................................................ 9,009............... 6,937.................. 2,069................... 83,496
LYON............................................... 7,256............... 5,362................. 1,894.................... 82.449
PALMA............................................ 7,999............... 7,999........................ 0.................... 80.442
SANTA CRUZ DE LA PALMA............. 2,635..................... 0.................. 2,635.................... 80.109
TEL AVIV.......................................... 5,121.............. 5,121......................... 0.................... 71.961
GATWICK.............................................. 61.................... 0........................ 61.................... 69.444
ISLAMABAD................................... 16,477............ 16,477........................ 0..................... 60.595
ATHENS........................................... 5,953............... 5,953....................... 0...................... 57.57
GIBRALTAR...................................... 7,057............... 7,057....................... 0...................... 56.197
KITTILA............................................ 1,967..................... 0................. 1,967...................... 55.864
MONTEGO BAY............................... 6,988...................... 0................. 6,988..................... 51,223
TURIN.............................................. 9,037.............. 5,478................. 3,559..................... 48.855
PAPHOS......................................... 12,096.............. 8,389................. 3,707..................... 47.333
KUSSAMO........................................ 1,308..................... 0................ 1,308...................... 43.421
FUNCHAL......................................... 9,645.............. 6,817................ 2,828...................... 42.551
LAHORE........................................... 4,033.............. 4,033....................... 0...................... 42.308
ALICANTE....................................... 48,722............ 42,979................ 5,743...................... 38.152

CAA statistics for February are provisional.


Manchester Statistics - February 2017 (Part 4)

Figures for the European and long haul destinations that I consider to be the main points for our connecting traffic.

Foreign_airport……..Total_Pax 2016……..Total Pax 2017……% change
VIENNA……………………. 5,653……….…………….. 5,945……………….. +5.165399
BRUSSELS………………. 17,133……………………. 16,431……………….. -4.097356
BEIJING………………………….. 0………………….…… 6,711.………………. +100
PRAGUE…………………. 10,859……………………. 12,950…….…………. +19.255917
COPENHAGEN……….. 23,943……………………. 23,971………………… +0.116944
HELSINKI………………….. 7,310…………….……….. 7,588…………………+3.803010
PARIS (CDG)……………. 40,013……………………. 45,786…………….... +14.427811
DUSSELDORF………….. 14,828………..…………. 18,187……………….. +22.653089
FRANKFURT MAIN….. 28,597……………………. 26,444….……………. -7.528762
MUNICH…………………. 28,968..…………………. 27,419…………………. -5.34728
HONG KONG…………….. 9,862……………………. 10,056……………….. +1.96715
KEFLAVIK………………… 19,120……………………. 20,892………………… +9.26778
DUBLIN…………………… 79,460……………………. 78,793………….…….. -0.83942
MILAN (MALPENSA)…. 4,456……………………..11,321………………… +154.06194
ROME (FIUMICINO)…. 6,705..…………………….. 7,261………………… +8.29232
AMSTERDAM…………. 74,575…………………….. 75,212.…………….... +0.85417
ISLAMABAD……………. 10,260..…………………… 16,477……………….. +60.59454
LISBON…………………… 13,483……………………… 15,430………..………. +14.44041
DOHA……………………… 24,075…………………….. 26,729………………… +11.02388
JEDDAH……………………. 6,180……………………….. 8,538………………… +30.46926
SINGAPORE……………… 9,252……………………….. 6,584………………….. -28.83701
MADRID…………………. 11,981…………………….. 11,878………………….. -0.85969
STOCKHOLM (ARN)… 11,224…………………….. 13,879………………….. +23,65467
GENEVA…………………. 25,747…………………….. 33,510….………......... +30.15109
ZURICH………………….. 12,631……………………… 11,564………………….. -8.44747
ABU DHABI…………….. 36,829…………………….. 33,671…..……………… -8.57476
DUBAI…………………….. 78,918…………………….. 81,066………………….. +2.72181
ATLANTA………………….. 9,727…………………….. 10,335…………………… +6.25064
CHICAGO * ..……………………. 0……………………………… 0…………………… +-0.00
HOUSTON………………………… 0………………………. 3,542…………………… +0.00
NEW YORK (JFK)……… 15,118………………………. 5,122……………………. -66.11986
NEW YORK (NEWARK). 8,543………………………. 8,312……………………. -2.70397
PHILADELPHIA………….. 7,058………………………. 7,703…………..……….. +9.13857
HEATHROW…………….. 56,912……………………. 54,278…………………….. -4.62820

* Chicago was not served this month.

CAA statistics for February are provisional.


Manchester Statistics - February 2017 (Part 5)

Comparison of top 25 destinations - February 2007 versus February 2017

Foreign airport.............................Feb-07...............Feb-17
HEATHROW....................................... 77,747.................. 54,278
TENERIFE (SURREINA SOFIA)............. 56,447.................. 68,760
DUBLIN.............................................. 52,367.................. 78,793
AMSTERDAM..................................... 44,348.................. 75,212
DUBAI................................................ 39,768.................. 81,066
ALICANTE........................................... 37,104.................. 48,722
PARIS (CHARLES DE GAULLE)............. 34,675.................. 45,786
GATWICK........................................... 32,583......................... 61
MALAGA............................................ 30,489.................. 36,458
FRANKFURT....................................... 25,484.................. 26,444
ARRECIFE........................................... 25,173.................. 31,152
SALZBURG………………………….………….. 21,081………..……….. 6,917
GENEVA............................................. 20,977.................. 33,510
ORLANDO.......................................... 20,567.................. 15,405
FARO.................................................. 18,883.................. 17,134
SHARM EL SHEIKH.............................. 18,217........................... 0
BELFAST CITY...................................... 17,689.................. 20,732
LAS PALMAS....................................... 17,525.................. 21,833
EDINBURGH........................................ 17,042.................... 6,954
BRIDGETOWN..................................... 17,001.................. 21,559
CHICAGO (O'HARE)............................ 15,577............................ 0
NEW YORK (NEWARK)........................ 15,384..................... 8,312
GOA.................................................... 15,206..................... 9,006
SANDFORD.......................................... 14,823........................... 0
PAPHOS............................................... 14,543................... 12,096

CAA are statistics for February are provisional.

 

[User001]

Anecdotal I know, and certainly not a situation I would want to be in myself, but I've seen several tweets from various people that many Manchester flights are really overbooked and people being asked to come off the flights (seems asked nicely and not UA style).

I've seen Easyjet, Qatar, Virgin, Monarch, Emirates, Etihad and Cathay Pacific all mentioned.

 

[Dobbo]

Came in last night from MUC - A321 100% occupancy.

 

[Dobbo]

To add my anecdotal voice, seemed a decent number (20ish) connected from ANA.

 

[Land23R]

CAA Stats -MARCH:

Generally, long haul was a bit mixed and it was some big increases on short haul that enabled MAN to achieve a 9.9% increase on the previous March. It should also be remembered that last year Easter fell in late March whereas this year it was in mid April. The timing of school holidays is relevant but I would say that last year was boosted by outbound passengers in March, but apart from short breaks over the Easter weekend, most pax returning from holiday would have been April. This year, the vast majority of Easter traffic would be in April with school holidays starting at the earliest Fri. 31 March.

Non-USA long haul:

SQ to SIN: Ave. load 165 (as Feb.)
SQ to IAH: Ave. load 107 (still on the rise)
CX: Ave. load 313 LF. 92.0% (pax down 2% but 34 sectors this March vs 36 last year)
HU: Ave. load 186 LF 63.7% (based on all A333; higher LF if some A332)
EK: Ave. load 461 LF 83.8% (bit of a surprise, pax down 2% despite all flights A380 this year I assume)
EY: Ave. load 296 LF 87.9% (pax down 15%. LF based on 1 x B777; 1 x A332-but I think some B777s used on later flight so LF would be lower)
QR: Ave. load 200 LF 78.8% (based on all B788. nil change in pax)
SV: Ave load 163 LF 54.9% (pax -13%)

Will post USA separately

 

[User001]

Mixed bag, but with CX running at 92% you can see why they are increasing flights. HKG really has been the major success story.

Even SQ performing well, the figures are going to be distorted for a while until the old SQ327/328 load factors are taken out of the YOY picture, but overall, I'm happy with their performance. I've seen a number of anecdotal Twitter exchanges with SQ about low availability around November time (not sure what's happening in November to have the issue), so, forward bookings see, good.

 

[Scottie Dog]

With luck I will be able to start doing my monthly review later this evening after rather a long break.

 

[Land23R]

USA - MARCH 2017:

ATL 13,151 pax +6% A/L 212 L/F 79.7% (based on full 62 sectors)
ORD 1,706 pax +70% A/L 142 L/F 68.3% (based on 12 sectors from 26 March - is this correct?)
EWR 8,624 pax -1% A/L 139 L/F 82.3% (based on full 62 sectors)
PHL 10,428 pax -4% A/L 168 L/F 69.7% (based on full 62 sectors)
SFO 600 pax A/L 200 L/F 75.2% (based on Tues flight return & Fri 31 March outbound only)
BOS 254 pax A/L 127 L/F 47.7% (based on 1 return flight only)

Not sure of frequency or a/c type for all flights but LAS with 11,088 pax was up 66% (extra flights?)
MCO with 25,204 pax was down 11%.
JFK with 8,394 pax was down 52%

 

[ethanegcc]

Couple of things, regarding these statistics (by the way, thanks everyone for providing the LFs)
-ORD/SFO/BOS only start on the 26th March, therefore the figures are going to be low (even when only for those sectors) because inbound traffic will be less of the UK originating pax, so I wouldn't read too much into them. However, SFO seems to have had a strong start. I would hope BOS and ORD do increase though in the April figures.

-EWR/ATL holding up tremendously considering this is not even Easter Holidays. How on earth will Atlanta cope with just 3x week next March? I am confident with these two.

-Cathay Pacific, as usual, is phenomenal. The MEB3 (particularly Emirates) seem to have plateaued in terms of growth, but still high and positive. Not concerned.

-Saudia and Hainan are in low season, and we know that Saudia's yields are high. Not concerned with these two, given the signs displayed.

-Singapore is great to see growing on the Houston route and relatively solid on the Singapore sector. Would still like to see growth though.

 

[Scottie Dog]

Highlights from Manchester Airport's March Statistical Report

Monthly
Movements - +10.56% at 15,187
Passengers - +10.07% or 1,917,147(1,928,243 inc transits)
Freight - +14.86% or 9,933 tonnes

Moving Annual
Movements - +11.93% or 196,596
Passengers - +11.39% or 26,307,317 (26,307,317 inc transits)
Freight - +12.54% or 116,468 tonnes

I am still working on my usual monthly reports, however personal circumstances have meant a severe limitation in both time and data allowances, which have restricted my ability to manipulate the data.

 

[Dobbo]

Based on @Land23R 's numbers, a very mixed bag. A stall from the MEB3, with the far east carriers (ex HU) having a good time. I love SQ, so am glad to see them perform well, and IAH slowly filling up. Hopefully, they will get to the space where extra capacity is required at some stage.

I think MAN-IAH really has put pressure on VS MAN-ATL route and probably explains the cut in service there.

 

[ethanegcc]

I disagree about the MAN-IAH/MAN-ATL point, ATL had 79% load factor on daily flights in March - I think that is a solid number. How that will cope next March with 3/4x weekly is yet to be seen? That could help Singapore though!

 

[Dobbo]

Perhaps VS know something we don't. Wonder if how the ATL flights sync with (or not) the IAH ones...