Manchester: CAA Provisional Statistics Update

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Apparently the airport just missed out on 3m passengers in August. 2.9m, no further details at present...
 
August 2015 total incl. transits was 2,695,798.

2.9m pax if rounded could be anything between 2.851m and 2.949m.
If so, that would suggest a single digit increase of at least 5.7% but could be as high as 9.3%. 2.9m itself about 7.6%.
 
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It's great to see the figures so high.

With September and October still being in the summer season and still new routes to come, there is every chance we could still hit the magic 25m.

Also, nearly 3m pax in one month, no wonder there have been reported queues at security!
 
In the first 7 months of 2016, I reckon pax were up 9.37%, with 4 of those months being over 10%.
If my calculations were correct, it meant we had to achieve an increase of 5.7% over the remaining 5 months of the year.

Because of the higher volumes, August and September are probably critical as to whether we hit that 25m for the full year, although the indications are that there are significant capacity increases this coming winter from the likes of Ryanair.

And mentioning capacity, it should be remembered that the ACL start of summer report for MAN showed an increase in seats of 12.9% compared to the start of s2015. That suggested that 25m would be readily achieved, but some flight cancellations and the fact that actual figures are less than the capacity increase (lower overall LFs?) has meant that the outcome is rather less certain. Nevertheless, if that August result is confirmed, the signs are still hopeful that the magic 25m will be recorded.
 
The MAN figure is normally accurate to the CAA figure so have no reason to doubt them.

If we go off the transit figure (I never understand why some people don't include them, a passenger is a passenger regardless of their flight role at the airport), then we need just under 395,000 passengers to reach 25m. If we can't get Just under 100,000 extra passengers per month until the end of the year, then something has gone very very wrong
 
Evening out seasonal demand with stronger growth and capacity redeployment over the winter months strikes me as the best way of keeping the growth going.
 
From Business Desk North West:

2,934,393 passengers travel through the airport last month, an increase of 9% on August 2015.

Excellent, well over 2.9m. and an extra 238,600 pax compared to Aug.2015
 
I just wish the CAA would pull their fingers out and enable accurate figures to be published in a timely manner.

The fact that some airports have still not supplied data for the months of May and June is inexcusable. For July's provisional figures to be unavailable is sad.
 
Manchester Statistics - June 2016 (Part 1)

Destinations that are either new (no passengers since my records started in January 2005), or have not been served for a number of years - if the latter then the month and year of the last service is shown:

Beijing - New service.
Olbia - Last served September 2013 with 489 passengers
San Francisco - CAA stats show 235 scheduled passengers, however this may be an incorrect update by an airline.
 
Manchester Statistics - June 2016 (Part 2)

Top 25 destinations - by passenger numbers (previous months position in brackets)

1...... PALMA DE MALLORCA............115848......(1)
2...... ALICANTE.............................89616......(4)
3...... AMSTERDAM.........................85860.......(2)
4...... MALAGA...............................81584.......(5)
5...... DUBLIN................................76016.......(3)
6...... TENERIFE (SURREINA SOFIA)..69020.......(7)
7...... FARO...................................62566.......(9)
6...... DUBAI..................................61409......(6)
9...... HEATHROW............................55109......(8)
10.... IBIZA...................................49769......(15)
11.... ORLANDO..............................48559......(10)
12.... BARCELONA ...........................47007......(11)
13.... PARIS (CHARLES DE GAULLE)...46599......(12)
14.... ARRECIFE.............................44824.......(14)
15.... DALAMAN..............................36457......(20)
16.... PAPHOS................................36414......(15)
17.... FRANKFURT MAIN...................34319......(16)
18.... MAHON.................................33351......(23)
19.... NEW YORK (JF KENNEDY).........32834......(18)
20.... CORFU..................................31890......(28)
21.... COPENHAGEN.........................30252......(17)
22.... MUNICH................................29975......(21)
23.... ABU DHABI INTERNATIONAL.....29411......(19)
24.... HERAKLION............................29319......(27)
25.... LAS PALMAS...........................27839......(22)

CAA provisional statistics for June are missing a large number of domestic destinations.

These file will be updated when available.
 
Manchester Statistics - June 2016 (Part 3)

Top 50 destinations with highest percentage increase.

Destination..................Total Pax....Schedule Pax....Charter Pax....Percentage Change
MARSEILLE.......................3297...........2950..............347............ 229.3706
VIENNA...........................8975...........8975.................0............. 155.044
MILAN (MALPENSA)..........13241.........13241.................0............. 122.95
ALMERIA.........................13212..........9876............3336............. 113.821
ILHA DO SAL C.VERDE........3377..........2169.............1208............ 94.41566
MADRID.........................13890.........13890.................0............. 90.19581
KAVALA...........................2750...........1276............1474............ 87.07483
TEL AVIV..........................5638...........5638.................0............ 83.17089
LAS PALMAS...................27839..........18841............8998........... 65.7182
BARCELONA ....................47007..........46436..............571........... 62.41794
BERLIN (SCHONEFELD).....10326..........10326.................0........... 55.67617
GENOA............................3558................0.............3558........... 50.69886
VALENCIA........................4730............4730.................0........... 45.3149
WARSAW (MODLIN)...........4637............4637.................0........... 44.63506
RYGGE.............................4193............4193................0........... 43.8422
KRAKOW..........................7031.............7031................0........... 42.9065
TORONTO.......................13840...........13840................0........... 42.87189
DUBROVNIK...................11345...........11345.................0.......... 38.21881
PRAGUE.........................12732...........12732................0........... 37.59862
SOUTHAMPTON...............16757............16757................0........... 36.72487
FUNCHAL.......................10238.............7157............3081.......... 36.12552
FUERTEVENTURA.............22413............16780...........5633.......... 35.42598
MALAGA.........................81584............70325..........11259........ 33.34423
PUNTA CANA...................10191..................0..........10191......... 33.26795
BURGAS.........................17108..............6479.........10629.......... 32.78485
ROME (CIAMPINO)...........14176.............14176................0.......... 32.56031
ALICANTE.......................89616.............82263...........7353.......... 32.11464
MALTA............................22935.............22935................0......... 31.87098
NEWQUAY.........................6650..............6650.................0.......... 31.16371
NANTES...........................2302..............2302.................0......... 29.32584
SANTA CRUZ DE LA PALMA..1866...................0............1866......... 27.89582
NEW YORK (JF KENNEDY)..32834.............32834................0......... 27.68423
IBIZA .............................49769............36093..........13676......... 27.62918
BEAUVAIS.........................5362..............5362...............0.......... 27.51486
LJUBLJANA........................1606..............1606...............0.......... 27.46032
GERONA..........................10473..............7166...........3307......... 26.47023
CORFU............................31890.............23232...........8658........ 25.84846
ORLANDO........................48559.............48559................0........ 24.95561
PAPHOS..........................36414.............24264..........12150........ 24.90224
GENEVA..........................15564.............15564................0........ 24.71154
FARO..............................62566.............53917...........8649........ 23.31678
CUNAGUA (CAYO COCO).......2732..............2732................0........ 22.89699
AMSTERDAM.....................85860.............85538.............322....... 21.84081
TENERIFE (S'SOFIA)...........69020............53341..........15679....... 21.79069
REUS...............................15528..............9106............6422...... 21.78824
CORK.................................8137.............8137.................0...... 21.3753
PULA.................................5278..............2422............2856...... 21.16621
SALONIKA..........................5939..............4422............1517...... 20.76047
MIKONOS...........................2754..............2754................0...... 20.57793
RHODES...........................25130.............13673..........11457..... 18.7955


CAA provisional statistics for June are missing a large number of domestic destinations.

These file will be updated when available.
 
Manchester Statistics - June 2016 (Part 4)

Figures for the European and long haul destinations that I consider to be the main points for our connecting traffic.

Foreign_airport……..Total_pax……..Total sched pax……Total charter pax……..% change
VIENNA………………………8975…………….8975……………………0………………………………..+155.044047
BRUSSELS…………………18018…………..18018……………………0………………………………..+8.021583
PRAGUE……………………12732…………..12732……………………0………………………………..+37.598617
COPENHAGEN………….30252…………..30252……………………0………………………………..+18.107285
HELSINKI…………………….9444…………….9444……………………0………………………………..-2.347224
PARIS (CDG)………………46599………….46599……………………0………………………………..+17.348275
DUSSELDORF…………….15271………….15271……………………0………………………………..-0.740981
FRANKFURT MAIN…….34319………….34319……………………0………………………………..-0.62833
MUNICH……………………29975………….29730…………………..245…………………………….+9.417777
HONG KONG……………..10284………….10284…………………..0………………………………..-7.989622
KEFLAVIK…………………….7869……………7869……………………0………………………………..+0.536604
DUBLIN……………………..76016………….76016…………………..0………………………………..+6.342856
MILAN (MALPENSA)….13241………….13241…………………..0………………………………..+122.949992
ROME (FIUMICINO)……8606…………….8606…………………..0………………………………..-0.875374
AMSTERDAM…………… 85860…………..85538………………….322…………………………….+21.840809
ISLAMABAD………………..9828…………….9828………………….0………………………………..-3.191489
LISBON ……………………..18430…………..18430………………….0………………………………..+11.433581
DOHA………………………..22859………….22859………………….0………………………………..+9.867346
JEDDAH……………………….7179……………7179…………………..0….……………………………+3.414002
SINGAPORE…………………6762…………….6762………………….0………………………………..-8.596918
MADRID…………………… 13890…………..13890………………….0………………………………..+90.19581
STOCKHOLM (ARN)…..10246…………..10246………………….0………………………………..-2.008416
GENEVA…………………….15564…………..15564………………….0……………………………....+24.711538
ZURICH……………………….7779……………..7779………………….0……………………………….-10.924081
ABU DHABI………………..29411…………..29411………………….0……………………………….+13.398365
DUBAI……………………….61409…………..61409…………………..0……………………………….+0.766302
HEATHROW………………55109…………..55109…………………..0……………………………….-8.31975
 
Manchester Statistics - June 2016 (Part 5)

Comparison of top 23 destinations - June 2006 versus June 2016

Foreign airport.......................Jun-06...............Jun-16
PALMA DE MALLORCA...........119,726..............115,848
ALICANTE...............................73,974................89,616
AMSTERDAM..........................50,729................85,860
MALAGA.................................78,776................81,584
DUBLIN...................................51,873................76,016
TENERIFE (SURREINA SOFIA)....61,669................69,020
FARO......................................59,649.................62,566
DUBAI.....................................28,698................61,409
HEATHROW ..............................92,248................55,109
IBIZA.......................................37,732................49,769
ORLANDO................................21,120...............48,559
BARCELONA.............................10,084...............47,007
PARIS (CHARLES DE GAULLE).....38,327...............46,599
ARRECIFE.................................33,685...............44,824
DALAMAN................................51,214...............36,457
PAPHOS...................................38,719...............36,414
FRANKFURT MAIN....................31,925...............34,319
MAHON...................................41,397...............33,351
NEW YORK (JF KENNEDY)..........22,495...............32,834
CORFU.....................................27,116...............31,890
COPENHAGEN..........................18,461...............30,252
MUNICH..................................15,193...............29,975
ABU DHABI INTERNATIONAL.......8,152...............29,411
 
Scottie Dog

Do you keep annual stats such that you can see the size of the Longhaul market from MAN in 2005/2015?

I presume that it would show significant growth and it would be interesting to compare it to the passenger flows to LHR in particular, but also AMS/FRA/CDG.
 
I'll have a play around tonight for you. Longhaul will be any country east of the Urals and not bordering the Mediterranean - as per IATA policy.
 
Dobbo, i've got that breakdown at home. Will sort it out later tonight. I'll do before 2005 so we can see from where we've come from over 30 years.
 
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Thank you David for the offer to provide the data to Dobbo.

I look forward to seeing your figures, but if any other comparison is needed please let me know.
 
Had a slight "technical error" last night. Data to come up tonight!
 
Sorry it's late but having a primeval version of Excel isn't conducive to rapid data manipulation (I've got Office 2000 installed on my 5 year old PC!). Data kept disappearing from some columns and ended up in the wrong rows when I cut (spreadsheet had 3 worksheets with my total passenger numbers being an addition of the same cell reference on the other 2 sheets!).

In each instance, I'm going to do it geographically with years split 1986 to 2000 and 2001 to 2015. Any blank entries represents no passengers to that particular destination - there will be destinations that don't have any passengers in one of the 15 year stretches but I've kept them in that chart.

First up is the Caribbean

14316753_10209611932591757_6043031064420865820_n.jpg


14264115_10209612003113520_8292749287068177688_n.jpg
 
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i must be a lunatic. Friday 25th Sept will see me doing a daytrip that involves me leaving my flat in Manchester at 1am and not getting back home until after midnight. All because I'm doing a Loch Ness and Scottish Highlands trip.... out of Glasgow
For some weird reason, my days off work tend to involve being out of my flat by 5am and not getting back until 10pm. Back to work and the regular "fix" of 7.40am to 7.15pm hours
Heatwave Mk2 next week?
Some explosive weather build-ups currently in the North of England. What is it like where you are?
LBA: B737-300 G-GDFK empty down to Paris at 16:15 to operate the return LS268 back to Leeds 20:00 ETA where it will then operate the delayed LS265 to Malaga 20:40ETD

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