Unserved and Under Served from BHX

[IanFarquharson]

Vienna - 1,071,438 pax from UK - BHX should be able sustain 35,000-40,000 pa ?

GATWICK VIENNA 203,630
HEATHROW VIENNA 787,631
LUTON VIENNA 5,498
STANSTED VIENNA 13,766
BELFAST INTERNATIONAL VIENNA 256
BIRMINGHAM VIENNA 380
BRISTOL VIENNA 3,373
EAST MIDLANDS INTERNATIONAL VIENNA 24
EDINBURGH VIENNA 947
EXETER VIENNA 1,476
GLASGOW VIENNA 2,309
JERSEY VIENNA 1,442
LEEDS BRADFORD VIENNA 278
LIVERPOOL (JOHN LENNON) VIENNA 0
MANCHESTER VIENNA 50,136
NEWCASTLE VIENNA 292

 

[IanFarquharson]

Valencia - 434,908 pax from UK in 2015, BHX should be about support 25,000-35,000 pax pa

GATWICK VALENCIA 239,090
LUTON VALENCIA 0
STANSTED VALENCIA 122,515
BIRMINGHAM VALENCIA 158
BRISTOL VALENCIA 17,194
CARDIFF WALES VALENCIA 0
EAST MIDLANDS INTERNATIONAL VALENCIA 32,586
GLASGOW VALENCIA 840
LEEDS BRADFORD VALENCIA 0
MANCHESTER VALENCIA 22,525

 

[IanFarquharson]

Toronto - 1,474,193 pax from UK in 2015, BHX should be able to support 70,000-80,000 pax pa

GATWICK TORONTO 197,014
HEATHROW TORONTO 1,032,206
BELFAST INTERNATIONAL TORONTO 221
BIRMINGHAM TORONTO 12,024
EDINBURGH TORONTO 32,316
GLASGOW TORONTO 96,959
MANCHESTER TORONTO 103,453

 

[IanFarquharson]

Tel Aviv - 984,085 from the UK in 2015, BHX should be able to support 30,000-35,000 pax pa

GATWICK TEL AVIV 51,911
HEATHROW TEL AVIV 584,298
LUTON TEL AVIV 313,035
STANSTED TEL AVIV 365
CARDIFF WALES TEL AVIV 283
MANCHESTER TEL AVIV 34,193

 

[IanFarquharson]

Stockholm ARN - 1,614,709 pax in 2015 from UK, BHX should be able to support 70,000-80,000 pa

GATWICK STOCKHOLM (ARLANDA) 405,387
HEATHROW STOCKHOLM (ARLANDA) 1,002,530
LONDON CITY STOCKHOLM (ARLANDA) 0
LUTON STOCKHOLM (ARLANDA) 18
BELFAST INTERNATIONAL STOCKHOLM (ARLANDA) 175
BIRMINGHAM STOCKHOLM (ARLANDA) 72
BRISTOL STOCKHOLM (ARLANDA) 3,141
EDINBURGH STOCKHOLM (ARLANDA) 83,605
EXETER STOCKHOLM (ARLANDA) 11
GLASGOW STOCKHOLM (ARLANDA) 0
MANCHESTER STOCKHOLM (ARLANDA) 119,770

 

[IanFarquharson]

Oslo - 1,213,368 pax in 2015 from UK, BHX should be able to support 55,000-60,000 pa

GATWICK OSLO (GARDERMOEN) 306,246
HEATHROW OSLO (GARDERMOEN) 686,856
LUTON OSLO (GARDERMOEN) 58
ABERDEEN OSLO (GARDERMOEN) 36,075
BELFAST INTERNATIONAL OSLO (GARDERMOEN) 110
BIRMINGHAM OSLO (GARDERMOEN) 4,989
DUNDEE OSLO (GARDERMOEN) 30
EDINBURGH OSLO (GARDERMOEN) 81,774
LEEDS BRADFORD OSLO (GARDERMOEN) 37
LIVERPOOL (JOHN LENNON) OSLO (GARDERMOEN) 296
MANCHESTER OSLO (GARDERMOEN) 96,855
SOUTHAMPTON OSLO (GARDERMOEN) 40
STORNOWAY OSLO (GARDERMOEN) 2

 

[IanFarquharson]

Orlando MCO - 1,281,844 pax in 2015 from UK, BHX could support 100,000 pa

GATWICK ORLANDO 737,221
HEATHROW ORLANDO 653
STANSTED ORLANDO 6,340
BELFAST INTERNATIONAL ORLANDO 5,831
BIRMINGHAM ORLANDO 0
CARDIFF WALES ORLANDO 555
GLASGOW ORLANDO 80,669
MANCHESTER ORLANDO 450,575

 

[IanFarquharson]

Las Vegas - 678,017 pax in 2015 from the UK, BHX should be able to support 60,000 pa

GATWICK LAS VEGAS 309,622
HEATHROW LAS VEGAS 231,104
STANSTED LAS VEGAS 3,226
BELFAST INTERNATIONAL LAS VEGAS 1,118
EDINBURGH LAS VEGAS 0
GLASGOW LAS VEGAS 19,370
MANCHESTER LAS VEGAS 113,577

 

[IanFarquharson]

Helsinki - 947,405 pax in 2015 from the UK, BHX should be able to support 60,000 pa

GATWICK HELSINKI 183,174
HEATHROW HELSINKI 655,532
BELFAST CITY (GEORGE BEST) HELSINKI 72
BELFAST INTERNATIONAL HELSINKI 360
EDINBURGH HELSINKI 0
GLASGOW HELSINKI 0
JERSEY HELSINKI 109
LIVERPOOL (JOHN LENNON) HELSINKI 101
MANCHESTER HELSINKI 108,057

 

[IanFarquharson]

Chicago - 1,175,647 pax in 2015 from the UK, BHX should be able to support 65,000 pa

HEATHROW CHICAGO (O'HARE) 1,059,686
BELFAST INTERNATIONAL CHICAGO (O'HARE) 260
EDINBURGH CHICAGO (O'HARE) 33,479
MANCHESTER CHICAGO (O'HARE) 82,222

 

[IanFarquharson]

Atlanta - 752,483 pax in 2015 from the UK, BHX should be able to support 65,000 pa

HEATHROW ATLANTA 611,883
MANCHESTER ATLANTA 140,600

 

[IanFarquharson]

Abu Dhabi - 1,340,347 pax in 2015 from the UK, BHX should be able to support 100,000 pa

HEATHROW ABU DHABI INTERNATIONAL 835,901
EDINBURGH ABU DHABI INTERNATIONAL 72,773
MANCHESTER ABU DHABI INTERNATIONAL 431,673

 

[IanFarquharson]

Geneva - 3,340,633 pax in 2015 from UK, BHX could support a year round service increasing current 63k to 125k

GATWICK GENEVA 844,939
HEATHROW GENEVA 1,021,882
LONDON CITY GENEVA 176,451
LUTON GENEVA 264,969
SOUTHEND GENEVA 26,714
STANSTED GENEVA 59,540
ABERDEEN GENEVA 4,377
BELFAST INTERNATIONAL GENEVA 25,552
BIRMINGHAM GENEVA 62,665
BOURNEMOUTH GENEVA 24,701
BRISTOL GENEVA 206,136
CAMBRIDGE GENEVA 0
CARDIFF WALES GENEVA 2,086
EAST MIDLANDS INTERNATIONAL GENEVA 4,739
EDINBURGH GENEVA 162,353
EXETER GENEVA 5,533
GLASGOW GENEVA 13,271
INVERNESS GENEVA 1,662
ISLE OF MAN GENEVA 2,104
JERSEY GENEVA 5,304
LEEDS BRADFORD GENEVA 40,254
LIVERPOOL (JOHN LENNON) GENEVA 132,201
MANCHESTER GENEVA 182,604
NEWCASTLE GENEVA 61,175
SOUTHAMPTON GENEVA 9,421

 

[IanFarquharson]

BHX could support 80,000 pa

HEATHROW MUMBAI 949,485

 

[BHXsupporter]

Wow a real tour de force Ian. Thanks so much.

 

[Ianbutty]

Well done Ian. Some shocking stats there. Bristol over 200k to Geneva and yet BHX less than half that. Sobering but at the same time there are clear targets and gaps which with the right airline and publicity be a major success.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

Bristol has seen more annual GVA passengers than any UK airport outside London for the past 5-6 years. It's largely down to easyJet that goes up to 6 x daily at certain times during the ski season, plus a couple of weekly ski charters with other carriers during the season.

 

[Daza]

Im always surprised that GVA hasn't been started from BHX during the summer. All of the GVA passengers ex BHX do so from Late Dec to early April. We do have 12 weekly to ZRH so maybe Swiss aren't looking to dilute that route? (Although ZRH has been in decline passenger wise for a while now) maybe one Flybe could operate? I'm sure a daily DH4 or ER7 could work. I'm sure yield would be as good as ROT or LUX! Some interesting routes mentioned, I'm sure VIE could work (it has done with VB/BA in past) and ARN with the right schedule and aircraft, OSL I'm not so sure FR and BE have tried and numbers were disappointing. BOM would be a good bet and MCO and YYZ could surely do with more capacity Midlanders going to Florida must be travelling elsewhere to catch flights.

 

[nwoody2001]

Apologies for not commenting sooner but the internet at chez nwoody is currently down. However, wow, thanks Ian for the insight and goes to show not only the potential unsurved markets but also the underserved markets... Abu Dhabi, Atlanta and Chicago are the standout for me!!!

What would be interesting Ian is to see the med routes. I know many here don't think they are interesting, especially when new airlines add more of the 'same old', but it was my understanding that when you compare BHX with EMA, BHX is/was vastly underserved with the bucket and spade market.

For some context, I don't live in the midlands, I live outside Leeds. MAN and LBA are equidistant from me, but BHX is a travelable distance, especially as I have family there. Whilst BHX has done great in expanding its new destination list, the main issue for me is availability and price. I go to berlin for example quite a lot. EZY fly up to 2-3 daily to berlin and now RYR is about to start also. flights, are commonly between £50-80 and as such, perfectly acceptable. BE at BHX though fill up fast and are expensive, commonly over £100.

To me, if BHX is to win back market share, not only does it need new destinations, but on popular city/beach destinations it also needs significant increases in capacity and competition!

 

[richard winterbourn]

I think there is a very important point contained within nwoody2001's post and that is the reference to BE re Berlin. I have not traveled this route but frequently fly BE Paris/Amsterdam - BHX. And he is right some of the BE routes fill up very fast; my last journey from Paris on the E195 was absolutely full.

So, i ask myself, have BE now got the right equipment for some of their busier routes, or should they now be looking at aircraft with a greater capacity ie 319s or 320s?

BE have made remarkable strides forward at BHX and if the future continues in this vein then the E195s are just not going to be big enough.