CAA Provisional Statistics Update

[CAN&I]

Cheers Scottie Dog. Completely agree. Its almost impossible to align the totals in one report to the route breakdown stats in others, which begs another question: which is accurate (assuming at least one is)? Makes m-o-m and y-o-y comparisons difficult, hence why 12.1 and the combination of 12.2 and 12.3 (ignoring the duplicates) seems to be least-worst source of component data, yet when you roll up the totals appear short.

 

[geoff]

A rise of about 22% for the month of January is great, never mind which set of figures is really correct.

 

[CAN&I]

A rise of about 22% for the month of January is great, never mind which set of figures is really correct.

Indeed. Even allowing for a margin of error in the data its a very strong start. Fuerteventura and Salzburg have made excelent debuts and even Chambery is up around 48% year on year. That extra based TUI aircraft is doing well.

 

[Seasider]

When it comes to data analysis, the CAA are "not very good" to put it politely. Their publication target is at least 6 weeks after the end of the month and they haven't even managed that this month. They should have been out on Monday

 

[Scottie Dog]

As previously discussed there is a discrepancy in the CAA passenger numbers - Table 9 gives 46,079 whilst the combination of passengers from Table 12.1 (International) and Table 3 (Domestic) is as per my report. Enjoy.

A full comparison of figures for January between 2019 to 2026 can be found here:

Statistics Analysis - UK-wide airport statistics - all UK airports

2025 Passenger Figures January to September

forums4airports.com

 

[CAN&I]

There is of course a layer of context to add to the AMS, BHD and TFS (scheduled) y-o-y reductions in Scottie Dog's breakdown.

AMS, BHD and TFS (scheduled) were impacted by a handful of cancellations in January due to the extreme weather and other issues. Also, Aer Lingus' BHD service was reduced to 5 flights per week from early January, where there had been 7 per week in place during January 2025.

Even accounting for zero growth y-o-y, an extra c1,900 pax would have made a huge difference to an already exceptional month.

 

[Scottie Dog]

Here is my usual monthly take on the CAA data - this time for February As usual there are differences in the figures when comparing the various tables, however I have used Table 3, 9, 12.1, 12.3 and 13.

A full comparison of figures for February between 2019 to 2026 can be found here:

Statistics Analysis - UK-wide airport statistics - all UK airports​

 

[Jerry]

So close to the 1 million in a rolling year!

 

[geoff]

Another good month, a great start to the year, 1 million soon,