July 2014

CAA stats show another improving month generally with regard to loads with the LH code share to FRA and MUC beginning to show its value.

Aberdeen 3078 pax (down 4% on July 2013), ave load 30.8, load factor 62.8%

Milan Malp 1542 pax (up 5.4% on July 2013), ave load 35.0, load factor 71.5%

Frankfurt 3474 pax (up 31% on July 2013), ave load 34.7, load factor 70.8%

Munich 2032 pax (up 30% on July 2013), ave load 37.6, load factor 76.7%

Hamburg 2146 pax (up 16% on July 2013), ave load 21.5, load factor 58.0%
 
August 2014

Passenger numbers slightly down on last month but it may be that the business market suffered in August.

CAA stats show the following figures for August:

Aberdeen 2688 passengers (down 8% on August 2013), ave load 29.2, load factor 59.6%

Milan Malp 1439 passengers (up 9% on August 2013), ave load 32.7, load factor
66.7%

Frankfurt 2888 passengers (up 29% on August 2013), ave load 31.4, load factor 64%

Munich 1776 passengers (up 21% on August 2013), ave load 34.1, load factor 69.7%

Hamburg 1848 passengers (up 6% on August 2013), ave load 20.1, load factor 54.3%

Perhaps a bit surprisingly, given the fall in ABZ passenger numbers in recent months, the third rotation on Wednesdays and Thursday has commenced this month as previously announced, albeit with the E135 instead of the 145 used on the other rotations.
 
bmiregional Summer 2015

I have taken a look at Summer 2015 and completed some test bookings in May and discovered the following:-

BRS - ABZ 3 x Daily Monday to Friday, 1 on Saturday, 1 on Sunday (New 3rd rotation Mon/Tue/Fri and New Sat rotation)
BRS - FRA 3 x Daily Monday to Friday, 1 on Sunday (New 3rd rotation Mon to Fri)
BRS - HAM 2 x Daily Monday to Friday, 1 on Sunday (No Change)
BRS - MUC 1 x Daily Monday to Friday, 1 on Saturday, 1 on Sunday (New Sat Rotation)

2015 Total Departures per Week = 51

2014 Total Departures per Week = 45 (47 from Sep for 3rd BRS - ABZ 2 days per week) Drops back to 46 from Winter Schedule due to the ceasing of the BRS - MXP flight.

Definitely a positive note on the BRS - FRA, did think the BRS - MUC might have gone 2 x Daily with the LH codeshare. Maybe not quite ready for that just yet.

Would be interesting to see if bmiregional launch any new routes for 2015......maybe World Routes will produce some new route announcements.

Edited: 1524 20/09/2014
New Saturday rotations on both FRA & MUC
 
It certainly good news regarding frankfurt. I noticed that frankfurt and munich are also offered on saturday mornings next summer too .perhaps we may see a new route or two eg paris . At present according to schedule four aircraft will opearte three sectors per day plus another one operating the brussels service.
 
alphagolf said:
bmiregional Summer 2015

I have taken a look at Summer 2015 and completed some test bookings in May and discovered the following:-

BRS - ABZ 3 x Daily Monday to Friday, 1 on Sunday (New 3rd rotation Mon/Tue/Fri)
BRS - FRA 3 x Daily Monday to Friday, 1 on Saturday and 1 on Sunday (New 3rd rotation Mon to Fri and New Sat Rotation)
BRS - HAM 2 x Daily Monday to Friday, 1 on Sunday (No Change)
BRS - MUC 1 x Daily Monday to Friday, 1 on Saturday, 1 on Sunday (New Sat Rotation)

2015 Total Departures per Week = 51

2014 Total Departures per Week = 45 (47 from Sep for 3rd BRS - ABZ 2 days per week) Drops back to 46 from Winter Schedule due to the ceasing of the BRS - MXP flight.

Definitely a positive note on the BRS - FRA, did think the BRS - MUC might have gone 2 x Daily with the LH codeshare. Maybe not quite ready for that just yet.

Would be interesting to see if bmiregional launch any new routes for 2015......maybe World Routes will produce some new route announcements.

Edited: 1524 20/09/2014
New Saturday rotations on both FRA & MUC

Corrected error between ABZ and FRA with regards to new Sat rotation. Must proof read more often :fool:
 
It's good to know that FRA is going to 3 x daily - bmi hinted at this a few weeks ago. ABZ also good news at 3 x daily although I'm a bit surprised as the loads have been slightly down this summer in some months.

The disappointment seems to be that Milan Malpensa is not yet bookable for next summer. We knew it had been taken off for the winter but I expected its return next summer.

It's had very good loads within the bmi BRS stable of routes. I know loads aren't everything but I would have thought that MXP would have been viable.
 
Would bmi regional look at Zurich?

There is still no booking availability for Helvetic on BRS-ZRH this winter and one now wonders if they intend pulling the route altogether. If they do it will be a pity because it's taken a long time to build up the Zurich route to a point where at least this summer average monthly loads are around the 60 mark, with over 65 in July.

I wonder whether bmi regional might be interested if Helvetic pulls out. If anything they might now be more well known at BRS than Helvetic, albeit the latter will be better known at the Swiss end, and having to fill just 37 or 49 seats instead of Helvetic's 100 might well be within range.

There is a market for Switzerland from BRS and not just the winter ski season. In 2013 the BRS-GVA route carried more passengers than any UK-GVA route outside London. With over 181,000 passengers BRS beat the likes of MAN, EDI and BHX as well as all other provincial airports possessing a GVA route. This was not a flash in the pan either because this situated has obtained for several years.
 
The same could be said about the cdg route, as no movement from any airline on that route.
 
Rumour has it that BMI will be adding 3 more based aircraft next year, it does tie in with the recent recruitment of both flight and cabin crew also the additional ABZ and FRA.
 
All sounds promising but that's incredibly large expansion for a such a small airline?
 
Rumour has it that BMI will be adding 3 more based aircraft next year, it does tie in with the recent recruitment of both flight and cabin crew also the additional ABZ and FRA.

I'm never quite sure how many aircraft are based at the moment. I believe it's five, including the aircraft that operates for Brussels Airlines and the Airbus corporate shuttle aircraft although with the latter it seems from timings that some flights are operated by aircraft based at Toulouse.
 
Currently 5 based with the odd extra one making an apperce various days through the week depending on charter work.
 
September 2014

CAA stats show the following numbers:

Frankfurt 3213 (up 65% on last September) ave load 33.5 load factor 68.3%

Hamburg 2224 (up 8% on last September) ave load 23.2 load factor 62.7%

Munich 1897 (up 26% on last September) ave load 36.5 load factor 74.4%

Milan MXP* 1602 (up 11% on last September) ave load 38.1 load factor 77.8%

* There are also a couple of hundred or so charter passengers each month to MXP - I believe also operated by bmi regional on a separate aircraft to the scheduled service, presumably for a corporate customer. I never include these figures in the bmi regional MXP stats each month.

Aberdeen went 3 x daily on Wednesdays and Thursdays from 3 September with Mondays, Tuesdays and Fridays still 2 x daily and Sundays daily (no Saturdays). Despite this passenger numbers were down 3% on September 2013 when there were no additional flights on Wed and Thur.

3023 passengers were flown. The third Wed and Thur flights are on the E135 with everything else on the E145. This means that overall 57% of the available seats were occupied.

Milan MXP which has been dropped for winter shows no sign of return next summer. Looking at load factors it's an odd decision (but the yields might not be satisfactory of course) because MXP had the highest load factor of all bmi regional BRS routes in September and has consistently been amongst the best performers by this measure.

ABZ has been seeing small drops in passenger numbers in most months this year so again, on the face of things, it's a surprising decision to opt for 3 x daily every weekday next summer.

The benefit of the LH code share on FRA and MUC continues to be shown although there is still room for improvement.
 
On the basis of the load factors alone it looks like the base is holding it's own, or at least just about. I think the rough school of thought is to aim for around a 70% load factor to breakeven. Ultimately it is the yield that matters the most and clearly it wasn't enough for Milan.
 
On the basis of the load factors alone it looks like the base is holding it's own, or at least just about. I think the rough school of thought is to aim for around a 70% load factor to breakeven. Ultimately it is the yield that matters the most and clearly it wasn't enough for Milan.

bmi regional's fares are not cheap so it may be that they need fewer than 70% to make the routes viable. It's always difficult (impossible really unless you are an airline insider) to try to work out load factors vis-a-vis profitability. CityJet at CWL for instance reckon they need a 65% overall load factor on a route according to their CEO when the airline first set up in Wales.

FRA and MUC will be all right if they feed enough passengers into LH's long haul, although I suspect that LH probably has the better of the deal. Indeed FRA is going 3 x daily on weekdays next summer as well as a Saturday rotation. ABZ has seen slightly decreasing loads this summer yet from September it was increased to 3 x daily on Wednesdays and Thursdays and will be 3 x daily Mon-Fri next summer.

bmi regional also has the Airbus corporate shuttle and Brussels Airlines contracts to BRU (a route that has seen annual passenger increases for the past few years and 2014 is so far following this trend, again with the feed into the Star Alliance flights from BRU). They have also had contracts from tour operators for one or two summer sun routes from BRS as well as picking up some rugby and football club team charters on match days.

As things stand compared to this summer next summer will see six extra weekly FRA rotations, three extra ABZ rotations and one extra MUC rotation against the loss of five weekly MXP rotations - a net gain of five weekly rotations.

Whether the additional flight crew and cabin staff said to be being recruited at BRS are to service this increase or whether there will be more routes and/or frequency increases to come is a matter of conjecture at the moment.
 
im feeling very playful tonite.....more bmir for s15..........

Excellent! We're all for a bit of playfulness especially this evening. I haven't used them yet but almost did next month to Hamburg, but Mrs Y said she preferred the hopefully warmer climes of Barcelona this time of the year.
 
bmiregional announce the planned 3rd Monday to Friday rotation between Bristol and Frankfurt to commence on the 2nd February 2015 compared to the planned 29th March.

Received this news by email from bmi regional this morning:-

Due to popular demand we've added 7,000 extra seats on sale for Summer 2015

East Midlands - Brussels
Bristol - Frankfurt

Will see the start of additional midday flight on both routes starting on the 2nd February 2015.
 
alphagolf said:
bmiregional announce the planned 3rd Monday to Friday rotation between Bristol and Frankfurt to commence on the 2nd February 2015 compared to the planned 29th March.

Received this news by email from bmi regional this morning:-

Due to popular demand we've added 7,000 extra seats on sale for Summer 2015

East Midlands - Brussels
Bristol - Frankfurt

Will see the start of additional midday flight on both routes starting on the 2nd February 2015.

bmi regional announce further enhancements to Bristol - Munich schedule with a 2nd daily flight on Tuesday, Thursday & Fridays from Tuesday 3rd February.

Dep BRS 1855 - Tuesday & Thursday
Dep BRS 1725 - Fridays
Arr BRS 2325 - Tuesday & Thursday
Arr BRS 2155 - Friday

The return arrivals into Bristol on Tuesday and Thursday seem really late, but I guess this could be due to slot allocation at Munich. Only time will tell if this will prove positive or not.
But good to see further increases in ATM's as mentioned by TheLocalYokel with reference to increasing passenger numbers in 2015.
 

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