Ryanair

[CWL94]

Ryanair December 2022 Stats
Dublin 4106 average load 128
Faro 1375 average load 98

DUB loads are not that low! There was multiple cancellations due to weather problems at DUB

Stats for DUB were
5292 4106 78% LF 147 pax

 

[Jerry]

DUB loads are not that low! There was multiple cancellations due to weather problems at DUB

Stats for DUB were
5292 4106 78% LF 147 pax

CAA stats has Dublin at 4106 and i don't know which flights were cancelled so based it off the standard 4 weekly schedule minus Xmas Day and Boxing Day as i believe Ryanair don't operate on either.

 

[CWL94]

4106 is correct, 5292 seats were on sale!

Cancelled flight days are Sat 10th, Sun 11th and Mon 12th! No Flight also on Christmas Day, there was a flight on Boxing Day! That makes 14 flights x 378 = 5292 seats

 

[Jerry]

With Summer 2023 now starting, Ryanair's schedule goes up too 13 weekly departures with Dublin going daily, Malaga resuming on the 28/3/23 and the Belfast International will begin on the 29/3/23. Faro also changes days.

 

[MrFenner]

With Summer 2023 now starting, Ryanair's schedule goes up too 13 weekly departures with Dublin going daily, Malaga resuming on the 28/3/23 and the Belfast International will begin on the 29/3/23. Faro also changes days.

I’d say this is the makings of a S24 base.

We can hope!

 

[Jerry]

A base would be great though I think the odds on one are very long but I can see possibly more non based flights from Spain and possibly Faro.

 

[CWL94]

ALC, PMI and TFS will be on the hit list for CWL to get FR on board for next summer! Luckily they all have bases so a base isn’t 100% needed but obviously would be welcome nonetheless

 

[geoff]

I don't know when the FR winter timetable is published, but it would be great if they could add a couple of those destinations from CWL to boost the airports winter figures.

 

[Jerry]

With Alicante and Mallorca I've no doubt the airport will be talking too Vueling as well. Tenerife is a route Ryanair knows well so fingers crossed for winter 23 which I'd expect to be released in the next couple of weeks.

 

[MrFenner]

I for one am absolutely dumbfounded there is no low-cost operator to PMI this summer.

Prime target route for FR since VY dropped it, you'd think.

 

[Jerry]

Yes it will be strange just too see TUI as the only operator on Mallorca. I'd be very surprised if the situation is the same for Summer 24

 

[CM.]

The issue is having aircraft availably which to me is what they don’t have currently as at LBA they’ve reduced the base to 2 aircraft (usually it’s 3 based) for 2 months which is apparently because of late aircraft deliveries.

I’m sure PMI-CWL would work well for Ryanair but they might not have the capacity to add more flights at this stage.

 

[CraigW92]

I think it will be interesting to keep an eye on how FR do this summer particularly on DUB, I’ve seen a few potential customers note on how unfriendly the departure times are on certain days from CWL

MON: 23:00
TUE: 09:45
WED: 22:50
THU: 23:05
FRI: 17:55
SAT: 22:05
SUN: 13:25

Realistically there 3/4 deprtures there that are too late, looking at the seat map for today there are only around 60 booked on the outward leg, yesterday’s late night flight looked similar, hopefully going forward the timings are revised with either a based AC ( long shot I know ) in the future or better timings from DUB like we had last summer, would be a shame to see it’s progress stall.

 

[Jerry]

I think it will be interesting to keep an eye on how FR do this summer particularly on DUB, I’ve seen a few potential customers note on how unfriendly the departure times are on certain days from CWL

MON: 23:00
TUE: 09:45
WED: 22:50
THU: 23:05
FRI: 17:55
SAT: 22:05
SUN: 13:25

Realistically there 3/4 deprtures there that are too late, looking at the seat map for today there are only around 60 booked on the outward leg, yesterday’s late night flight looked similar, hopefully going forward the timings are revised with either a based AC ( long shot I know ) in the future or better timings from DUB like we had last summer, would be a shame to see it’s progress stall.

Switch the it around and these are the times departing Dublin
Mon 21.25
Tue 07.55
Wed 21.15
Thurs 21.30
Fri 18.35
Sat 20.30
Sun 11.45

A route like Dublin needs too friendly both ways and an airline like Ryanair may well be looking more towards the Irish market flying too Wales than the Welsh market flying too Ireland because they know the latter will look at Bristol if they don't have the times they want.

 

[CraigW92]

Switch the it around and these are the times departing Dublin
Mon 21.25
Tue 07.55
Wed 21.15
Thurs 21.30
Fri 18.35
Sat 20.30
Sun 11.45

A route like Dublin needs too friendly both ways and an airline like Ryanair may well be looking more towards the Irish market flying too Wales than the Welsh market flying too Ireland because they know the latter will look at Bristol if they don't have the times they want.

I tend to agree travel patterns for different customers vary as well, it’ll be interesting to see how BFS gets on too , hopefully we can have a strong summer on all the routes and it’ll lead to FR growth in thr near future, FAO looks strong today and AGP looks to be full on Saturday which always nice to see

 

[Finger66]

Switch the it around and these are the times departing Dublin
Mon 21.25
Tue 07.55
Wed 21.15
Thurs 21.30
Fri 18.35
Sat 20.30
Sun 11.45

A route like Dublin needs too friendly both ways and an airline like Ryanair may well be looking more towards the Irish market flying too Wales than the Welsh market flying too Ireland because they know the latter will look at Bristol if they don't have the times they want.

I think you can argue this the other way too. If Irish pax don’t like the times they too will source alternative airports, e.g. BRS. But putting this into perspective all airports suffer leakage to other airports so CWL potentially no different there. The positive is FR are growing their programme steadily so give it all a fair chance and keep all crossed for further expansion

 

[Jerry]

If Irish pax don’t like the times they too will source alternative airports, e.g. BRS.

In that respect they're likely too look too change the destination of their entire holiday if their tourists. Obviously VFR traffic etc are would be different.

 

[Jerry]

I've seen some social media posts that seem too indicate that despite the non friendly times Ryanair don't seem to be having problems filling the aircraft. Obviously yield is a complete unknown.

 

[Foxlimayankee]

I've seen some social media posts that seem too indicate that despite the non friendly times Ryanair don't seem to be having problems filling the aircraft. Obviously yield is a complete unknown.

It is Easter week though.

 

[Tinkerman]

Just to add to the above, the last couple of BFS flights have been rather well loaded. Fares don’t appear to be that high though …