CAA Provisional Statistics Update

[Aviador]

Hi markietg

Most of the figures are already uploaded to the CAA site with Leeds Bradford as one of the few exceptions.

 

[yorkshire]

Has the leeds/bradford passenger figures been released yet for may?

 

[White Heather]

They are probably doing a re-count as they can't believe how high they are! :good:

 

[radar]

... and they're out!

286377 pax in May. Busiest May ever and a 13.3% increase on May 2010, the strong growth continues even after the opening of the FR base.

Year-to-Date figure is now 2.913m, just short of LBA's busiest YTD ever, which was 2.914m in Aug 2008.

 

[radar]

Given the 13.3% increase in May, August will be the month to look out for.

If the monthly pax figures continue to grow by around 10% over the summer, then August could be the month in which LBA reaches two massive landmarks: Year-to-Date pax passing 3m; and the first month in which the airport handles more than 400,000 pax.

 

[Aviador]

Great news and as you say, the middle of the summer during the school holidays will be the period to look out for when the passenger numbers peek.

These kind of passenger figures will be sending a very clear message to Bridgepoint that they need to allow the improvements to go ahead and to the airlines looking at the possibility of serving Leeds Bradford airport in the future.

 

[wawkrk]

I think the 3 million mark will be flagged up by airlines looking for new routes.
Maybe TheLocalYokal can give an insight into this using Bristol as an example.
I know when you reach a certain point, growth can become exponential.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

I think the 3 million mark will be flagged up by airlines looking for new routes.
Maybe TheLocalYokal can give an insight into this using Bristol as an example.
I know when you reach a certain point, growth can become exponential.

I believe that LBA and BRS have quite a lot in common so BRS's experience might have some relevance.

BRS was in the 1.5 mppa to 2.1 mppa bracket from 1995 until 2000 when it had no low cost airline apart from Ryanair to Dublin.

Go arrived in 2001 making BRS its second base after Stansted and fortunes took off (no pun) from there. easyJet absorbed Go and increased its BRS presence year by year until 2008 by which time 12 319s were based in peak summer. Ryanair had become a bigger player with routes operated by non-based aircraft until winter 2007 when it opened a two-aircraft base, since expanded to five aircraft.

All this is well illustrated in the subsequent annual passenger figures in millions per annum:

2001 2.673
2002 3.415
2004 4.603
2005 5.199
2006 5.710
2007 5.884
2008 6.229

The recession hit BRS as it did all airports though BRS rode it better than most. However, annual figures dropped back in 2009 and have yet to get back to the record year of 2008.

2009 5.615
2010 5.723
Current 12-month rolling figure to May 2011 5.806

All this does show how once momentum gains pace it can produce quite spectacular results. LBA's recent figures suggest that it is still powering ahead even though the new Ryanair base of last year now forms part of last year's comparison figures.

 

[User0001]

The very latest passenger number predictions, taken from the council's minutes on the recent off-site car parking decisions

Revised predictions based on LBIA’s forecasts, are that the airport will handle 2.93
million passengers per annum (mppa) in 2011/12, 4.0mppa in 2015/16 and
4.45mppa in 2018/2019. The Inspector, looking at 4mppa (and taking into account
present on-airport parking, the lawful Sentinel and LBA Carwatch sites) stated that
there could be a shortfall in provision at that point of between 1,594 and 1,927
spaces.

 

[Bigman]

Well, a disappointing 3.3% increase only for June. Running year now 2,923,635. ABZ have nearly caught us up again.

 

[dmrodgers]

Well, a disappointing 3.3% increase only for June. Running year now 2,923,635. ABZ have nearly caught us up again.

Well, perhaps not as good as we would have hoped, but an increase is an increase which is better than most airports have reported. Provoding we keep moving forward each month it shows that the airport is making progress and once the recession is over it puts us in a good position to attract airlines and routes unlike our other Yorkshire neighbours.

 

[tleeds]

Quite right dmrodgers, we need to remain positive as it is still an increase. Don't forget though June is the time when a lot of people have already returned from their break, for the last week of May which is the school holidays.
August should be the month to look out for if we want to see a rise in passenger traffic. Actually today onward for the rest of this month should see an increase in traffic as well, as today is the national Summer school closure day. Obviously, private schools and colleges broke-up a few weeks back, so July and August and possibly the beginning of September should see higher increases nationally and also for LBA.

Let's just hope we reach the 3million mark, as that would be a well received achievement for the airport. Next year as well should see an ease in traffic as the new refurbished terminal should be ready by then.. so watch this space.

 

[White Heather]

Percentages don't really tell the full story do they? 3.3% of a large figure can be more extra passengers than 10% of lower figure, so the bit I would like to know is actually how many additional passengers used the airport in June compared 2010? As has already been said, ANY increase is good news and LBA has now had increases over a number of months. There are a good few airports that would love to be able to say that!

 

[TheLocalYokel]

Heather,

LBA handled 320,112 terminal pax this June compared with 309,790 in June 2010 so 10,322 more were handled this year.

Terminal pax will be added to the CAA stats when the full figures are published in a couple of months. They can be found in table 02.2 - 'Summary of activity at UK airports'. In June 2010 LBA saw 3,524 transit passengers.

Back to June 2011 and the 3.3% per cent rise in passenger numbers was achieved with 3.9% fewer flights which is always the right way round, assuming the majority of aircraft are approximately the same size in seating capacity which, broadly, they are at LBA.

 

[White Heather]

Thanks Local Yokel.

Well I consider another £10K pax is quite good considering we had less flights as obviously what we did have were pretty close to full.

 

[User0001]

... and they're out!

286377 pax in May. Busiest May ever and a 13.3% increase on May 2010, the strong growth continues even after the opening of the FR base.

Year-to-Date figure is now 2.913m, just short of LBA's busiest YTD ever, which was 2.914m in Aug 2008.

So the 2.924m reported for the 12 months to June11, presumably means the airport has just had its busiest 12 month period on record.

In terms of June itself, the reduction in flights of 3.9% equates to about 140 flights, which is pretty much exactly the number of flights Flybe would have operated on the Gatwick service last June. It also means that the near 5,000 passengers lost due to Gatwick being cancelled were made up by other operators, plus they added a further 10,000 on top of that. So a gross 15,000 passengers added on a zero increase in flights.

What's helping LBA is that passengers have deserted North Africa, an area the tour operators have been relying on over the last few years as a safe haven from the competition to Spain and Portgual from Ryanair / Easyjet / Jet2 etc. The political tension has of course led to passengers switching to other destinations, so Spain and Portgual have benefited. This has been good news for LBA given its extensive programme to this part of the world coupled with the fact it only had a fledgling operation to Egypt and Tunsia so didn't have much to lose.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

Terminal pax will be added to the CAA stats when the full figures are published in a couple of months. They can be found in table 02.2 - 'Summary of activity at UK airports'. In June 2010 LBA saw 3,524 transit passengers.

Sorry, a typo - this should have read:

Transit pax will be added to the CAA stats when the full figures are published in a couple of months. They can be found in table 02.2 - 'Summary of activity at UK airports'. In June 2010 LBA saw 3,524 transit passengers.

 

[Bigman]

Yes, very disappointing figures again. Well below LPL and MAN in % terms. LCY will be above us again soon. Given the big decreases we can expect this winter due to a massive drop in charter and cruise flights, the bubble looks to have burst for the time being.

 

[Aviador]

Yes, very disappointing figures again. Well below LPL and MAN in % terms. LCY will be above us again soon. Given the big decreases we can expect this winter due to a massive drop in charter and cruise flights, the bubble looks to have burst for the time being.

..but is it that disappointing? I don't think the number of flights has changed considerably this summer so surely the relatively small increase in passenger numbers is good considering most aircraft are going out full, or at least where Jet2 and Ryanair are concerned they are.

 

[White Heather]

I am not disappointed! Any increase is good news, and better than most airports. Given the fact that at this time of year it is almost impossible to fit more passengers in the terminal, I wouldn't expect a large increase. It was in the Spring, and perhaps in the Autumn, when the real gains are to be made. The cruise flights going is a shame - but there weren't so many and in real terms it has little impact. The loss of the LGW route will affect figures more I suspect. Saying that the bubble has burst seems rather negative in my view considering what is going on with the economy. It could be a hell of a lot worse!