CAA Provisional Statistics Update

[TheLocalYokel]

August 2014

CAA stats published today for LBA.

436,180 passengers were handled, down 1.4% on August 2013. Atms were down 2.7%. Rolling 12-month total was 3,269,988, up 3.1% on a year ago.

The LHR route carried 11,905 passengers, a rise of 18% on August last year.

 

[Aviador]

The Heathrow passenger figures are excellent and long may it continue. The route seems to be gaining sufficient momentum to warrant a night-stopping aircraft to allow for an earlier southbound flight.

As for the passenger figures in general, quite poor really considering other airports in the North are on the whole performing well. Manchester saw a whopping 8.2% increase on August last year. Doncaster airport saw a 2% rise and East Midlands saw a 4.3% rise.

 

[ChurchFenton]

Although overall numbers are slightly down, I'm finding a good deal of encouragement when looking at the key year-round routes, which are showing very healthy increases:

Heathrow (up 18%)
Amsterdam (up 20%)
Belfast City (up 8%)

Even Dublin (down 4%) will hopefully be boosted once EI arrive next month, not to mention the thrice daily ABZ-LBA-SOU-JER Flybe shuttle due to commence. This hopefully bodes well for a positive winter when the holiday market has less influence over numbers using LBA.

 

[Aviador]

Indeed, when you look at the overall picture there are some positives and hopefully LBA will build on that into 2015.

 

[cmj]

AMS up 20% must mean most of KLMs extra capacty is being sold, and LHR improving too which is very good.

 

[Bigman]

As put on the BA thread, a good increase for September. Belfast City up 8% again and Glasgow is showing a good increase as well. Seems that FlyBe are doing quite well now, so hopefully this will stand us in good stead when the new ABZ/SOU/JER flights start next weekend.

 

[Seasider]

As you may be aware, the September figures are out but not the total figure for LBA. It is a while since they were not in the first release.

 

[Bigman]

Updated stats now on the website. LBA down 3.2%. September total 381,032...rolling year 3,257,275. Rolling year is now down to just 0.9% up on the same period last year.

 

[lbaspotter]

Lets just hope we start to see an increase over the next few months of this year.

Positives for winter 2014/15

Extra's compaied to last year
SAS: to Copenhagen
Flybe: new routes to Aberdeen & Southampton
Aer Lingus = Dublin
Monarch = New route to Las Palmas
Jet2 = Budapest & Fuerteventura operating now peak winter months, Plus extra New York Charters.
Also
British Airways passenger figures increasing every month,
Eastern Airways: Now operating business friendly flights with the faster & larger Embrear1 35,
KLM City Hopper: Increaseing from 3x daily Fokker 70 to the larger Embrear 190
Ryanair = Seems to be operating more flights this winter.

 

[ridgeback]

Sadly BA are also cutting a lot of days down to 2 rotations during winter.

A really frustrating decision driven by a lot of factors.

 

[White Heather]

That does sound a bit barmy to be honest, and disappointing, just as passenger demand is really picking up. It wouldn't be so bad if BA increased the aircraft size to an A320. I have just been on the search engine to check out fares for the 23rd (next week) and its showing the BA1340 LHR-LBA morning flight as sold out, and on the same day the BA1345 LBA-LHR evening flight (that is reputed to be half empty usually) also as sold out.

 

[ridgeback]

I'd try that again Heather. Those flights are not sold out.

Not saying you are wrong but possibly there was a glitch with the website when you tried.

 

[ChurchFenton]

Interesting that it seems to be the passengers figures to Spain which have seen some of the larger drops during September (with a few exceptions), whilst some of the core year-round routes such as Amsterdam, Heathrow and Belfast appear to be going from strength to strength. Was not long ago that it seemed to be the Spanish routes which were driving much of the passenger growth.

 

[Seasider]

The full figures are out. Month - 381032 (-3.2%); year - 3257275 (+0.9%).
Lokks like its going to negative growth this year (unless BE and EI do well)

 

[Bigman]

I tend to agree with you Seasider. I think they always expected 2014 to drop off. We will have to see what 2015 brings. At least we know that we have retained Monarch, got a much bigger FlyBe programme and new Stobbart Air flights.

 

[Seasider]

The CAA stats are out for October - 315814 -1.9%; year to date - 3250991 -0.8%.
This is the first time the total for the year has shown a decrease. Unless Flybe Shuttle and Aer Lingus Regional get good loads in Nov/Dec, 2014 will be less than 2013.

NB LHR showed a 2% increase, let's hope the yields were good.

 

[Bigman]

Let's not be too downhearted that only Liverpool (now dropped below 4 million) and Cardiff did worse than we did. As mentioned above, Heathrow went up 2%. On to of that Dublin went up 8% to 18575, Belfast went up 10% to 14421 and Amsterdam went up a whopping 17% to 23827. That's all 3 interlining hub routes seeing increases. We must be doing something right. Surely we will see some more Belfast rotations next year the way their figures are growing each month.

 

[leedsman]

November provisional numbers have been released today, and they bring some good news;

Movements up 15% on same month last year.

Passengers up 1.7% on same month last year to 168,824.

Rolling Year down 1.5% to 3,253,780.

The new routes from Flybe and Aer Lingus should now begin to feed through.

 

[Bigman]

As you have mentioned FlyBe, here we go.

Belfast was down 2% to 12,093
Aberdeen was down 59% to 632 - Flybe don't seem to have had much impact here
Jersey was down 7% to 212 - interestingly these figures are showing as charter, so the FlyBe passengers must be being included in the Southampton figures....which funnily enough have rocketed up 38% to 7,212

Heathrow has gone up 1% to 10,298
Dublin has shot up 30% to 20,999 - Stobart must have something to do with this
Amsterdam went up 11% to 19,984

So business on the interlining routes seems to be going well.

 

[LBA787]

Aberdeen will no doubt have been influenced by the falling price of oil.

Growth is growth so I'm happy with that.

:crazy: