CAA Provisional Statistics Update

[mathers_wales_uk]

Re: Passenger Figures

with the merging of My-travel and Thomas cook, Removal of 1 Tom 757, recession, downgrading of KLM units to F-70 instead of F-100, reduction in services of OHY flights & zoom going bust there is no wonder that CWL is suffering such poor figures compared the national average. Only positive news on the contrary was the addition of the ABZ serive extra rotations to JER with BE & Saga flights to BJV

We will continue to see a large % reduction in the number of passengers compared to last year and national aerage throughout the summer.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

Re: Passenger Figures

August 2009

199,787 passengers were handled in the month, down 19% on August 2008. Slightly worrying is that atms were down only 13.7% meaning lower average loads.

Rolling 12-month figure is 1,738,808, down 15.5% on a year ago.

The only consolation is that the monthly and ultimately rolling 12-monthly figures should begin to look better percentage-wise in the next few months because of the lower base on which they will be calculated. Actual passenger numbers (the real test) will still be down sharply from their peaks.

 

[Aviador]

Re: Passenger Figures

[textarea]Big passenger drop at Cardiff Airport

Cardiff Airport has fallen to its lowest place in the UK airport rankings for four years, the Western Mail reports that new passenger number figures show. The airport fell behind Southampton to 20th in the most recent figures released by the Civil Aviation Authority for the year from August 2008 to the end of July 2009, with passenger numbers of 1.78m, nearly 300,000 (17%) down on the previous year.

Cardiff has only fallen so low in the rankings once before in the last 20 years, for a brief spell during 2005. For the year from July 2008 to June 2009, it was ranked one position higher in the UK airport league table at 19th. Cardiff’s nearest rival, Bristol, showed passenger numbers from August 2008 to July 2009 dropping by 562,000 to 5.6 million.

Source[/textarea]

 

[welshguy39]

Re: Passenger Figures

well its going to take a miracle now :sad:

 

[TheLocalYokel]

Re: Passenger Figures

September 2009

181,775 passengers were handled in the month, down 17.7% on September 2008. Still slightly worrying is that atms were down only 13.3% meaning lower average loads.

Rolling 12-month figure is 1,699,540, down 16.4% on a year ago.

September's percentage decrease is a touch better than August's (down 19%) but the rolling 12-month figure till the end of September is 16.4% lower than a year ago compared with August's 12-month rolling figure that was down 15.5% on the previous year.

I also looked at September 2007 and note that CWL's September 2009 figure is down a huge 26% on September 2007.

Percentage-wise, if not in actual numbers, the headline news will begin to start to look better as the winter proceeds because the big drops that began a year ago will begin to drop out of the calculations, always assuming there is no catastrophic fall in actual numbers this winter.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

Re: Passenger Figures

October 2008

148,720 passengers were handled in the month, down 18.4% on October 2008. Still slightly worrying is that atms were down only 13.3% (as last month) meaning lower average loads.

It has to be born in mind that October 2008 was a poor month as well, down 13% compared with October 2007 so at the moment there is little sign that CWL's percentage monthly passenger losses are bottoming out, even when based on lower figures 12 months ago.

Rolling 12-month figure is 1,666,068, down 16.9% on a year ago.

The airport is in desperate need of a boost. As everywhere charter flights are well down on previous years and its based low-cost carrier, bmibaby, has retrenched even further at CWL from a position that has never been very significant.

Whether FlyForBeans will be the answer is still with the jury. One wonders what it would take for a significant established player to enter the fray at CWL in a bigger way than baby has ever done - Jet2 perhaps or Flybe?

 

[Aviador]

Re: Passenger Figures

The problem Cardiff might have now is that airlines are more careful at starting up new services. Thomson's have tried a low cost base there and failed as have bmibaby who have been largely unable to make any real impact there either whilst rival airports are proving the natural choice to locate new services.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

Re: Passenger Figures

November 2009

Only 80,774 passengers were handled in the month, down 19.4% on November 2008. The reason is clear to see - atms were down 16.1%.

Cardiff just cannot bring down those monthly percentage drops, despite the figures being based on a low figure twelve months ago. The consolation is that when things begin to pick up (when!), if only moderately, the percentage gains will look quite impressive.

Rolling 12-month figure is 1,646,222, down 17.3% on a year ago.

 

[Aviador]

Re: Passenger Figures

What's flights have been lost at Cardiff to account for such a large loss in comparison to the same period last year?

 

[TheLocalYokel]

Re: Passenger Figures

Mainly bmibaby. They have been reducing services at CWL for more than a year.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

Re: Passenger Figures

December 2009

It just gets worse at CWL.

CAA provisional stats for December 2009 saw only 69,575 passengers handled, down 23.6% on December 2008. Atms were down 18.4% on December the previous year.

Rolling 12-month figure (the figure for the calendar year of 2009) is 1,624,728 passengers handled, down 17.9% on this time a year ago. Atms for the year were down 12.1%.

The only consolation is that in percentage terms future figures won't look so bad because the base figure has now become so low. Exeter had a similar dreadful 18 months and that airport was down only 8% in December 2009 because the early big percentage drops have now dropped out of the system.

This still doesn't translate into more fare-paying passengers though.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

Re: Passenger Figures

January 2010

No sign of a let-up in the downward spiral.

CAA stats show just 63,793 passengers were handled in January, down 20.1% on January 2009 with atms down only 14.4%. In fact the January figures are down over 31% on January 2008 which illustrates the length of the slump at this airport.

The rolling 12-month total is 1,608,636 which is down 18.2% on a year ago.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

Re: Passenger Figures

February 2010

The dreadful two-year run continues.

CAA stats show that 79,150 passengers were handled in February, down 14.7% on February 2009 with atms down 11.4%.

The rolling 12-month total is 1,594,992 which is down 18.3% on a year ago.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

Re: Passenger Figures

March 2010

More of the same I'm afraid.

CAA stats show that 93,340 passengers were handled in March, down 15.7% on March 2009 with atms down 15.9%.

The rolling 12-month total is 1,577,383 which is down 18.1% on a year ago.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

Re: Passenger Figures

May 2010

Still a double digit drop in passenger numbers - 143,522 passengers carried, down 14.7% compared with May 2009 but atms down 16.9%.

The positve thing is that the passenger numbers are falling in line with the reduction in flights which suggests that loads are holding up on those services that do operate.

Rolling 12-month total to end of May 2010 is 1,513,256 which is 19% down on a year ago.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

Re: Passenger Figures

June 2010

Poor old Cardiff's dreadful run of monthly falling passenger numbers goes on and on and, apart from the minuscule Shoreham Airport, shows the biggest percentage passenger drop in June of the 49 airports so far reported to the CAA.

In June the airport handled 162,755 passengers, 12.3% down on June 2009 with atms down 14.6%.

The rolling 12-month total to the end of June 2010 is 1,490,470, down 18.5% on a year ago and around 30% lower than its best 12-month period a couple of years ago.

The last time a calendar year saw fewer than 1.5 million passengers was 2002. Let's hope things pick up sufficiently to get above this figure by the end of this year.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

July 2010

CAA stats show 170,429 passengers handled in the month, down 10.1% on July 2009. Atms down 12.7% so at least that's a crumb of comfort in that passenger numbers did not decrease by quite that amount in percentage terms.

Rolling 12-month figure is 1,471,407, down 17.6% on a year ago.

 

[Aviador]

August

Passenger numbers for August were down -11.3% on August last year. Rolling year passengers stand at 1,448,863 down -16.7 year on year.

When will the decline ever stop? Is Cardiff airport finding it's true capacity as a regional airport or is the airport grossly under served, what do you think?

 

[TheLocalYokel]

When will the decline ever stop? Is Cardiff airport finding it's true capacity as a regional airport or is the airport grossly under served, what do you think?

It is underserved - of that there is no doubt and its potential is not being fully realised - but the recession has caused airlines to withdraw (or go bust) and others are reluctant to test the water until the economy is definitely seen to be on the up.

CWL is particularly badly affected because, the Cardiff region apart, the country is not a good performer economically.

In addition, and this is purely a personal view, the CWL management makes too much of the airport's malaise (partly the fault of the management and owners) and the fact that state aid is not more readily forthcoming.

It seems to forget that English airports manage quite successfully in the main,with no recourse to state aid.

I am sure that when the world economy picks up CWL will begin to see a resurgence though I don't believe its catchment size, especially the type of catchment, will ever permit it to be anything but a relatively modest regional performer.

Where it could find a market is in long haul charter with such destinations as Florida, Canada and the Caribbean served in the past now ignored, except for some cruise flights mainly in the winter. There are also some key business routes to Europe that are lacking.

Currently, it is 20th in size in the UK in terms of passengers handled, and it's hard to see how it can climb this 'league table' to any degree when one looks at most of the airports above it. Realistically, it might climb to around 16th or 17th if it can get its act together.

 

[Aviador]

I was checking the site statistics and Cardiff airport had an interesting visitor checking this thread this morning...

A visitor from Redmond, Washington arrived on "CAA Provisional Statistics Update : Cardiff Airport Forum - Page 2"

I wonder if it's a prospective airline employee looking at the airport performance? Clearly they wont be over excited by the figures they see.