Indeed.I would say to wait until official announcements are made before anyone starts to celebrate...err on the side of caution!
Lets not forget TUI are a holiday charter airline. They tend to release their holidays well in advance as opposed to scheduled airlines that release 6 months before. So any expansion will likely be due very soon.
More W patterns are likely to be the case than jumping straight into a 5th aircraft. Another aircraft will also pose the challenge of finding pilots willing to relocate, along with what will happen to them in the winter.