Paulsstrange
Active Member
- Feb 1, 2016
- 353
- 63
The airport have just announced investment in facilities this winter...included is rectifying issues relating to baggage handling
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The airport have just announced investment in facilities this winter...included is rectifying issues relating to baggage handling
I hope that I have not irritated
I recall when travel was relative to the time endured before the current standard of everything upon demand that is relevant to the Digital Age
AND why should people North of Watford pay for this when we have our own airports here, at Manchester and even Edinburgh !
I read on another popular forum on their Heathrow thread that they are holding out the begging bowl for £12,000,000,000m from the taxpayer !
Blimey, that was an essay Judge Jenny would be proud of !!When I lived in Southampton for a year, I heard the same argument about HS2 from people living there - "we won't use it or benefit from it, so why should we pay for it" - some were actually using it to justify voting for UKIP.
The cost of expansion at Heathrow is disputed by pretty much everyone involved. The cost of the airport expansion itself it widely accepted as costing £18bn-19bn - the airport has said all of this will be funded privately by their investors and payed for by passenger charges.
The dispute about cost is from the surface access side of things. Heathrow have said they'll contribute £1bn to upgrade any surface access. The commission estimated that necessary upgrades would cost £5bn. TfL (at the time working for Boris Johnson - a well known opponent of Heathrow expansion) have stated that the most optimal surface access would require £15bn-20bn worth of upgrades. Having read into TfL's estimate, I am yet to see a full breakdown of how much each upgrade will cost. I have also read that included in TfL's calculations was that they expected LHR to pay for a large portion if not all of the maintenance costs for the M25 and M4 closest to the airport and all local roads. Seeming as airport traffic is a relatively small percentage of total users on the motorways at least, is that really justified? It seems as if TfL have said if a LHR passenger uses it, Heathrow must contribute to the pot. This would include HS2 & Crossrail 2. How much of the pot of each TfL have suggested Heathrow should pay is unclear, but I suspect as they probably used a un-proportionally high percentage.
In essence, Heathrow aren't holding out the begging bowl at all because they feel it's not required.
Considering the Western Rail Link to Heathrow is being costed at £500m and already committed, the only other future rail upgrades that aren't committed yet is the Southern rail access. I can't see that costing more than £500m either. Heathrow have now proposed bridging the M25 with the runway instead of tunneling the M25 - this is likely to cut the cost by a significant amount.
A list of potential projects required for expansion to my knowledge are:
1). Southern rail link - ~£500m
2). M4 upgrades - ~£1bn (being very generous)
3). M25 upgrades - ~£1bn (being very generous)
4). Piccadilly line upgrade - ~£1bn
Just with these four projects the cost of surface access is £3.5bn. I at least find it hard to imagine what on earth would cost £20bn or even as "Just Birmingham" suggested £12bn.
As a local I support expansion at Birmingham. However I accept that Heathrow plays a role in UK aviation that no other airport in the UK can, hence why I also support expansion at Heathrow.
I don't personally think that a third runway at Heathrow will affect current long haul flights at Birmingham:
New York - Heathrow already has close to 30 daily flights to New York. It has often been claimed that London - New York has too much capacity, so I don't think it likely that United would dump its 1 flight to Birmingham in favour of a new one to Heathrow.
Indian & Pakistan destinations - these flights serve local populations of both Indians and Pakistani's and would therefore be unlikely to be affected by a third runway.
Emirates & Qatar - Emirates at least (and most likely Qatar) are both very interested in serving regional airports - these flights are also unlikely to disappear.
Short haul flights - passengers will typically fly to wherever their local airports has routes to. Your unlikely to get someone travelling from Manchester to Heathrow to fly to Brussels say.
The only impact a third runway at Heathrow would have on Birmingham would be potentially putting of airlines launching routes to Birmingham in favour of launching them from Heathrow. To me this would suggest that an airline would only launch flights to Birmingham because it couldn't get into Heathrow. This is very unlikely - Heathrow have stated on numerous occasions that they have 30 airlines wanting to launch new routes or increase frequencies on current ones. Why aren't they using Birmingham in the meantime?
Demand alone for a flight isn't sufficient to warrant an airline launching a route - there needs to be sufficient demand. For some reason legacy airlines aren't too keen on launching just 1x weekly flights - the minimum is usually 3x weekly. Therefore for a route to Hong Kong say, assuming a 250 seat aircraft, there would need to be 1,500 people wanting to fly to and from Hong Kong every week. There may be 5000 people in the Birmingham area travelling to Heathrow or Manchester for flights to Hong Kong but if each of them are only going once or twice a year say, there isn't sufficient demand to launch regular flights. I seem to recall hearing that the majority of passengers on the summer charter flights to Beijing were Chinese passengers coming here.
Even if the government does go for Heathrow, a new runway is still 10 years away. Birmingham - the city and airport - can do a lot in that time to put itself out there and market Birmingham as a destination in its own right.
Apologies for the rather long rant - I'm sure I could probably write a book on Heathrow/Airport expansion, though I don't many would read it! Haha
If PK thinks Heathrow is an utter waste of money well sorry he is wiser than both of us
The £12bn figure came from the Airport Commission.
sum investment in UK
"a burger if we are lucky" !
At least Birmingham is UK owned. ....as well!
49% UK ownership and 48.25% AGIL ( combined Australian and Canadian pension funds and investment funds )
Ahh, yet another person that doesn't understand the concept of a hub. Whilst yes, a passenger just changing planes at Heathrow will spend little on "a burger", the true benefit of these passengers to UK PLC is that they make many more routes viable that otherwise wouldn't be.
I support BHX
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