CAA Provisional Statistics Update

[Ianbutty]

I reckon 1.44mill and then even for rest of the year. Ever the optimist.

 

[Ray Finkle]

I'll wait for Woody's prediction and go with that

 

[rollo]

I'll wait for Woody's prediction and go with that

That's cheating !

 

[58terminus]

I'll wait for the BHX press office.Does anybody know the August figures?

 

[Ray Finkle]

Does anybody know the August figures?

1,495,578 up 16.2%

Rolling year 12,896,469 up 16.5%

 

[58terminus]

Thanks Ray.Maybe you could let the airport no

 

[Brum X]

Thanks Ray.Maybe you could let the airport no

This is why i repeat that BHX knew something big was going to happen and thought it was best not to release figures that they knew would come crashing down. Just my thoughts anyway

As we know BHX is going to be hit the hardest from the Monarch crash out of all the airports they operated from.

 

[JF57]

This is why i repeat that BHX knew something big was going to happen and thought it was best not to release figures that they knew would come crashing down. Just my thoughts anyway

As we know BHX is going to be hit the hardest from the Monarch crash out of all the airports they operated from.

Hit hardest presumably as a percentage not absolute numbers?

 

[User001]

Numbers and percentage.

Monarch were one of the biggest carriers at BHX and BHX had become their largest base too.

 

[IanFarquharson]

Numbers and percentage.

Monarch were one of the biggest carriers at BHX and BHX had become their largest base too.

But will hopefully recover the quickest !
I still see 2018 as bring up on 2017

 

[nwoody2001]

Numbers and percentage.

Monarch were one of the biggest carriers at BHX and BHX had become their largest base too.

I actually believe in terms of seats offered it was:

1. Gatwick
2. Birmingham
3. Manchester

 

[Brum X]

I actually believe in terms of seats offered it was:

1. Gatwick
2. Birmingham
3. Manchester

 

[Ianbutty]

It Will recover quickly. The airport is in a completely different place than when baby bm went under. Other airlines have been swift to increase capacity and it looks like new route announcements soon, maybe.

 

[nwoody2001]

So been having a think of what the next few month figures will look like.

Obviously with regard to growth, MON will have a big impact on our growth figures. That said, the good thing is that Jet2 replaces MON this winter as Jet2 only started in March. The drop will really show however from March 2018 onwards unless other airlines come in a fill the void.

Some back of the ft packet workings to be suggest/predict the following:

Sept: 1,400,000 +16%
Oct: 1,120,000 +5%
Nov: 825,000 +6%
Dec: 890,000 +5%

Yearly total: 13,240,000 +13.7%

Monarch impact loss ~ 200,000 seats/pax

Just my thoughts. Remember DY Only operated daily flights, VY flights dropped major capacity in winter months and UA only had 4 flights a week so their loss won't be felt so bad in the winter.

Next summer though will be interesting?!

 

[58terminus]

The airport is in a completely different place than when baby bm went under.

BMI Baby did not go under.They were closed down by IAG who only wanted BMI's Heathrow slots.

 

[Ianbutty]

Thanks for clarifying 58terminus. My apologies.

 

[Brum X]

So been having a think of what the next few month figures will look like.

Obviously with regard to growth, MON will have a big impact on our growth figures. That said, the good thing is that Jet2 replaces MON this winter as Jet2 only started in March. The drop will really show however from March 2018 onwards unless other airlines come in a fill the void.

Some back of the ft packet workings to be suggest/predict the following:

Sept: 1,400,000 +16%
Oct: 1,120,000 +5%
Nov: 825,000 +6%
Dec: 890,000 +5%

Yearly total: 13,240,000 +13.7%

Monarch impact loss ~ 200,000 seats/pax

Just my thoughts. Remember DY Only operated daily flights, VY flights dropped major capacity in winter months and UA only had 4 flights a week so their loss won't be felt so bad in the winter.

Next summer though will be interesting?!

Thanks for the calculations woody. so we might see 13million after all.

 

[nwoody2001]

Well we have already achieved 13m as of the 21st sept ...we now just need to stay stable to keep it at 13m! Even with the failure of MON, with Jet2 here, I don't think we will go into negative growth in 2017!

 

[Ianbutty]

EDI just under 1.3 million (+8.4%) for September....rolling year at 13,190,878
LTN 1.5 million up 5%
MAN 2.87 up 7.4%
STD 2.46 up 12.6%
EMA 0.55 up 3%
GLA 0.92 up 4%
BRS no info
BHX...........

 

[JF57]

But will hopefully recover the quickest !
I still see 2018 as bring up on 2017

EDI just under 1.3 million (+8.4%) for September....rolling year at 13,190,878
LTN 1.5 million up 5%
MAN 2.87 up 7.4%
STD 2.46 up 12.6%
EMA 0.55 up 3%
GLA 0.92 up 4%
BRS no info
BHX...........

BHX late again ....