From July Ryanair will operate the new BRS-BHD route twice daily. Seems a surprise because the May figures were not great - 6419 passengers, average load 104, load factor 55%.
Even odder is that the new rotation will be at lunchtime and the other one later in the day, so there is no opportunity for a day trip in either direction.
easyJet reduced its BFS route from 3 x daily to 2x daily (slightly fewer at weekends) for this summer and carried 13,635 in May, ave load 120, load factor 77%.
Perhaps FR thinks it can grab some of these passengers but it still seems strange to me.
The new FR routes commence in the first week of July and although there will be two extra aircraft based (giving a total of four) some of the routes currently operated by a/c from other bases will transfer to BRS-based machines - these are the Shannon, Belfast City and one of the 3 daily Dublin rotations.
The current FR route figures for May are as follows and are a mixed bag.
Dublin 22302 passengers/ave load 134/load factor 71%
Shannon 6604/106/56%
Knock 3150/88/46%
Riga 2550/142/75%
Poznan 3224/179/95%
Wroclaw 3015/168/89%
Rzeszow 2687/168/89% - 1 less rotation in month than Wroclaw
Bratislava 2338/130/69%
Porto 2129/118/63%
Budapest 2929/163/86%
Milan Bergamo 6758/109/58%
Girona 8898/144/76%
Eindhoven 2275/88/46%
Bergerac 3130/112/59%
Beziers 3479/102/54%
Pau 1445/80/42%
The Polish destinations that remain have excellent load factors, albeit one or two have fewer rotations than last summer.
Milan Bergamo still goes daily summer and winter against easyJet to Milan Malpensa, although this summer easy have weakened and no longer operate on Saturdays. In May they carried 5765 passengers on their MXP route, ave load 111, load factor 71%.
Knock and Pau have never been brilliant and Pau was axed for last winter. The main summer months should see Beziers and Bergerac into the 80% load factors, as last year, but I doubt that Eindhoven will do any better than Knock, which route rarely gets beyond 70% load factor in the main part of the summer.
Shannon is regressing - it used to be in the high 70s%, even in early summer.
The load factors are broadly similar to the FR routes for May from Birmingham, published on another website. If this is repeated across the FR UK provincial bases the airline must be concerned about some of the routes.
Of course, all this is of general interest only because, as ever, it does not tell us the important thing - the yield.