CAA Provisional Statistics Update

[Tarn Spotter]

These are George Osbournes pre brexit forecasts, not the actual figures.

 

[Tarn Spotter]

More flights then in October 2015, first time we have seen a positive for ages.
Steady figures, in a year when terrorists effected many European markets and air traffic disputes led to many cancellations.

 

[Aviador]

Passenger figures for LBA originally posted by White Heather.

April 2016 - 277, 194 + 4.56%
May 2016 - 348, 433 + 0.33%
June 2016 - 402, 862 + 2.63%
July 2016 - 443, 205 + 1.95%
Aug 2016 - 455, 815 + 0.88%
Sept 2016 - 410, 159 + 3.62%
Oct 2016 - 340,089 + 3.59%
Nov 2016 - 180,453 + 10.52%
Dec 2016 - 198, 118 + 23.85%

Total to date 3,056,328 + 4.00%​

Source: LBA

As I have already said in the Consultative Committee thread, November and December figures are exceptionally good.

 

[a300boy]

It is noticeable how many more flights there are compared to last year and good to see those passenger figures.

 

[Seasider]

The pax figures are on the CAA website for November and December. True to the latest "***Please Read Forum Terms of Service*** ups" with these figures, the November "Terminal & Transit passengers" show the full year figures for the monthly ones!

 

[752]

Just a few highlights of CAA stats:

November:
LHR: 13,980 up 25%
BHD: 13,270 up 7%
GLA: 1,165 up 126% (very impressive)
GCI: 384
NQY: 1,527
DUB: 24,021 up 9%
ALC: 20,908 up 20%
LPA: 4,831 up 170%
EWR: 1,108 up 28%

December:
LHR: 12,333 up 5%
GLA: 458 up 51%
GCI: 518 up from November
NQY: 1,375
CDG: 3,899 up 12%
SXF: 2,091
DUB: 24,168 up 18%
FAO: 5,456 up 90%
ALC: 17,855 up 34%
AGP: 12,160 up 38%
LPA: 4,673 up 249%
GVA: 5,794 up 39%
EWR: 1,106 up 25%

December was very positive for increases! overall all very impressive!
AMS remained about the same throughout November and December

 

[a300boy]

Would those Geneva figures explain why Easyjet have used A320 aircraft a few times on the route ? I hope so.

 

[Seasider]

I think they started earlier

 

[a300boy]

If the doubling of passengers is as predicted and will be 7 million by the year 2030 you should be about right.
I found a newspaper article comparing Leeds Airports passenger figure percentage rise against a drop of Manchesters figure from a few years ago which is rather funny now as things have turned out.

 

[White Heather]

I may have missed this so apologies in advance if I have; but I was wondering what the predicted passenger throughput for 2017 is likely to be. Looking at schedules there has been significant increases in capacity on certain routes and generally for all operators in the winter. I would gestimate 3.75-3.8 million for 2017 - any thoughts?

As I posted after the recent JCC meeting, the airport's own estimated passenger throughput for 2017 is indeed 3.75m.

 

[Seasider]

My own prediction is 3.72 million, I was less then 4000 out in 2016.

 

[752]

Anybody know our top 15 routes for 2016 and the differences on 2015?

 

[Bigman]

The CAA January stats are out, but as we have seen so many times before, the LBA figure is missing. However, the following stats are available:

Heathrow - 10,768 (+4%
Aberdeen - 352 (-2%)
Belfast City - 11,240 (+6%)
Glasgow - 763 (+55%)
Guernsey - 283
Newquay - 1211

 

[White Heather]

Does anyone know if the LBA figures for January have been added to the CAA stats yet?

 

[Seasider]

When I checked (late) last night, it had been updated with 175 255 pax in January, up 17% on Jan 2016. Good news.

 

[Finger66]

LBA has historically always suffered with severe capacity cuts during the winter months. What these latest figures show is in my eyes three things:
Airlines are starting to provide that winter capacity we have craved for years
Passengers in turn are starting to utilise that capacity
And finally, yes LBA isn't without its weather and other problems, but a 17% increase for the post Xmas month in the middle of deepest winter is absolutely fantastic.
So as I and some other non doom and gloom merchants say, LBA is well on the up

 

[White Heather]

So those excellent results LBA has had approximately 3,232,000 pax in the financial year so far with 2 more months to go, so by the end of March it should be around 3.65m. Very encouraging, particularly given the significant expansion again in the summer and again next winter. The magic 4m pax should be achievable within the next 18 months if this continues.

 

[Aviador]

Does Brexit = Spanner, we will shortly find out I guess?

 

[White Heather]

Well if Brexit equates to a spanner in the works, some airports are going to be hit very badly indeed, and far worse than LBA. The pound has dropped against the Euro making holidays in Euro countries more expensive, yet bookings are doing exceptionally well as we have seen this week, with Jet2 adding yet more departures. So hopefully it will make no difference.

 

[Tarn Spotter]

As a majority of the population overjoyed by the Brexit result, I detect certainly in the north a very positive mood especially in the business community as for our exporters the order books filling up. My grandaughters school meals were until this July supplied by an European company who walked away with the pounds weakness, the contract going to a local company.
Friends in York say online access for this year especially from the States (up 86%), shows weakness of the pound has had a material effect.
last nights votes in the Commons and Lords paved the way for our PM to do a deal without her hands tied. It was no surprise the BBc etc did not show pictures of the European leaders welcoming Mrs May to talks last week, Mrs May having no friends in Europe a few months back, was front page news, now everyone her friend.
Every bit of economic news coming out of europe especially the GDP world figures, must put a huge smile on David Davis the Brexit Minister, he must think Christmas arrived 9 months early.