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The whole thing has been a farce.
I know everyone wants regional airports to grow, as do I, but we all know the only suitable option is Heathrow. It's the biggest airport in Europe for a reason, it's the golden nugget every airline wants, even Easyjet said it wants access when the runways built.
Let's not forget regional airports will still grow, I don't believe LHR will be the big nail in the coffin people expect. If airlines want to serve Birmingham or Manchester, they will, just like they have done throughout the last few years. Yes, there may be a few casualties, it would be naive to say there wouldn't, but, this whole debate has not been about the South a East, it's been about LHR and LHR only. No other airport stood a chance.
Coathangar16: I'm not clear on what constitutes London population, but if I understand the map, then it claims to represent what, about 25% of the UK population. Now just remind us what percentage of UK government infrastructure spend London gets - you may care to consider the cost of the projects that Just Birmingham has kindly listed for us in coming up with an answer, bearing in mind those are billions of pounds.
e don't know what the aviation scene in the UK well be when / if R3 eventually opens, especially in terms of hub demand against p2p operations.
Long haul wise the effect will be more far reaching as airports like BRS and CWL who are hoping to get more long haul routes especially scheduled probably won't see them or if they do get them they could lose them. It would probably even effect BHX and any potential american carriers they get in the future could be tempted by the lure of LHR. Short haul wise i doubt it would effect the closer regional airports not in the London area.If LHR is the chosen one then I fear that LTN, LGW and my neighbor, Souf'end, will suffer. Can't see Ryanair deserting STN
If £20Bn of public money is spent making LHR expansion work, it cannot be used elsewhere. That money is gone. Used up. If you've spent £20 in Sainsbury's you can't then go and spend it again in Tesco.
Moving on to your other point, note that long-haul services do not require large quotas of runway slots. It is high frequency short-haul trunk routes which really bulk out the demand. If no R3 is built at LHR, long-haul services will still magically find a way in if the business case merits it. It will happen as it always has. Four short-haul A320's on a route will quietly become three daily A321's instead. A set of daily slots suddenly become available for the new long-haul. The operator of a marginal service will be offered an irresistible deal to surrender their slots and operate from LGW instead. Those slots switch to the new long-haul. And at a push, LHR could even extend its operating day by an hour. Controversial, yes, but more so than the alternative of building R3? Arguably not. Especially accompanied by guarantees that only the newest, quietest aircraft types will be eligible for late slots.
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