CAA Provisional Statistics Update

[Ray Finkle]

Biarritz - 4,591 (was as high as 32,967 in 2009)

Those numbers really do highlight the difference in having a route served by Flybe as opposed to Ryanair.

As Ian's fantastic figures point out many routes now look ripe for a loco to help numbers grow even further. With Easyjet not interested in BHX I wonder if Ryanair may be persuaded to do a little more than seemingly just try to see off the competition. An entry into the German market from Birmingham could be interesting.

I won't be holding my breath.

 

[jfy1999]

Birmingham Airport has recorded two years of continuous record monthly passenger growth after February became its busiest on record for the Midlands’ biggest airport.

During the month of February, the airport handled 807,733 passengers – 83,000 more than the same month in 2016 and an 11.5 per cent increase.

Demand increased on both long and short haul services with very significant growth again recorded on long-haul flights - up by a healthy 21 per cent compared to the same month last year. The number of passengers taking short haul flights grew by more than nine percent year-on-year.

Scheduled traffic in February accounted for 91 per cent of the total, with charter passengers making up the remaining nine per cent.

Full press release: https://www.birminghamairport.co.uk...-consecutive-monthly-record-passenger-growth/

 

[nwoody2001]

not bad number at all and again great to see double digit growth. Whilst this is set to continue until the end of March with QR started at BHX and the EK 380 started, it will be interesting to see if Jet2 and other growth and keep growth in the double digits moving forward... time will tell..

a quick back of the fag pack suggest the number would have been closer to 12% growth compared to last years 29 day February but still good growth.

for others context, Manchester +11.4% (beat them by 0.1% ;o)), Stansted down -2.2% (oh dear) Edinburgh up just 5.4% (we were only 4,000 pax behind them in February), Luton up 19.5% (in a league of their own) ... overall, the picture is looking good!

 

[BHXsupporter]

Another record (as expected but of course very welcome)! Was anyone else struck by Paul Kehoe's words 'later this year we will consult on our Master Plan to scope out how the current site can be maximised and the benefits of HS2 realised'.
1) 'Current site' doesn't suggest the new site - so much discussed of late
2) 'maximized' - looking at Gatwick's fantastic record for one runway, there is a lot to do on site (terminals, public transport)
3) 'benefits of HS2 realized (?).

The frustrating wait continues before the MasterPlan (a term I don't like) arrives.

 

[Brum X]

Good set of results again from BHX.

 

[Ray Finkle]

Great numbers again

Another record (as expected but of course very welcome)! Was anyone else struck by Paul Kehoe's words 'later this year we will consult on our Master Plan to scope out how the current site can be maximised and the benefits of HS2 realised'.
1) 'Current site' doesn't suggest the new site - so much discussed of late
2) 'maximized' - looking at Gatwick's fantastic record for one runway, there is a lot to do on site (terminals, public transport)
3) 'benefits of HS2 realized (?).

The frustrating wait continues before the MasterPlan (a term I don't like) arrives.

I noticed it too.

Possibly some uncertainty over the future of OTTP? To date all we have heard is that they are looking to sell a minority stake, no further details have been given yet.

There was a lengthy interview with Mr Kehoe in which he said that he was yet to meet with the leader of the City Council to discuss the Master Plan and that when he did he hoped that they would be ambitious.

It'll be interesting to see.

 

[nwoody2001]

February Pax 2017

January - 775,176 (+16.1%)
February - 807,773 (+11.5%)
March -
April -
May -
June -
July -
August -
September -
October -
November -
December -

Year to date total = 1,582,909
Year to date growth = +13.8%

Rolling 12 month total = 11,836,319 (+14.6%)

Still pretty early days only on the 2nd month so pretty hard to read much into it, but applying the average rolling 12 months growth to our 2016 pax numbers, this gives us a 2017 projection of Circa 13,345,000 pax for 2017….

Likely to change but a great start to 2017. Should be on target to pass the 12,000,000 rolling Pax figure around April?!?

 

[Brum X]

February Pax 2017

January - 775,176 (+16.1%)
February - 807,773 (+11.5%)
March -
April -
May -
June -
July -
August -
September -
October -
November -
December -

Year to date total = 1,582,909
Year to date growth = +13.8%

Rolling 12 month total = 11,836,319 (+14.6%)

Still pretty early days only on the 2nd month so pretty hard to read much into it, but applying the average rolling 12 months growth to our 2016 pax numbers, this gives us a 2017 projection of Circa 13,345,000 pax for 2017….

Likely to change but a great start to 2017.

Thanks for your Passenger Stats, they are great and really informative. And you cover everything.

 

[IanFarquharson]

Carrying on from where left off !

Oporto 41 (it was 24,831 in 2009) will bounce back in S17
Orlando 0 - yes please !
Oslo - yes please !

Palma - 356,527 (it was 412,634 in 2003) hopefully 2017 will be a new record ?
Paphos - 80,264 (it was 127,932 in 2005) will bounce back in S17
Paris CDG - 399,613 (it was 450,894 in 2002) - need competition (see Orly)
Paris Orly - Vuelling starting soon
Perpignan - 11,292 (it was 23,923 in 2004)
Philadelphia - yes please (it was 27,530 in 2009)
Pisa - 345 (it was 47,433 in 2003) - any takers ?
Poznan - 31,333 was a record year
Prague - 36,808 (it awas 145,444 in 2005) - CSA going daily and Jet 2 starting in W17/18
Punta Cana - 20,424 (it was 26,079 in 2010)

Rennes - 5,591 was a record year
Reus - 20,244 (it was 85,541 in 2009) will bounce back in 2017
Rhodes - 50,820 (it was 75,218 in 2002)
Riga - yes please !
Rome FCO - 82,953 was a record year - need competition - Vueling ?
Rotterdam - 9,254 was a record year - now dropped
Rzeszow - 0 (it was 37,888 in 2013)

To be continued

 

[Brum X]

Orlando = 0 ??

You mean MCO ?

 

[IanFarquharson]

Orlando = 0 = yes

Sanford coming in the next posting

 

[JF57]

Carrying on from where left off !

Oporto 41 (it was 24,831 in 2009) will bounce back in S17
Orlando 0 - yes please !
Oslo - yes please !

Palma - 356,527 (it was 412,634 in 2003) hopefully 2017 will be a new record ?
Paphos - 80,264 (it was 127,932 in 2005) will bounce back in S17
Paris CDG - 399,613 (it was 450,894 in 2002) - need competition (see Orly)
Paris Orly - Vuelling starting soon
Perpignan - 11,292 (it was 23,923 in 2004)
Philadelphia - yes please (it was 27,530 in 2009)
Pisa - 345 (it was 47,433 in 2003) - any takers ?
Poznan - 31,333 was a record year
Prague - 36,808 (it awas 145,444 in 2005) - CSA going daily and Jet 2 starting in W17/18
Punta Cana - 20,424 (it was 26,079 in 2010)

Rennes - 5,591 was a record year
Reus - 20,244 (it was 85,541 in 2009) will bounce back in 2017
Rhodes - 50,820 (it was 75,218 in 2002)
Riga - yes please !
Rome FCO - 82,953 was a record year - need competition - Vueling ?
Rotterdam - 9,254 was a record year - now dropped
Rzeszow - 0 (it was 37,888 in 2013)

To be continued

What a massive effort to put all of these figures together. Very interesting.

 

[Ray Finkle]

Orlando = 0 = yes

Sanford coming in the next posting

I don't want to see the Sanford figures, it's just too painful

Maybe you could leave Toronto off too

 

[IanFarquharson]

Just for Ray (Sanford & Toronto included)

Salzburg - 15,333 (it was 67,615 in 2004) - Jet 2 ?
Sandefjord (Torp) 0 (it was 29,234 in 2009) - Ryanair effect !
Sanford -17,190 (it was 61,787 in 2002)
Seville - yes please !
Shannon - 32,019 (it was 89,234 in 2009)
Sharm El Sheikh 0 (it was 133,894 in 2013) should start making a slow return
Skiathos - 14,706 was a record year
Sofia - 41,985 is a record year
Stockholm ARN - 0 (it was 33,230 in 2002) Monarch start soon, SAS should try it again
Stockholm Skavsta - 0 (it was 38,665 in 2009) - Ryanair effect !
Stuttgart - 80,254 is a record year

Tashkent - 0 (it was 38,547 in 2005) - Uzbek come back ?
Tehran - 0 (it was 50,435 in 2000) - Mahan come back ?
Tenerife - 394,405 is a record year
Thira - 13,787 is a record year
Toronto 12,302 (it was 45,054 in 2006) probably higher still in the Wardair days ?
Toulouse - 9,073 (it was 62,695 in 2003)
Trapani - 0 (it was 16,500 in 2009) - Ryanair effect !
Trieste - 0 (it was 16,825 in 2011) - Ryanair effect !
Turin - 12,951 (it was 20,969 in 2003)

Valencia - 0 - Monarch starting in 2017
Venice - 54,106 is a record year
Verona - 48,275 is a record year
Vienna - 0 - Eurowings startingin a few weeks
Vilinius - 27,694 is a record year
Warsaw Chopin - 41,967 is a record year
Warsaw Modlin - 7,862 is a record year
Waterford - 2,694 (it was 21,656 in 2008)
Wroclaw - 25,303 is a record year

Zakinthos - 65,470 (it was 68,713 in 2011)
Zurich - 92,345 (it was 149,671 in 2011) - needs a LCC

I hope you enjoyed these postings ?

 

[thunderchild]

Excellent work - even though some of it makes depressing reading lol

 

[Ray Finkle]

I hope you enjoyed these postings ?

Orlando and Toronto stung a bit but thanks very much for all or your effort it is really appreciated

We had a discussion a few months ago about an airline potentially taking Birmingham by the scruff of the neck and really going to town with some expansion. Looking at your numbers it doesn't half show how the likes of Ryanair pull in the punters and get bums on seats.

Jet2 will add valuable seats to the holiday and city break market and Monarch are showing some promise but I still think we either need Easyjet, or some proper attention from Ryanair, to propel us towards the 15 mppa figure. There is good reason that they are Europe's largest loco's.

 

[Coathanger16]

It certainly is interesting to see the number of destinations that are below their record passenger numbers. If these could get back to previous levels, that alone would represent some quite substantial growth for BHX.

Certainly agree with Rays thoughts regarding the need for easyJet/Ryanair going to town with expansion at BHX.

 

[Paulsstrange]

Brilliant work Ian thanks for sharing.

Not sure we want you much more low cost growth before we grow the infrastructure guys !!!

 

[Coathanger16]

Not sure we want you much more low cost growth before we grow the infrastructure guys !!!

Very true! Perhaps, although I highly doubt it, lack of sufficient infrastructure could possibly be holding some airlines back?

 

[Butty]

I agree coathanger. The airport can only expand within the limits of its physical capacity, and whilst we all want rapid growth and a return to peak levels or more on all routes, if the airport cannot cope physically, then any growth will be snuffed out. PK is no doubt on the case, but with the further announcement this week on UK Central Hub, the opportunities need to be ceased now and an up to date realistic and deliverable master plan for the whole area put in place. Remember the 2013 master plan for UK Central did not include a second runway.

To rerun to the figures, brilliant analysis Ian and another good month.