CAA Provisional Statistics Update

[IanFarquharson]

What's the situation with Emirates and Qatar, not heard much about how all of this is effecting there business ??

And it can't be far away until both PIA and Air India suspend flights to BHX ?

I understand EK, QR, PK & AI loads are holding up ok - not sure for how much longer ?

 

[Kevin Farnell]

If it couldn't get any worse right now this is a statement from Edinburgh Airport.

Edinburgh Airport has warned that it is potentially facing the scenario of receiving no passengers in the next three months because of coronavirus.

In a statement released on Friday, a spokesman for the airport said: "We are facing an unprecedented situation, looking at the potential of three months of zero or close to zero passenger demand.

"We have spent the last few weeks looking at how we deal with the immediate and longer term effects and unfortunately that means taking some extremely tough decisions as the industry continues to react."

More than 100 jobs at the Scottish airport are said to be at risk.

At least if BHX end up in the same position, it would give them the opportunity to get the R33 ILS fixed.

Kevin

 

[Coathanger16]

As of this morning the UK has more cases than UAE, Qatar, India & Pakistan have combined.

I doubt the UK government would ban arrivals from the UAE given they only currently have 85 cases (vs 590 in the UK), and I doubt the UAE government would ban arrivals from the UK as they'd also have to ban arrivals from countries with more cases than the UK, something that would decimate Emirates network.

 

[IanFarquharson]

2019

View attachment 16335

 

[Ianbutty]

2019

View attachment 16335

I think this year most will be akin to Lydd....down nearly 90%. Oh well. Same everywhere. Even the planned 18 mppa by 2030 is seeking a very remote prospect, if this goes on for more than a couple more months. Feel for all those at risk of losing a job.

 

[IanFarquharson]

2019 International Pax

View attachment 16336

 

[IanFarquharson]

February 2020

View attachment 16394

 

[IanFarquharson]

February Int Pax
View attachment 16398

 

[IanFarquharson]

BHX will be down around 55% to 390k in March 2020

 

[JENNYJET]

A revised Masterplan perhaps? Income projections are now unreliable?

 

[Coathanger16]

A revised Masterplan perhaps? Income projections are now unreliable?

Revised? Most likely delayed.

Besides the terminal extension, nothing else from the masterplan has been started.

 

[JENNYJET]

Now is the time to remedy airfield shortcomings, such as taxiway ability to accommodate long wheelbase aircraft. The gorgeous A346 and the newest B777x should not struggle whilst A380 serenely glides into it's allocated gate.

If course, getting the R33 ILS sorted would please me immensely.

 

[Coathanger16]

Now is the time to remedy airfield shortcomings, such as taxiway ability to accommodate long wheelbase aircraft. The gorgeous A346 and the newest B777x should not struggle whilst A380 serenely glides into it's allocated gate.

If course, getting the R33 ILS sorted would please me immensely.

Just like the airlines, airports will be wanting to limit what they're spending until their cashflow returns towards a more normal level. That is why we've seen airports like Heathrow, Gatwick and Manchester close some of their terminals - to reduce the money they're spending day to day.

I'm afraid the days of seeing A346's flying are numbered with most operators retiring them due to Covid-19. Even without the pandemic, BHX would only likely see one on a diversion - upgrading taxiways just for a slim chance of aircraft on a diversion is not cost effective.

I'm not sure of the wheelbase of the 777X - does anything need to be changed to accommodate it?

Again, the only airline we'd likely see regular 777X operations from would be Emirates. If they did want to operate the 777X into BHX and the taxiways couldn't accommodate it, I suspect they'd communicate that to airport management. Either they'd pay up and get the taxiways done, or they'd say its not worth it for only a couple of flights a day, in which case Emirates would continue to use the A380 and/or A350/B787 when they arrive in the Emirates fleet.

As for the R33 ILS glide slope, operationally the impact is very little. On days when aircraft need the full CAT3 capabilities (due fog), winds are light in which case they can land on R15.

A side story about A380 operations - with the exception of Heathrow, whenever an A380 takes off or lands at an airport, the next few aircraft to land have to fly a non ILS approach (at most airports it will be an RNAV/GPS approach). This is due to how large the A380 is, it interferes with the ILS signals. Interesting factoid for the day.

 

[JENNYJET]

Again, a clear and comprehensive explanation that answered my questions, thank you.

 

[Ray Finkle]

Besides the terminal extension, nothing else from the masterplan has been started.

And even that has now come to a halt

 

[IanFarquharson]

Nothing is going to happen as BHX have stopped all capital expenditure

 

[j4mes_rx8]

Hi All, hope you are all well. I've been keeping track of how many Departures we are currently having on a daily basis. Does anyone know where there would be any figures to show how many weekly or monthly movements there were last year to do a comparison? Many thanks.

 

[Coathanger16]

You can find monthly passenger numbers, movements and more here:

Artificial Intelligence | UK Civil Aviation Authority

The CAA’s strategy for Artificial Intelligence (AI)

www.caa.co.uk

 

[j4mes_rx8]

Thank you Coathanger16.

 

[IanFarquharson]

CAA actually here !

Artificial Intelligence | UK Civil Aviation Authority

The CAA’s strategy for Artificial Intelligence (AI)

www.caa.co.uk