CAA Provisional Statistics Update

[JF57]

12.7 million pax predicted for 2017, can the infrastructure cope with that amount?

It'll be interesting to see how the investment happening over the winter will improve things.

Any real details on this investment ?

 

[Ray Finkle]

New surface car park and improved drop off car park with 30 mins free and a new walkway to the terminal. Improved baggage screening (already underway) doubling capacity. The number of self service check in desks is to be doubled with new digital branding and a new ATC surface radar installed.

There has been talk of some internal reconfiguration but I've not heard anything official on that one.

 

[JF57]

New surface car park and improved drop off car park with 30 mins free and a new walkway to the terminal. Improved baggage screening (already underway) doubling capacity. The number of self service check in desks is to be doubled with new digital branding and a new ATC surface radar installed.

There has been talk of some internal reconfiguration but I've not heard anything official on that one.

I had heard most of this but not the radar. I think something needs doing in the baggage reclaim only been through old main terminal recently but looks very shabby. The area where people congregate to meet passengers arriving needs expanding. At busy times this gets completely jammed.

I also think we need something doing for aircraft parked on remote stands. Certainly the high numbered gates are dire. Dark, not enough seats and terrible PA systems. Some shelter is needed at the aircraft end. It would help if the steps had covers on them and something like bus shelters near the aircraft would be a great improvement.

 

[IanFarquharson]

During the month of September, airports welcoming more than 25 million
passengers per year (Group 1), airports welcoming between 10 and 25
million passengers (Group 2), airports welcoming between 5 and 10 million
passengers (Group 3) and airports welcoming less than 5 million
passengers per year (Group 4) reported an average adjustment +1.4%,
+7.1%, +10.8% and +5.9%.
The airports which reported the highest increases in passenger traffic
during September 2016 (compared with September 2015) are as follows:

GROUP 1: Dublin (+10.8%), Barcelona (+9.8%),
Moscow SVO (+8.4%), Copenhagen (+7.7%) and Amsterdam (+7.4%)

GROUP 2: Alicante (+18.2%), Gran Canaria (+16.4%),
Malaga and Birmingham (+15.9%), Warsaw WAW (+14.9%)
and Athens (+14.7%)

GROUP 3: Berlin SXF (+44.4%), Larnaca (+24.8%),
Tenerife TFS (+20.6%), Bucharest OTP (+19.3%) and Kiev (+18.1%)

GROUP 4: Oradea (+6,189.5%), Iasi (+151.0%), Palanga (+69.4%),
Kharkiv (+57.5%) and Batumi (+52.5%)
The

 

[IanFarquharson]

Looking at BHX's annual air transport movements, 2016 will come in at around 104k
Which is still lower than in 2000, obviously bigger aircraft now but still not a 'busy' as 2000.
So lots of runway capacity

1994 71 k
1995 74 k
1996 77 k
1997 80 k
1998 88 k
1999 98 k
2000 108 k
2001 111 k
2002 112 k
2003 116 k
2004 109 k
2005 113 k
2006 109 k
2007 104 k
2008 103 k
2009 94 k
2010 85 k
2011 84 k
2012 84 k
2013 85 k
2014 89 k
2015 90 k
2016 104 k ?

 

[Butty]

That is quite a leap from 2015 to 2016.aircraft equals destinations equals passengers. All good stuff.

 

[Paulsstrange]

Looking at BHX's annual air transport movements, 2016 will come in at around 104k
Which is still lower than in 2000, obviously bigger aircraft now but still not a 'busy' as 2000.
So lots of runway capacity

1994 71 k
1995 74 k
1996 77 k
1997 80 k
1998 88 k
1999 98 k
2000 108 k
2001 111 k
2002 112 k
2003 116 k
2004 109 k
2005 113 k
2006 109 k
2007 104 k
2008 103 k
2009 94 k
2010 85 k
2011 84 k
2012 84 k
2013 85 k
2014 89 k
2015 90 k
2016 104 k ?

Ian /all

I'm hoping 2017 with Jet 2 and other additions may break the 113k record it must stand a good chance...

 

[Hassaan]

At least we'll be up on last year. Why are we still lower than the early 2000s though? In terms of movements, I mean.

 

[Coathanger16]

At least we'll be up on last year. Why are we still lower than the early 2000s though? In terms of movements, I mean.

It's not just Birmingham - most airports haven't got back to pre-recession levels of movements. Best guess is that airlines are trying to operate their flights more efficiently. 2 flights with 150 pax on each is cheaper to operate than 3 flights with 100 pax on each.

2007 had the most flights from BHX (~114,700), with an average of 84 pax per flight. Last year, BHX handled ~98,000 flights with an average of 104 pax per flight.

 

[Aviador]

Some excellent figures posted. Long may it continue!

 

[IanFarquharson]

October Int Pax


DUBLIN 77,121 up 8.497348 %
DUBAI 56,917 down -1.065531 %
AMSTERDAM 54,095 up 8.174856 %
MALAGA 42,960 up 41.051318 %
TENERIFE (SURREINA SOFIA) 40,574 up 46.667149 %
PALMA DE MALLORCA 37,948 up 36.759406 %
ALICANTE 36,476 up 19.202614 %
PARIS (CHARLES DE GAULLE) 34,332 down -0.03203 %
BARCELONA 29,884 up 30.264592 %
FARO 26,454 up 8.622814 %
FRANKFURT MAIN 26,093 down -3.452231 %
ARRECIFE 24,737 up 21.857143 %
DUSSELDORF 22,671 up 17.545497 %
LAS PALMAS 19,416 up 62.151328 %
MUNICH 17,355 up 3.058195 %
DALAMAN 16,265 down -13.058585 %
MADRID 15,900 up 323.548215 %
LARNACA 15,427 up 18.169284 %
FUERTEVENTURA 15,169 up 30.632105 %
DOHA HAMAD 12,657 0 %
BRUSSELS 10,996 down -20.261059 %
ISTANBUL 10,920 down -18.122516 %
PAPHOS 9,936 down -0.649935 %
COPENHAGEN 9,903 up 1.767547 %
MILAN (MALPENSA) 9,409 up 21.75207 %
IBIZA 9,263 up 28.509989 %
ROME (FIUMICINO) 8,476 up 23.072455 %
STUTTGART 7,955 up 23.659257 %
DELHI 7,547 up 10.078763 %
NEW YORK (NEWARK) 7,382 down -11.508032 %
ISLAMABAD 7,103 up 20.267525 %
VENICE 7,000 down -10.543131 %
NEW YORK (JF KENNEDY) 6,938 up 10.88381 %
MAHON 6,935 down -0.573477 %
SOFIA 6,575 0 %
ZURICH 6,435 down -15.849353 %
CORK 6,408 down -4.869359 %
RHODES 6,236 up 20.130996 %
MURCIA SAN JAVIER 6,061 up 11.888499 %
BERLIN (TEGEL) 6,027 up 34.892569 %
MALTA 5,732 up 7.140187 %
ANTALYA 5,583 down -10.985332 %
DUBROVNIK 5,525 up 26.22801 %
HANOVER 5,264 up 42.385718 %
CANCUN 5,233 up 5.909735 %
KEFLAVIK 5,195 up 53.789224 %
ZAKINTHOS 5,187 up 92.753623 %
AMRITSAR 4,945 0 %
CORFU 4,847 up 56.962435 %
LISBON 4,804 0 %
FUNCHAL 4,754 up 2.478983 %
HERAKLION 4,697 up 64.691445 %
GIBRALTAR 4,647 up 23.557564 %
BYDGOSZCZ 4,616 down -5.196139 %
BRATISLAVA 4,597 down -5.953355 %
PRAGUE 4,367 0 %
LYON 4,062 down -5.622677 %
BUDAPEST 4,006 up 46.418129 %
NICE 3,998 up 13.129598 %
KOS 3,864 up 210.11236 %
WARSAW (CHOPIN) 3,798 up 40.666667 %
KRAKOW 3,566 up 26.230088 %
ROTTERDAM 3,450 0 %
VILNIUS 3,348 0 %
NAPLES 3,222 up 5.466448 %
KATOWICE 3,204 up 2.396932 %
GDANSK 3,133 up 16.123054 %
HAMBURG 3,111 up 32.214195 %
REUS 3,078 up 3.323263 %
BUCHAREST (OTOPENI) 2,997 0 %
PUNTA CANA 2,961 0 %
POZNAN 2,847 0 %
ASHKHABAD 2,755 down -24.91142 %
WROCLAW 2,731 0 %
MONTEGO BAY 2,727 down -2.502681 %
SHANNON 2,672 down -7.734807 %
VERONA VILLAFRANCA 2,593 0 %
IRELAND WEST(KNOCK) 2,411 0 %
LUXEMBOURG 2,270 0 %
ALMERIA 2,117 0 %
HURGHADA 2,058 up 66.774716 %
MARRAKESH 1,948 up 14.588235 %
NANTES 1,903 0 %
BORDEAUX 1,807 up 26.540616 %
SANFORD 1,728 down -38.939929 %
BOA VISTA (RABIL) 1,715 up 5.929586 %
ILHA DO SAL C.VERDE 1,715 up 0.763807 %
CHANIA 1,453 up 0.902778 %
PADERBORN 1,160 up 3.202847 %
LA ROCHELLE 863 0 %
GENOA 749 0 %
LIMOGES 728 0 %
TORONTO 426 down -29.818781 %
KEFALLINIA 402 0 %
TOULOUSE (BLAGNAC) 381 0 %
THIRA (SANTORINI) 227 0 %
PREVEZA 223 up 5.188679 %
BRIVE-LA-GAILLARDE 189 0 %
CATANIA (FONTANAROSSA) 189 0 %
GIRONA 186 0 %
PULA 184 0 %
BERGAMO 1 0 %

 

[Ray Finkle]

Some decent numbers there.

The core sun routes definitely had a good month and Eastern Europe is looking healthy.

If the EK41/42 cancellations are taken into account then Emirates are actually up. Doha getting better and Islamabad doing well.

Air India looks very good, especially with 7.5k going to Delhi compared to just 4.9k heading to Amritsar. It shows that BHX-India is more than just ATQ.

 

[Coathanger16]

If the EK41/42 cancellations are taken into account then Emirates are actually up.

I thought these were cancelled in November - the statistics are for October aren't they?

 

[nwoody2001]

They cancelled the morning flight for the entirety of November yes, but they also cancelled 8-10 morning flights in October.

There were therefore circa 80-85 flights this October compared to 93 last October, although this October the aircraft used were different and EK had competition from QR who also weren't around last October!

 

[Ashley]

Another record month. November figures show increase of 12.5% just under 800k.

https://www.birminghamairport.co.uk...t-ever-festive-period-expected/#584e88aa5669a

 

[nwoody2001]

January 666,681 +9.03%
February 724,187 +14.98%
March 831,174 +13.72%
April 873,965 +13.28%
May 1,005,861 +11.21%
June 1,118,452 +13.07%
July 1,221,212 +14.00%
August 1,285,911 +13.01%
September 1,207,796 +15.85%
October 1,074,242 +16.70%
November 779,583 +12.49%

Year to date total = 10,793,118
Year to date growth = +13.39%

Rolling 12 month total = 11,471,572

1 months left to go.....At +13.39% as an average yearly growth rate, we will be looking at BHX ending the year circa 11,553,000 pax

 

[Ray Finkle]

A decent increase there, we didn't quite make the 800K that many hoped for but still good.

December looks to be an excellent month with loads looking increasingly good. The press release says "Between Friday 16th December 2016 to Tuesday 3rd January 2017 we expect to see over half a million people giving a predicted increase of 21.2% compared to the same period last year".

It's going to take a great 2017 to get the 13.5 million that some are predicting.

 

[IanFarquharson]

The December figure could beat the November one - which would be different !

BHX should handle betwen 12.6m-13.5m - depending on what rumour you believe !!

 

[nwoody2001]

assuming we hit 11,550,000 pax in 2016, you figures Ian would equate to growth between 9-17%

 

[Coathanger16]

It's going to take a great 2017 to get the 13.5 million that some are predicting.

BHX should handle betwen 12.6m-13.5m - depending on what rumour you believe !!

assuming we hit 11,550,000 pax in 2016, you figures Ian would equate to growth between 9-17%

Does anyone have any figures for how many new flights/seats were added in 2016, and how many are planned for 2017?

Agreed that 13.5mppa seems rather optimistic - a more realistic upper target would be 13mppa, but given the level of economic uncertainty predicted over the next few years, anything above 12.5mppa would be good.