Manchester: CAA Provisional Statistics Update

Scottie Dog · Mar 4, 2021

Manchester Airport pax declines 95.5% in Feb-2021

Numbers are according to CAPA, down to 79,408.

IanFarquharson · Mar 12, 2021

MANCHESTER AIRPORT

MONTHLY TRAFFIC STATISTICS FOR 2020/21

February-21

MONTH

FINANCIAL YEAR TO DATE

MOVING

LAST YEAR

THIS YEAR

% ACTUAL

LAST YEAR

THIS YEAR

% ACTUAL

ANNUAL

% CHANGE

ACTUAL

/LAST YEAR

ACTUAL

/LAST YEAR

TOTAL

AIRCRAFT MOVEMENTS

DOMESTIC

2,367

272

-88.51

30,570

3,782

-87.63

4,818

-85.61

SCHED INT

9,543

537

-94.37

136,890

24,333

-82.22

30,677

-79.23

CHARTER

593

151

-74.54

11,108

1,603

-85.57

1,976

-83.19

PRIVATE/MISC

701

490

-30.10

8,791

5,647

-35.76

6,344

-33.76

TOTAL

13,204

1,450

-89.02

187,359

35,365

-81.12

43,815

-78.36

TERMINAL PASSENGERS

DOMESTIC

166,977

17,229

-89.68

2,220,601

191,628

-91.37

254,870

-89.50

SCHED INT

1,484,644

59,437

-96.00

22,711,309

2,301,001

-89.87

3,113,158

-87.26

CHARTER

127,113

2,622

-97.94

2,339,106

234,986

-89.95

311,261

-87.40

PRIVATE/MISC

813

120

-85.24

16,026

17,994

12.28

9,220

-52.48

TOTAL

1,779,547

79,408

-95.54

27,287,042

2,745,609

-89.94

3,688,509

-87.43

TOTAL PASSENGERS (INCL. TRANSIT)

TOTAL

1,785,432

79,436

-95.55

27,350,243

2,749,101

-89.95

3,694,272

-87.44

FREIGHT (INCL. MAIL) TONNES

TOTAL

7,169

4,174

-41.78

100,699

35,664

-64.58

42,358

-61.54

IanFarquharson · Mar 16, 2021

Feb Pax

MAN = 79,408 down 95.5%

STN = 34,967 down 98.1%

EMA = 255 down 99.9%

Rolling 12m pax

STN = 3,903,227 down 86.1%

MAN = 3,688,509 down 87.4%

EMA = 519,779 down 88.8%

Feb Cargo

EMA = 34,053 up 23.6%

STN = 19,832 up 51.9%

MAN = 4,174 down 41.8%

Scottie Dog · Mar 25, 2021

Time for my monthly analysis of the CAA data for February

View attachment 23162


CHART 1 - By Passenger Numbers
Destination	Total	% Change
DOHA HAMAD	19,571	-51.23
HEATHROW	12,062	-72.88
ISLAMABAD	8,558	-50.63
PARIS (CHARLES DE GAULLE)	6,003	-88.88
ISTANBUL	4,435	-75.67
ABU DHABI INTERNATIONAL	3,197	-89.99
DUBAI	2,940	-96.44
FRANKFURT MAIN	2,793	-90.79
DUBLIN	2,785	-96.65
KRAKOW	2,273	-87.82
BELFAST INTERNATIONAL	1,979	-93.95
ADDIS ABABA	1,546	-49.28
BRUSSELS	1,373	-92.61
ALICANTE	1,256	-97.13
ISTANBUL (SABIHA GOKCEN)	1,230	-87.31
ABERDEEN	1,068	-92.55
TENERIFE (SURREINA SOFIA)	944	-98.50
BUDAPEST	933	-94.41
MILAN (MALPENSA)	465	-96.58
HELSINKI	430	-95.79
BERGAMO	329	-97.38
FUERTEVENTURA	320	-98.16
PRAGUE	303	-98.97
CARDIFF WALES	196	61.98
GATWICK	160	-3.03




CHART 2 - By Percentage Change
Destination	Total	% Change
CARDIFF WALES	196	61.98
NEWCASTLE	75	0.00
GATWICK	160	-3.03
ADDIS ABABA	1,546	-49.28
ISLAMABAD	8,558	-50.63
DOHA HAMAD	19,571	-51.23
HEATHROW	12,062	-72.88
ISTANBUL	4,435	-75.67
ISTANBUL (SABIHA GOKCEN)	1,230	-87.31
KRAKOW	2,273	-87.82
PARIS (CHARLES DE GAULLE)	6,003	-88.88
ABU DHABI INTERNATIONAL	3,197	-89.99
FRANKFURT MAIN	2,793	-90.79
ABERDEEN	1,068	-92.55
BRUSSELS	1,373	-92.61
BELFAST INTERNATIONAL	1,979	-93.95
BUDAPEST	933	-94.41
HELSINKI	430	-95.79
DUBAI	2,940	-96.44
MILAN (MALPENSA)	465	-96.58
DUBLIN	2,785	-96.65
ALICANTE	1,256	-97.13
BERGAMO	329	-97.38
BILLUND	84	-97.82
FUERTEVENTURA	320	-98.16

Load Factors
View attachment 23165
Data from Manchester Airport, FR24 and CAA sources

EGCC_MAN · Mar 25, 2021

The 'like' is for all the work you put in. Hate the actual numbers!

superking · Mar 25, 2021

The numbers at all airports look dire. The table showing the info it does is good.

Scottie Dog · Mar 27, 2021

I've just been looking in an old copy of Major Airports of the World and Manchester's annual passengers for 1981 were 4,875,164. Compare that with the moving year to the end of February 2021 of 3,694,227and all I can say is OUCH.

Hopefully March will be the last month of negative figures before we start to see a slow upturn - I'm not expecting anything spectacular for 2021.

superking · Mar 28, 2021

The goverment are saying now that as things as they are will mean a opening up of a lot more destinations. But if things get worse again then any ones guess.

Scottie Dog · Apr 7, 2021

March stats available on the airport website - at last a glimmer of light as the figures are actually slightly better compared with February
when taken as a percentage change.

View attachment 23245when taken as a percentage change.

EGCC_MAN · Apr 7, 2021

Stats must be at or close to the nadir now, as we're more than twelve months into the C-19 induced collapse in traffic, though the numbers may bump along the bottom for a while yet (especially with Pakistan now joining the 'red list'). We could never have imagined a Moving Annual Total of 2,844,918 passengers. A year ago we were debating (in horror) whether the lockdown would take passenger throughput below 20 million for the year ... well, those who argued that it could do were vindicated

.... but I don't think anyone called the abject misery of this.

The only positive I can think of is that I'd have expected a collapse in throughput of almost 90% to be accompanied by the Armageddon of WW3. I suppose that a global pandemic is at least preferable to that ...

At least when "normal" returns, the percentage growth stats will look sensational - though still only taking us to a much lower absolute throughput figure than before. But just hitting the sustained upslope will feel like euphoria.

IanFarquharson · Apr 21, 2021

March Pax

Manchester – 95,798 down 89.8%

Stansted – 44,259 down 95.0%

East Midlands – 71 down 99.9%

12m end 31.03.21 Pax

Stansted – 3,069,220 down 88.6%

Manchester – 2,841,407 down 89.9%

East Midands – 413,321 down 90.8%

March Cargo

East Midlands - 40,908 up 29.4%

Stansted – 26,176 up 53.3%

Manchester – 4,046 down 39.5%

Scottie Dog · May 7, 2021

My detailed analysis for March will follow when I'm home from a break on Sunday. In the meantime here are April's very positive figures!!

View attachment 23387

IanFarquharson · May 13, 2021

April 2021 Pax

Stansted – 84,553 up 517.5%

Manchester – 82,218 up 244%

East Midlands – 78 up 32.2%

12m rolling end 30.04.21

Stansted – 3,140,402 down 87.2%

Manchester – 2,899,742 down 88.8%

East Midlands – 413,340 down 89.9%

April 2021 Cargo

East Midlands – 40,439 up 48.8%

Stansted – 23,519 up 26.0%

Manchester – 3,830 up 288.2%

Scottie Dog · May 13, 2021

Rather belatedly here are is the analysis for March:

View attachment 23467

Load factors - based on data from the CAA and FR24
Intercontinental (inc Israel)
View attachment 23468
Europe/Domestic - my first attempt at this new chart.
FR24 only showed a single flight to Budapest, but the CAA data disputes this. Additionally at present Belfast City has not published data.
View attachment 23469


CHART 1 - By Passenger Numbers
Destination	Total	% Change
DOHA	19,007	-40.25
HEATHROW	13,442	-52.77
ISLAMABAD	11,219	-11.69
ISTANBUL	9,329	-7.26
PARIS (CHARLES DE GAULLE)	6,328	-73.93
BELFAST INTERNATIONAL	4,937	-75.86
FRANKFURT MAIN	3,939	-70.97
AMSTERDAM	3,926	-91.16
DUBLIN	3,379	-91.81
ABU DHABI INTERNATIONAL	2,362	-89.82
DUBAI	2,135	-96.47
KRAKOW	2,048	-75.87
BRUSSELS	1,888	-73.06
ISTANBUL (SABIHA GOKCEN)	1,701	-64.70
TENERIFE (SURREINA SOFIA)	1,633	-95.46
ADDIS ABABA	1,139	-64.11
ABERDEEN	1,037	-61.55
ALICANTE	848	-96.83
ARRECIFE	533	-97.67
HELSINKI	512	-91.53
BARCELONA	419	-97.33
BUDAPEST	382	-95.85
MUNICH	359	-97.14
BERGAMO	240	-82.89
PALMA DE MALLORCA	230	-97.01




CHART 2 - By Percentage Change
Destination	Total	% Change
CARDIFF WALES	89	0.00
BELGRADE	60	0.00
BIGGIN HILL	40	0.00
ROSKILDE	20	0.00
ISTANBUL	9,329	-7.26
ISLAMABAD	11,219	-11.69
DOHA	19,007	-40.25
HEATHROW	13,442	-52.77
ABERDEEN	1,037	-61.55
ADDIS ABABA	1,139	-64.11
ISTANBUL (SABIHA GOKCEN)	1,701	-64.70
FRANKFURT MAIN	3,939	-70.97
BRUSSELS	1,888	-73.06
PARIS (CHARLES DE GAULLE)	6,328	-73.93
BELFAST INTERNATIONAL	4,937	-75.86
KRAKOW	2,048	-75.87
BERGAMO	240	-82.89
MILAN (MALPENSA)	173	-87.89
ISLE OF MAN	183	-88.65
ABU DHABI INTERNATIONAL	2,362	-89.82
AMSTERDAM	3,926	-91.16
HELSINKI	512	-91.53
DUBLIN	3,379	-91.81
BILLUND	117	-93.09
TENERIFE (SURREINA SOFIA)	1,633	-95.46

Scottie Dog · May 30, 2021

Post #972 contained April's statistical breakdown from the airport.

I now give you my offering of load-factors for selected routes.

View attachment 23535

View attachment 23536

IanFarquharson · Jun 18, 2021

May Pax

Stansted – 144,569 up 601.6%

Manchester – 119,778 up 543.9%

East Midlands – 1,982 n/a

12m end 31.05.21

Stansted – 3,264,364 down 85.1%

Manchester – 3,000,655 down 87.1%

East Midlands – 415,322 down 88.4%

Cargo

East Midlands – 37,130 up 21.5%

Stansted – 23,110 up 9.2%

Manchester – 4,016 up 199.2%

Scottie Dog · Jun 22, 2021

Whilst some airports have not yet reported data for May, I have produced my initial analysis.

View attachment 23697

Load factors for selected Intercontinental and European routes
View attachment 23698

View attachment 23699

Projections for the remainder of 2021 - I've used very low increases as they can then only get better

View attachment 23700

Finally an analysis of the top 25 routes for May

CHART 1 - By Passenger Numbers
Destination	Total	% Change
FARO	13,298	0.00
AMSTERDAM	13,015	183.92
BELFAST INTERNATIONAL	12,114	-
OPORTO (PORTUGAL)	11,758	0.00
HEATHROW	8,305	-
ISTANBUL	6,104	0.00
LISBON	5,531	0.00
DUBLIN	5,160	228.87
FRANKFURT MAIN	4,982	0.00
PARIS (CHARLES DE GAULLE)	4,831	448.35
ALICANTE	2,597	0.00
BARCELONA	2,389	0.00
BRUSSELS	1,849	0.00
MALAGA	1,699	0.00
FUNCHAL	1,597	0.00
BELFAST CITY	1,468	-
PALMA DE MALLORCA	1,271	0.00
KRAKOW	1,238	0.00
DUBAI	1,217	0.00
ISTANBUL (SABIHA GOKCEN)	1,201	0.00
NEWQUAY	1,198	-
GIBRALTAR	1,086	0.00
DOHA	1,001	-57.62
TENERIFE (SURREINA SOFIA)	969	0.00
GDANSK	790	0.00




CHART 2 - By Percentage Change
Destination	Total	% Change
ABU DHABI INTERNATIONAL	393	19,550.00
MALTA	180	3,500.00
ISLE OF MAN	353	880.56
PARIS (CHARLES DE GAULLE)	4,831	448.35
DUBLIN	5,160	228.87
AMSTERDAM	13,015	183.92
FARO	13,298	-
BELFAST INTERNATIONAL	12,114	-
OPORTO (PORTUGAL)	11,758	-
HEATHROW	8,305	-
ISTANBUL	6,104	-
LISBON	5,531	-
FRANKFURT MAIN	4,982	-
ALICANTE	2,597	-
BARCELONA	2,389	-
BRUSSELS	1,849	-
MALAGA	1,699	-
FUNCHAL	1,597	-
BELFAST CITY	1,468	-
PALMA DE MALLORCA	1,271	-
KRAKOW	1,238	-
DUBAI	1,217	-
ISTANBUL (SABIHA GOKCEN)	1,201	-
NEWQUAY	1,198	-
GIBRALTAR	1,086	-

Scottie Dog · Jun 22, 2021

Not sure whether it's a co-incidence or not, but 10 minutes after I posted my analysis, the airport has put its version on their website!!

View attachment 23705

Scottie Dog · Jun 23, 2021

I thought I would do a quick comparison of percentage changes between 2019 and 2021 - the end columns.

Yes, I know they make sad reading, but please remember that I've assumed that the increases for 2021 against 2020 are only very small. Going forward, as actual data becomes available I'll hopefully be able to give better news. If I ever get time I may even do a comparison against 2001 (a 20 year difference).

View attachment 23708

Scottie Dog · Jul 6, 2021

A quick review of passenger figures for May taken across the last 30 years:
View attachment 23742

Manchester: CAA Provisional Statistics Update

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Manchester Airport pax declines 95.5% in Feb-2021