I've had a re-read over this thread and I have to be honest, I don't agree with some of the comments as to why this service failed, and while some people are saying 'It's no surprise' due to those excuses, I can't help feel that the closure of this route may present BHX with some problems.
Let's look at the arguments:
-There weren't enough connections at JFK as opposed to say, Chicago which could have lasted longer if ORD was the served point.....
On looking at the evidence, there are 41 direct and feasible connections onto the AA network from JFK, as well as hundreds of 'self connecting' opportunities (you have to re claim your bags and check in again regardless so self connecting is an option in the USA), so, why are these connections deemed not worthy? Just how many destinations are needed to make a 180 seat aircraft viable exactly?
Also, New York is, aside from Orlando, perhaps the largest UK-USA origin and destination market. 2x180 sea aircraft should be able to work on O&D for a market that large alone, let alone with added connections.
You have to wonder, if the Birmingham market is as large and wealthy as Paul Kehoe constantly states it is, why can the 'smaller poorhouse' of Manchester support not only AA and UA to New York like BHX had, but delta and then the pretty much pure O&D Thomas Cook A330 almost daily? The TCX A330 alone carries nearly as many pax on one flight as BHX had in its 2 daily flights. No connections there, so where is the excuse of 'no connection opportunities' there?
-the on board product was inferior.....
The B757 was used on this flight, so, yes, not as good as some other aircraft, but, why is the B757 good enough for Paris, Dublin, Manchester, Edinburgh, Amsterdam, Glasgow, Shannon and others, but not good enough for Birmingham?
Yield has always been an issue at BHX. It's why Easyjet don't serve BHX in a big way, it's why Emirates only managed to serve F class for a few months, and so on.
So, is it a case that the BHX catchment is the wrong type of snobby? They want the premium product but not willing to pay for it? It's already been noted that people went via LHR due to the better product but slightly lower price. Yes, it could be argued it's airline pricing if that's the case, but you have to wonder why AA had to charge the price they did at BHX?
-Poor on time performance......
Yes, this is a bad excuse, but, the poor OTP hasn't stopped pax using AA elsewhere. Sometimes you just have to stick by a product to make it work and hope that a better product comes along at a later date. Speculate to accumulate, as they say.
The thing is, it's funny that all of these excuses came AFTER the route was pulled. Why was the market not more vocal while the route was running and try to change the situation for the better. As said, if the market is as big and affluent as made out by some, why were there no companies willing to put their money where their mouth is, it can work. US started putting an A330 on the MAN-PHL route as a company requested it. The same could have happened at BHX.
The thing is now, it's too late to make that change, and now, this could have an adverse affect on the BHX-USA market.
Airlines do pay attention to others, and a large carrier like AA not able to make JFK work will be noted. The issue for BHX is that the pool of 'knights in shining armour' is getting smaller. Seems a growing rumour that Norwegian have gone cold on the idea of BHX long haul (only 3 routes this winter seems to support that theory), VS have made clear their strategy, TCX unlikely, he'll will freeze before BA offers long haul from the regions, and now DL is part of the VS strategy.
While some are saying they are not bothered by the AA decision, I for one am. This isn't coming from a MAN fan, this is coming from a general viewpoint. This isn't like MAN loosing the PIA JFK flights where it catered to very few pax, this was a valuable business link. I can't see how the retrenchment of AA is anything but bad news.
I'm fully prepared to be flamed for this post, but, I hope people see it for the discussion viewpoints instead of my general posting location.