CAA Provisional Statistics Update

[TheLocalYokel]

CAA stats August 2013

CAA stats now out and, as always, show more passengers than the airport's own figures.

707,871 passengers were handled in August, up 4.7% on August 2012. Atms were up 11%.

The previous best August (in fact, the previous best ever month) was August 2008 when the CAA showed just under 705,000 passengers.

Rolling 12-month total is 6,044,489, up 3.1% on a year ago.

 

[Aviador]

Excellent month for Bristol airport. I see there's a sizable increase in atms compared with last year?

On the subject of comparison between the airports own numbers and the CAA numbers, I do prefer to use the CAA figures as they are calculated in the same way at all UK airports so it makes easy comparison with competing airports.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

CAA stats September 2013

645,945 passengers were handled up 4.2% on September 2012. Atms were up 11.8%. Rolling 12-month figure was 6,070,001 which is 3.5% up on the same period last year.

The was the best ever September to go with the best ever June, July and August this year.

Excellent month for Bristol airport. I see there's a sizable increase in atms compared with last year?

It's been thus each month this year. It's partly due to the Airbus Corporate Shuttle to Toulouse and Hawarden which actually carries a disproportionately low number of passengers relative to the whole.

There have also been a few more Ryanair flights this summer despite the BRS base reducing from five to two aircraft in the spring. They now operate the majority of their flights using aircraft from other bases which has the beneficial effect of spreading out movements through the day with, for example, eight FR arrivals between 1940 and 2040 on Saturdays and several more arrivals each day between breakfast time and mid-morning.

 

[Marko1]

Another good month according to the airports website - up 4.45%.

 

[Aviador]

Another good month according to the airports website - up 4.45%.

That will be for October, that's a good increase and probably above the national average. Any idea how things are looking for the winter months? Are the number of flights similar to last winter or have BRS seen any increases?

 

[Aviador]

CAA Passenger Statistics for Bristol Airport during October 2013

During October the airport handled a total of 575,599 passengers, that's up 4.7% on the same month last year.

Rolling year passenger totals stand at 6,095,923 up 3.6% on the previous twelve months

These are of course the official passenger stats from the CAA. I recognise the airport records things a little differently as pointed out previously.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

That will be for October, that's a good increase and probably above the national average. Any idea how things are looking for the winter months? Are the number of flights similar to last winter or have BRS seen any increases?

I don't think there will be a startling increase in flight numbers this winter compared with last.

bmi regional will be operating to such destinations as Milan Malpensa, Frankfurt, Munich and Hamburg that were not served last winter, albeit at a lower frequency than was the case in the summer this year.

Incidentally, this year has seen record months in June, July, August, September and October with May only failing to join the list by a couple of thousand.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

November 2013

BRS's own figures published today showing 362,392 passengers in November, up 5.20% on their figures for November 2012.

The CAA stats are due out imminently and will doubtess show a higher passenger figure, owing to the differing ways in which the data is collected (BRS doesn't include under 2's in its figures for example whereas the CAA does).

 

[TheLocalYokel]

CAA stats November 2013

Re my earlier post of today, the CAA stats are now published and, as anticipated, the total number of passengers for the month is higher than the airport's figure for the reasons stated.

CAA reports that 364,527 passengers passed through the terminal in the month, a rise of 5.2% on November 2012. Atms were up 7.1%. Rolling 12-month total was 6,113,839, up 3.3% on a year ago.

This was the second best November ever, after November 2007 when 402,000 were handled.

The best ever year was 2008 which saw 6.228 million passengers but 2013 has beaten 2008 every month from June onwards including November. In winter 2007/2008 the winter programme had not been reduced anywhere near the situation now and in recent winters, which is why 2013 will turn out to be the second best ever calendar year and not the best.

There will be an increase of around 200,000 passengers on 2012. Since the recession-driven drop of nearly 10% in 2009, BRS will have seen rises in each of the four years since.

When December's figures are in it will be interesting to see if it looks as though 2014 can continue the series of passenger figure increases. There will be a loss of about 20,000 passengers from the closure of TOM long haul to overcome to begin with.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

December 2013

Still awaiting the CAA stats for December, due out later this week, but from this local newspaper report it appears that December's passenger numbers were up 3.1% on December 2012 at 349,000 passengers. The annual total for 2013 will be over 6.1 million, up 3.4% on 2012, the second highest in the airport's history after 2008.

This newspaper report is undoubtedly based on an airport press release although nothing is yet shown on the airport's own website.

http://www.cheddarvalleygazette.co.uk/B ... story.html

As always when the CAA figures are published they can be expected to vary slightly from the airport's own figures which for technical reasons are usually a touch lower than the CAA stats each month and each year.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

CAA stats December 2013

Unsurprisingly, yet again the CAA stats are higher than the airport's own figures announced recently.

CAA shows December handling 351,374 passengers, up 3.4% on December 2012. Atms were up 6.7%

Rolling 12-month total was 6,125,207, up 3.5% on a year ago.

This is the fourth consecutive year of passenger growth after the fall in 2009 which was the first annual drop for 13 years.

The airport CEO is making confident noises about 2014 seeing further growth. This year is only the second year in which over 6 million passengers have been handled. 2008 was the best year with 6.229 million.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

CAA stats January 2014

An excellent start to the year with 342,580 passengers handled, an increase of 9.6% on January 2013. Atms were up 6.8%. It's the second best January ever after 2008's 379,000 but that was before the recession began to hit BRS and when the likes of easyJet did not park up so many aircraft for much of the day during the winter months.

The rolling total was 6,155,087, up 4.1% on a year ago.

One particular highlight for me is the new easyJet route to Keflavik which carried 2885 passengers at an average load of 160, a load factor of just under 89% on the A320. That's obviously why they've used a 320 from the start in December instead of the originally announced 319.

The airport management is still optimistic about 2014 being a good year and probably beating the previous best of 2008 - vide the latest consultative committee minutes of the meeting at the end of January. There are hurdles to cross though in the summer with perhaps a few less rotations each week with Ryanair and the loss of the long haul TOM summer charters to Florida and Mexico. Against that the EIR Shannon will recommence in a month or so after a two-year break and should carry about the same number of passengers in the year that will be lost by TOM long haul during the summer, and TCX will have two A 321s this summer replacing last summer's A 320s, with TOM retaining the two B 757s.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

February 2014

Still awaiting CAA stats but the airport's own figures show that 366,781 passengers were handled in February 2014, a rise of 3.46% on February 2013. Atms were down 5.17%.

The CAA stats will probably show higher figures as occurs every month because of the different ways in which the stats are compiled, notably BRS does not include under 2s in its passenger figures unlike the CAA.

BRS does not show the rolling 12-month totals, only the current calendar year. In the two months of 2014 to date 707,243 passengers used the terminal, up 6.37% on the same period last year.

Note:

BRS suffered from strong gales in February and on 14th of the month alone around 18 rotations were cancelled, mainly by easyJet. This occurred for the most part on the Friday evening meaning that many of the passengers would not have found it possible to re-book from BRS during the weekend, given that some flights were not daily and some operated on weekdays only. It's likely that somewhere between 1,000 and 2,000 passengers may have been lost to the airport as a minimum estimate.

 

[superking]

a thought on your last papagraph localyokel. when a plane gets diverted away do the passenger stats show fot that airport or does it go to the divert airport.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

a thought on your last papagraph localyokel. when a plane gets diverted away do the passenger stats show fot that airport or does it go to the divert airport.

In a note to its tables 12.1 and 12.2 (International Pax Route Analysis and Domestic Pax Route Analysis respectively), the CAA appends the following: In order to preserve market analysis all identifiable diversions are reallocated to the point of intended operation.

So BRS should not lose passengers in its monthly stats on flights diverted away, but that's not to say that they won't be counted twice, once by BRS and twice by the airport diverted to.

Pax on canx flights of course are lost completely unless the pax can be reallocated to other flights from the airport.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

CAA stats February 2014

The CAA stats, as expected, show slightly higher passenger numbers (2,000 more in February's case) than the airport's own figures released last week.

The CAA shows 368,621 passengers handled in February up 3.9% on February 2013. Atms were up just 0.5%. Rolling 12-month total was 6,168,921 up 4.4% on a year ago.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

Looking at the year 2014

According to the airport's own stats passenger numbers are up over 6% in the first two months of this year compared to the same period in 2013.

I wonder though how easy it will be to maintain growth of even half this rate for the rest of the year.

I've posted elsewhere that Ryanair has reduced its number of weekly rotations at BRS this summer between 6-8 per week which is a loss of approximately 3,000 seats per week. The additional easyJet A 320 aircraft this summer together with the upgrading of the two TCX based aircraft from A 320 to A321 will cancel this out but not by much.

The summer TOM long haul to Cancun and Sanford have been axed meaning a loss of about 20,000 passengers but the restored Shannon EIR route is expected to generate at least this number.

EIR's Cork will be 9 x weekly instead of daily and the airline's Dublin will see increased flights over last summer.

The SAS to Stockholm in peak summer will also be a positive as should the recently announced LH code share on bmi regional's FRA and MUC routes.

Nevertheless, it seems that the main driver for passenger growth will have to be higher loads. The March stats might be instructive. The summer timetable for the scheduled airlines started a few days later this year than last and Easter also helped March 2013 by being at the end of the month.

I shall be surprised to see much growth this March, if any at all.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

CAA stats March 2014

I shall be surprised to see much growth this March, if any at all.

My comment last week was right on the button.

BRS was completely flat in March with 426,294 passengers handled, down 0.2% on March last year. Atms were down 3.4%. Rolling 12-month total - 6,167,480, up 4.1% on a year ago.

Given that Easter was at the end of March last year and scheduled summer routes began several days earlier than this year (this year they only operated for the last two days of the month) it's as anticipated. I would expect April to show a rise over last April.

 

[alphagolf]

Having analysed the figures it shows the fall was attributed to Domestic Traffic as International Traffic rose compared to 2013, see the figures below:-

Domestic 2013: 101,830
Domestic 2014: 98,688

International 2013: 326,542
International 2014: 328,604

Figures from CAA Provisional Statistics.

 

[TheLocalYokel]

Thanks alphagolf.

Easter and the later start (by a few days) of the summer scheduled season were the main contributors. Ryanair, for example, at the end of March 2013 flew 6,269 passengers in total to/from Bergerac, Beziers, Limoges, Bergamo and Treviso, all routes that will operate again this summer from the beginning of April and would have put BRS in positive numbers had they started at the same time this year as they did last.

This would have widened the gap between domestic and international traffic in March.

Although BRS has lost several domestic routes in recent years (LBA, MAN, NQY, PLH plus the short-lived MME and NWI a few years earlier, not to mention the downsizing of NCL this coming winter as discussed in the BRS easyJet thread) with the perception being that the train is increasingly seen as realistic competition, an anno aero paper (admittedly published in February 2013) believed that BRS has done better than many airports in retaining its domestic traffic.

The relevant bit in the anno aero paper is this:

One of the key elements to the airport retaining its growth cycle, in a UK market where other airports have suffered years of decline before recovering, and also despite its blip in 2009, is the way it has tenaciously held on to its domestic traffic — standing firm at around 1.1m passengers for the last four years.

The full discussion can be found at: http://www.anna.aero/2013/02/13/bristol ... ers-again/