CAA Provisional Statistics Update

[Seasider]

I think CWL has been hit more (pro rata) than anyone.

 

[Scottie Dog]

Here is my take on the CAA data for April 2023. For some reason the CAA seem to have omitted Table 3 which contains Air Transport Movements and therefore I have had to leave that section blank. I have emailed the CAA for an explanation and, hopefully, I may receive a response at some time (my normal contact appears to have left).

View attachment 28599

 

[Birmingham Aviation]

Personally from me.I wouldn’t say we’re 100% back to 2019 standards.This is due to a number of factors.

1. Emirates are not operating double daily A380 flights
2. Turkmenistan Airlines are not operating from Asbaghat
3. Pakistan international airlines are not operating From Islamabad
4. No operation of Aer Lingus flights from Cork and Shannon
5. No operation to more German city’s (Only operating 3 cities with two airlines)
6. Air India are not operating to fully operational standards and needs to be increased capacity.

It’s getting better but just with a smart steady pace

 

[Coathanger16]

Personally from me.I wouldn’t say we’re 100% back to 2019 standards.This is due to a number of factors.

1. Emirates are not operating double daily A380 flights
2. Turkmenistan Airlines are not operating from Asbaghat
3. Pakistan international airlines are not operating From Islamabad
4. No operation of Aer Lingus flights from Cork and Shannon
5. No operation to more German city’s (Only operating 3 cities with two airlines)
6. Air India are not operating to fully operational standards and needs to be increased capacity.

It’s getting better but just with a smart steady pace

April 2019 passenger levels to Dubai would be covered by a daily A380 and B777, which we get back from Saturday. I'd expect Dubai to be back to 2019 levels (or close enough) by the end of the year.

Turkmenistan had stopped flying to BHX by 2019 so won't affect the recovery back to 2019 levels.

Islamabad accounted for just 0.9% of passenger levels in April 2019, so whilst it would be good to get the route served again, the lack of the route isn't holding BHX back from recovery.

Cork was busier in 2023 than 2019, and Shannon was back to 95%.

Delhi and Amritsar carried 80% MORE passengers in 2023 than 2019, so I'm not sure how they can't be "operating to fully operational standards".

The one that you are spot on with is Germany, and by numbers it is the market that BHX is down on by most compared to 2019 - April 2023 was down by just over 40,000 passengers or almost 700 passengers in each direction per day (equivalent to almost 4 A320s a day).

The top 5 markets that BHX was down most on in April 2023 vs 2019 were:

Germany: -40,498
Spain: -26,274
Ireland: -18,537
France: -17,606
UAE: -13,547

The top 5 markets that BHX was up most on in April 2023 vs 2019 were:

Turkey: +18,823
Greece: +9,916
Italy: +8,683
Portugal: +8,657
Romania: +6,893

Markets BHX has lost altogether (Apr 23 vs Apr 19) were Qatar, Pakistan, Slovakia and Dominican Republic, which collectively accounted for ~30,000 passengers.

Markets new to BHX (Apr 23 vs Apr 19) were Sweden and Iceland, which collectively accounted for ~5,500 passengers.

 

[nwoody2001]

The initially schedule of the New Easyjet Base from BHX in March has just added a new 30x weekly flights to BHX and another German City (Berlin) so that will also help...

Hopeful once the full Summer'24 Easyjet Schedule is released, 2024 could be a record year for pax?!

 

[IanFarquharson]

June pax will be around 1,125,000

 

[Scottie Dog]

An updated version of April's stats now that the CAA have published Table 3

View attachment 28660

 

[IanFarquharson]

Thanks Scottie

 

[adamak1]

It’s a shame the airport doesn’t publish its monthly pax figures like some other airports do. Instead we have to wait months for the CAA.

 

[IanFarquharson]

It’s a shame the airport doesn’t publish its monthly pax figures like some other airports do. Instead we have to wait months for the CAA.

June will be around 1.130m

 

[adamak1]

June will be around 1.130m

Thanks! Do you by any chance know what the pax figure was for May?

 

[JENNYJET]

If I may suggest a theory since I do not have the inside knowledge of BHX> It is likely, in my view, that the airport through it's technology, collects data such as load factors for each flight, revenues collected from each aircraft arriving and departing, immigration movements via passport data and biometrics, ticketing being recorded at checking in etc., all collected and sent on electronically to the CAA where it is collated, analysed and curated ready for publication.

I may of course be totally wrong!

 

[IanFarquharson]

Thanks! Do you by any chance know what the pax figure was for May?

1.005m in May

If I may suggest a theory since I do not have the inside knowledge of BHX> It is likely, in my view, that the airport through it's technology, collects data such as load factors for each flight, revenues collected from each aircraft arriving and departing, immigration movements via passport data and biometrics, ticketing being recorded at checking in etc., all collected and sent on electronically to the CAA where it is collated, analysed and curated ready for publication.

I may of course be totally wrong!

Correct

 

[Matt995]

May passenger figures now added:-

2023	Month
Airport	January 23	February 23	March 23	April 23	May 23	Grand Total
ABERDEEN	148,392	150,397	173,898	180,809	202,154	855,650
ALDERNEY	3,043	2,919	3,548	4,282	4,668	18,460
BARRA	593	790	898	1,184	1,366	4,831
BELFAST CITY (GEORGE BEST)	143,536	145,217	163,251	170,172	166,854	789,030
BELFAST INTERNATIONAL	290,880	333,051	392,405	540,744	562,200	2,119,280
BENBECULA	2,047	2,179	2,493	2,519	2,914	12,152
BIGGIN HILL	476	427	265	209	850	2,227
BIRMINGHAM	638,341	659,385	779,097	858,919	1,002,343	3,938,085
BLACKPOOL	1,127	968	1,184	1,042	1,245	5,566
BOURNEMOUTH	39,415	35,980	44,161	64,013	101,150	284,719
BRISTOL	467,014	552,035	648,477	812,327	957,782	3,437,635
CAMPBELTOWN	323	438	462	517	745	2,485
CARDIFF WALES	37,377	35,765	44,798	54,398	78,213	250,551
CITY OF DERRY (EGLINTON)	10,400	11,256	11,764	13,443	12,896	59,759
DONCASTER SHEFFIELD	-	-	-	-	-	-
DUNDEE	2,566	2,345	2,794	3,398	3,570	14,673
EAST MIDLANDS INTERNATIONAL	137,182	137,266	183,500	312,723	392,481	1,163,152
EDINBURGH	823,542	835,047	1,009,599	1,198,258	1,289,223	5,155,669
EXETER	19,736	20,830	24,749	32,116	43,040	140,471
GATWICK	2,158,602	2,405,123	2,902,591	3,297,791	3,677,630	14,441,737
GLASGOW	403,866	410,440	516,429	590,851	728,760	2,650,346
GUERNSEY	39,072	42,945	50,603	57,855	61,680	252,155
HEATHROW	5,488,215	5,200,424	6,234,096	6,398,870	6,726,921	30,048,526
HUMBERSIDE	7,591	7,515	8,915	9,128	12,349	45,498
INVERNESS	40,730	46,874	53,838	76,009	82,344	299,795
ISLAY	1,325	1,683	2,333	2,491	2,983	10,815
ISLE OF MAN	42,868	46,477	51,471	55,312	54,156	250,284
ISLES OF SCILLY (ST.MARYS)	2,510	2,396	3,237	6,059	8,871	23,073
JERSEY	72,820	81,313	100,464	128,377	132,217	515,191
KIRKWALL	8,796	9,105	10,460	10,531	13,984	52,876
LANDS END (ST JUST)	2,196	2,388	3,086	5,055	6,713	19,438
LEEDS BRADFORD	174,167	193,486	235,958	304,588	385,372	1,293,571
LERWICK (TINGWALL)	73	121	174	232	313	913
LIVERPOOL (JOHN LENNON)	239,480	255,893	287,818	373,572	380,454	1,537,217
LONDON CITY	218,265	226,255	289,335	286,692	308,845	1,329,392
LUTON	989,393	1,069,833	1,245,137	1,402,365	1,536,722	6,243,450
MANCHESTER	1,633,728	1,663,358	1,914,129	2,177,868	2,505,927	9,895,010
NEWCASTLE	240,146	244,258	300,969	366,331	467,480	1,619,184
NEWQUAY	14,764	11,078	17,537	36,676	39,946	120,001
NORWICH	19,114	19,578	22,063	22,910	38,104	121,769
PRESTWICK	17,156	16,680	25,280	56,820	59,235	175,171
SOUTHAMPTON	46,918	50,383	60,667	61,999	63,598	283,565
STANSTED	1,821,006	1,711,580	1,969,449	2,351,488	2,549,334	10,402,857
STORNOWAY	6,800	6,876	8,100	7,416	9,926	39,118
SUMBURGH	17,183	17,009	20,277	20,786	23,587	98,842
TEESSIDE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT	10,822	10,888	12,944	17,988	21,494	74,136
TIREE	518	557	742	1,083	1,316	4,216
WICK JOHN O GROATS	628	668	810	890	916	3,912
Grand Total	16,484,742	16,681,479	19,836,255	22,379,106	24,724,871	100,106,453

 

[Nibbles]

Bristol is doing well. I dont consider it on the same scale as Birmingham, but the numbers are very close (albeit Birmingham still down on where it was pre-covid). Presumably this is the easyJet base effect?

On that theme, i was playing golf the other day with an easyJet pilot based at Gatwick. He's very much looking forward to flying from Birmingham next year. Seems the base transfer requests for Birmingham are red hot. It'll be exciting to see the passenger numbers this time next year!

Do you have the data to overlay monthly passenger numbers with the same months in 2019?

 

[Scottie Dog]

A quick update from me, whilst on holiday!

As usual there is a difference between the figures from the CAA Table 9 - as quoted by @Matt995 - and those reached by using Tables 12.1 & 12.3 which I use to show the international/domestic split. No doubt both of us are correct in our own way!!

View attachment 28807

View attachment 28808

 

[IanFarquharson]

July 2023 pax will land at about 1,230,000 which is 18% up on last July.
But still 9% down on 2019 and 14% down on 2017
Hopefully 2024 will see us get back closer to 2017 levels with the easyjet base etc.

 

[IanFarquharson]

June 2023

HEATHROW		7,041,003​		up		17.5​	%
GATWICK		4,052,394​		up		16.8​	%
MANCHESTER		2,789,681​		up		15.0​	%
STANSTED		2,593,216​		up		10.9​	%
LUTON		1,549,590​		up		14.4​	%
EDINBURGH		1,398,433​		up		18.0​	%
BIRMINGHAM		1,131,416​		up		8.4​	%
BRISTOL		1,028,307​		up		15.0​	%
GLASGOW		763,264​		up		10.3​	%
BELFAST INT		591,027​		up		23.5​	%
NEWCASTLE		515,135​		up		5.9​	%
EAST MIDLANDS		487,747​		up		22.3​	%
LEEDS BRADFORD		447,022​		up		10.6​	%
LIVERPOOL		399,269​		up		14.3​	%
LONDON CITY		325,284​		up		3.5​	%
ABERDEEN		208,531​		up		9.1​	%
BELFAST CITY		178,618​		up		27.0​	%
JERSEY		145,542​		up		8.5​	%
BOURNEMOUTH		114,958​		up		31.6​	%
CARDIFF WALES		102,267​		down		-11.4​	%
INVERNESS		82,594​		up		19.7​	%
SOUTHAMPTON		68,875​		up		16.8​	%
GUERNSEY		66,697​		up		3.6​	%
ISLE OF MAN		66,050​		up		12.5​	%
PRESTWICK		61,812​		up		12.4​	%
EXETER		51,894​		up		9.3​	%
NEWQUAY		47,396​		up		79.7​	%
NORWICH		40,130​		up		4.2​	%
TEESSIDE		25,939​		up		25.0​	%
SUMBURGH		24,064​		up		3.7​	%
SOUTHEND		23,794​		up		54.8​	%
KIRKWALL		14,503​		up		8.6​	%
HUMBERSIDE		14,395​		up		30.3​	%
CITY OF DERRY (EGLINTON)		14,138​		down		-8.0​	%
STORNOWAY		9,617​		up		2.5​	%
ISLES OF SCILLY (ST.MARYS)		8,453​		down		-17.2​	%
LANDS END (ST JUST)		6,464​		down		-2.2​	%
ALDERNEY		4,328​		down		-21.3​	%
DUNDEE		3,840​		down		-4.9​	%
ISLAY		3,025​		up		15.2​	%
BENBECULA		2,845​		up		1.8​	%
BLACKPOOL		1,415​		down		-10.3​	%
BARRA		1,395​		up		1.5​	%
TIREE		1,268​		up		6.2​	%
WICK JOHN O GROATS		954​		up		19.1​	%
CAMPBELTOWN		715​		up		18.6​	%
BIGGIN HILL		592​		up		138.7​	%
LERWICK (TINGWALL)		446​		up		40.3​	%
DONCASTER SHEFFIELD		0​				Null	%

 

[IanFarquharson]

These figures compare 12m pax figure at 30.06.23 compared to best ever rolling 12m pax figure

Heathrow – 72,629,571 – 81,060,616 – down 10.4%

Gatwick - 38,189,923 – 46,641,853 – down 18.1%

Stansted – 26,474,656 – 28,479,201 – down 7.6%

Manchester – 26,224,638 – 29,463,707 – down 11.0%

Luton – 15,439,181 – 18,270,337 – down 15.5%

Edinburgh – 13,108,439 – 14,772,443 – down 11.3%

Birmingham – 10,739,263 – 13,058,440 – down 17.8%

Bristol – 9,030,137 – 9,015,726 – up 0.1%

Glasgow – 7,116,645 – 9,907,504 – down 28.2%

Belfast Int – 5,255,255 – 6,508,170 – down 19.2%

Liverpool – 3,926,733 – 5,079,042 – down 22.7%

Leeds Bradford – 3,689,194 – 4,082,864 – down 9.6%

East Midlands – 3,521,612 – 4,878,781 – down 27.8%

June 2023

DUBLIN	61,838​		up		8.3​	%
PALMA	60,430​		up		11.4​	%
AMSTERDAM	46,698​		down		-3.3​	%
DUBAI	41,789​		up		12.9​	%
ANTALYA	36,426​		down		-3.9​	%
ALICANTE	31,660​		down		-11.1​	%
DALAMAN	30,562​		up		18.3​	%
FARO	29,611​		down		-8.7​	%
MALAGA	29,176​		down		-15.8​	%
TENERIFE	28,485​		down		-2.4​	%
BARCELONA	22,720​		up		7.1​	%
IBIZA	22,456​		up		0.9​	%
FRANKFURT	22,213​		up		20.2​	%
PARIS (CDG)	21,431​		down		-2.3​	%
ARRECIFE	19,315​		down		-0.3​	%
CORFU	18,415​		up		10.9​	%
RHODES	17,613​		down		-10.2​	%
ISTANBUL	16,967​		up		23.1​	%
LARNACA	16,243​		up		0.2​	%
ZAKINTHOS	16,006​		down		-3.8​	%
LAS PALMAS	15,430​		up		3.1​	%
HERAKLION	13,887​		down		-10.0​	%
MAHON	13,531​		up		0.7​	%
KOS	13,277​		down		-2.5​	%
PAPHOS	13,173​		down		-11.9​	%
BUCHAREST	12,773​		down		-1.8​	%
REUS	11,979​		up		25.4​	%
MUNICH	11,411​		down		-10.4​	%
DUSSELDORF	10,373​		up		26.7​	%
FUERTEVENTURA	10,005​		down		-16.5​	%
KRAKOW	9,989​		up		9.5​	%
VERONA	9,956​		up		25.4​	%
GIRONA	9,801​		up		81.2​	%
NAPLES	8,368​		up		48.1​	%
KEFALLINIA	7,981​		up		2.2​	%
MALTA	7,914​		up		1.4​	%
DUBROVNIK	7,672​		down		-1.7​	%
BODRUM	7,203​		down		-6.1​	%
IZMIR	6,720​		up		14.6​	%
LISBON	6,679​		n/a		0.0​	%
CANCUN	6,647​		down		-10.4​	%
BRUSSELS	6,137​		up		74.6​	%
ALMERIA	6,102​		down		-2.6​	%
CORK	6,050​		up		55.6​	%
CHANIA	5,989​		up		33.5​	%
ZURICH	5,934​		n/a		0.0​	%
ROME (FCO)	5,896​		up		105.0​	%
PRAGUE	5,869​		up		18.3​	%
DELHI	5,658​		n/a		0.0​	%
THIRA	5,600​		up		3.4​	%
AMRITSAR	5,554​		up		243.1​	%
MELBOURNE	5,476​		up		30.8​	%
VENICE	5,437​		up		88.1​	%
BURGAS	5,294​		up		67.0​	%
SKIATHOS	5,229​		down		-3.2​	%
ATHENS	5,196​		up		63.0​	%
ILHA DO SAL C.VERDE	5,110​		up		0.2​	%
MONTEGO BAY	5,012​		down		-17.6​	%
PUNTA CANA	4,917​		down		-14.1​	%
BOA VISTA	4,814​		up		45.8​	%
SALONIKA	4,737​		up		5.0​	%
WARSAW (MODLIN)	4,709​		up		4.9​	%
SHARM EL SHEIKH	4,664​		down		-4.4​	%
PARIS (ORLY)	4,480​		up		130.8​	%
CRAIOVA	4,403​		up		12.0​	%
BERGAMO	4,366​		up		59.0​	%
HURGHADA	4,330​		down		-6.3​	%
SHANNON	4,191​		up		80.9​	%
FUNCHAL	4,029​		up		1.6​	%
MURCIA	4,009​		up		45.9​	%
BYDGOSZCZ	3,887​		down		-13.9​	%
MADRID	3,734​		up		33.7​	%
IRELAND WEST	3,644​		up		90.7​	%
WARSAW (CHOPIN)	3,534​		up		15.0​	%
PISA	3,435​		up		180.0​	%
BUDAPEST	3,410​		down		-37.5​	%
ENFIDHA	3,228​		up		19.2​	%
GENEVA	3,160​		up		14.7​	%
SOFIA	3,130​		up		14.1​	%
STOCKHOLM	3,122​		up		127.9​	%
NICE	3,101​		n/a		0.0​	%
COPENHAGEN	3,052​		n/a		0.0​	%
WROCLAW	3,049​		n/a		0.0​	%
CLUJ NAPOCA	2,980​		up		5.6​	%
SANTANDER	2,759​		n/a		0.0​	%
POZNAN	2,730​		up		2.7​	%
PERPIGNAN	2,701​		down		-4.3​	%
SPLIT	2,663​		down		-13.6​	%
ZADAR	2,498​		up		45.1​	%
PREVEZA	2,497​		down		-12.5​	%
OPORTO	2,490​		down		-19.9​	%
PULA	2,388​		down		-10.6​	%
TOULOUSE	2,088​		n/a		0.0​	%
AGADIR	1,863​		up		13.3​	%
BORDEAUX	1,736​		down		-21.3​	%
CATANIA	1,657​		n/a		0.0​	%
MARRAKESH	1,645​		up		15.0​	%
BILLUND	1,585​		n/a		0.0​	%
KALAMATA	1,380​		up		7.1​	%
KAVALA	1,358​		up		10.4​	%
OLBIA	1,238​		n/a		0.0​	%
SALZBURG	1,132​		up		9.2​	%
INNSBRUCK	1,003​		up		40.5​	%
BERGERAC	874​		up		19.6​	%
MILAN (MALPENSA)	611​		n/a		0.0​	%
NANTES	426​		n/a		0.0​	%
TARBES	367​		up		100.5​	%
TEL AVIV	171​		n/a		0.0​	%
FLORENCE	95​		n/a		0.0​	%

 

[Brum X]

Easyjet can't come soon enough, we are seriously lagging behind the other big airports in post Covid growth.