CAA Provisional Statistics Update

[IanFarquharson]

Today was BHX's busiset day of 2025 at around 51k pax

 

[andrew.clarkson]

Hi there IanFarquharson, yes, great figure for one day, but imagine that number every day for 365 days, wow, that would be about 20 million plus passengers, wouldn't it

I correct my figures, it would be 18, 651,000.00. That figure would catch us up with Luton, then on the heals of Manchester airport, but that's a high pathetical scenario.

 

[mullion]

Based on those figures MAN would be about 50M but we can all dream

 

[Karl C]

I'm sure LGW would reach 50 million before any of the above mentioned.... hypothetically of course

 

[rollo]

Actually more relevant based on 51K yesterday equates to approximately 1.5 million passengers in July and August so I'm interested to see how the new security system copes along with arrivals/baggage claim.

Current wait times at security on Qsensor shows 6-20 minutes.

 

[mullion]

Guess LGW will have to get the 2nd runway to get there or it could get very interesting whereas MAN has the runway but parking could be interesting

 

[Karl C]

Guess LGW will have to get the 2nd runway to get there or it could get very interesting whereas MAN has the runway but parking could be interesting

London will mostly get what it wants and with all plans being given the green light at the moment, I'd say it's a given that LGW will reach 50 million before other airports in the UK

 

[Ianbutty]

Way it's growing EDI could beat them all. Counted 15 TATL flights in one day with some twice daily and all North American Airlines. Go EDI.

Will BHX ever reach 50 mppa? Even I, who optimistically forecast 14 mppa for this year would doubt that.

 

[David_itl]

and at this point we remember that MAN has more passenger on US routes.

2024: EDI 539724 MAN 932079

​

 

[IanFarquharson]

and at this point we remember that MAN has more passenger on US routes.

2024: EDI 539724 MAN 932079

​

EDI increasing rapidly and MAN a pale shadow of where it was 10 years ago.

400k difference but closing quickly.

 

[andrew.clarkson]

Unfortunately, Birmingham Airport is never going to be handling anymore than 15 million passengers, because it's not an airport that attracts what it should, but what it can only get, to what ever deals and incentives it can offer. Also, Birmingham airport will never again have any direct flights to North America or elsewhere.

 

[mullion]

Remember we didn`t have the Aer Lingus A330s

 

[HPsauce]

Unfortunately, Birmingham Airport is never going to be handling anymore than 15 million passengers, because it's not an airport that attracts what it should, but what it can only get, to what ever deals and incentives it can offer. Also, Birmingham airport will never again have any direct flights to North America or elsewhere.

On what basis do you make these statements?.
A very negative appraisal of BHX and it's targets in the future.

 

[IanFarquharson]

Unfortunately, Birmingham Airport is never going to be handling anymore than 15 million passengers, because it's not an airport that attracts what it should, but what it can only get, to what ever deals and incentives it can offer. Also, Birmingham airport will never again have any direct flights to North America or elsewhere.

What a load of rubbish !

BHX will pass 14m by 31.03.26
And then aims to add a minimum 1m pax per year for the next 5 years, so if all goes to plan 18m should be exceeded by 31.03.30

At this point the terminal will max out and if we are still growing there will need to be some serious expansion but to the terminal and aircraft parking.

With regard North American it is one of BHX's main focus and they will be talking to all of the 4 US airlines and there is a strong chance 1 or may 2 will start in the next year or so. In fact BHX may secure a US service by a US airline ahead of it rivals

 

[Iron Duck]

What BHX needs is a serious revamp and expansion of check in/security experience, we can forget any hopes of US carriers they will be straight out the door when crew get stuck in the lifts.

 

[nwoody2001]

What BHX needs is a serious revamp and expansion of check in/security experience, we can forget any hopes of US carriers they will be straight out the door when crew get stuck in the lifts.

Love it... as if to suggest that US Carriers are more superior than Qatar or Emirates!

Unfortunately, Birmingham Airport is never going to be handling anymore than 15 million passengers, because it's not an airport that attracts what it should, but what it can only get, to what ever deals and incentives it can offer. Also, Birmingham airport will never again have any direct flights to North America or elsewhere.

I can't wait to hear the rationale behind this baseless monologue...

 

[andrew.clarkson]

Hi there IanFarquharson, if I'm talking a load of rubbish that you imply, so which airline that serves Birmingham airport, is going to provide the extra one million plus passengers a year up to 31.03.2030, that will achieve 18 million passengers.

 

[Matt995]

Hi there IanFarquharson, if I'm talking a load of rubbish that you imply, so which airline that serves Birmingham airport, is going to provide the extra one million plus passengers a year up to 31.03.2030, that will achieve 18 million passengers.

It will be more than one airline Andrew, you would expect the current airlines likes Easyjet, Jet2 and Ryanair to keep expanding yearly, the likes of Qatar, Saudi, Emirates, Air India, Turkish to increase flights, European airlines old and new, maybe a Wizz Air base, Royal Jordanian, and who knows what other Middle Eastern, & North Atlantic airlines might start flights, alot can change in aviation quite quickly in the space of 4 years!

 

[IanFarquharson]

Hi there IanFarquharson, if I'm talking a load of rubbish that you imply, so which airline that serves Birmingham airport, is going to provide the extra one million plus passengers a year up to 31.03.2030, that will achieve 18 million passengers.

18m by 2030 are the airports own predictions, they know where the pax are coming from as they are talking to current and new airlines all the time.
To put this into context an additional based aircraft adds between 275,000 to 300,000 seats per annum.
An extra daily Emirates 777 would add 310,000 seats per annum or an additional Qatar 788 would add 185,000 seats per annum.
The above is not factoring in new airlines starting in the next few years.
You will see that adding an additional 1m pax per annum is quite easy.

 

[nwoody2001]

18m by 2030 are the airports own predictions, they know where the pax are coming from as they are talking to current and new airlines all the time.
To put this into context an additional based aircraft adds between 275,000 to 300,000 seats per annum.
An extra daily Emirates 777 would add 310,000 seats per annum or an additional Qatar 788 would add 185,000 seats per annum.
The above is not factoring in new airlines starting in the next few years.
You will see that adding an additional 1m pax per annum is quite easy.

I mean you speak utter sense and logic. However, people like @andrew.clarkson measure success emotionally and with the likes of a new direct flight to the USA. Ignoring the fact that 1x daily flight to JFK will add the same number of passengers as a new 1x daily flight to Alicante, they will be fixated on BHX not having direct flights to the USA and their for doomed to fail!

Yes there are and will be challenges on the horizon for aviation, with global conflict, economic uncertainty and random curve-balls - no-one saw covid on the horizon! But their are equally great opportunities to be positive about...

• Our 3 biggest airlines at BHX (Ryanair, Jet2, Easyjet) seem committed to compete and grow at the airport
• Wizz seems keen to grow at BHX with great potential for growth
• Long-haul at BHX continues to grow, with the likes of EK and QR continuing to be strong, as does TK
• And then there are new airlines on the horizon which BHX continues to talk with...