CAA Provisional Statistics Update

[andrew.clarkson]

So, 19 million passengers by 2030.

 

[nwoody2001]

I believe as of the end of July BHX were around 13,390,000 pax, though will have to wait till next month CAA stats for the to be confirmed…

 

[IanFarquharson]

So, 19 million passengers by 2030.

18m by 2030 and which stage the termainal will max out

 

[Ianbutty]

18m by 2030 and which stage the termainal will max out

In which case, and given how lousy the British are at infrastructure, they had better start with the planning now for the terminal expansion to cope post 2030...I have a tent going.

Time for them to think big. Aim for 30 mmpa capacity, as they once did.

 

[Iron Duck]

66% on Dubai is crap. Hopefully they don’t pull back at BHX .

 

[IanFarquharson]

EK in July was about 84% and QR was 93%

 

[nwoody2001]

66% on Dubai is crap. Hopefully they don’t pull back at BHX .

It really isn't....

June is still quiet for the MEB3. The school holidays are yet to start in the UK and June is not the weather you want to visit DXB itself. The last 3 years have varied between 40-42k at BHX. This year was lowest but that's every UK route EK operates to the UK has seen falls compared to June 2024:

LHR: -7%
LGW: -0%
MAN: -7%
STN: -8%
BHX: -4%
NCL: -3%
GLA: -8%

In fact dare I say, BHX fared pretty damn well compared. If they consider pulling back at BHX in that regard, a lot of other UK airports should be worried...

 

[IanFarquharson]

Manchester in June saw an average load of 427, so in theory if they had 3 daily HD 77W’s all pax could have been accomodated

 

[Iron Duck]

It really isn't....

June is still quiet for the MEB3. The school holidays are yet to start in the UK and June is not the weather you want to visit DXB itself. The last 3 years have varied between 40-42k at BHX. This year was lowest but that's every UK route EK operates to the UK has seen falls compared to June 2024:

LHR: -7%
LGW: -0%
MAN: -7%
STN: -8%
BHX: -4%
NCL: -3%
GLA: -8%

In fact dare I say, BHX fared pretty damn well compared. If they consider pulling back at BHX in that regard, a lot of other UK airports should be worried...

Why not just show the load factors for each airport though? -8% on what? Spinning everything as positive is not helpful. This forum might as well be called “Birmingham Airport Press Office” if everything is sunshine and rainbows like you portray it as

We need a bigger premium offering to attract pax away from the bigger airports

 

[Birmingham Aviation]

Manchester in June saw an average load of 427, so in theory if they had 3 daily HD 77W’s all pax could have been accomodated

Stupid question alert from me.Why can’t we just go with 3x daily B77W.Sell easier plus more choice of options to connect to the rest of the world

 

[IanFarquharson]

Why not just show the load factors for each airport though? -8% on what? Spinning everything as positive is not helpful. This forum might as well be called “Birmingham Airport Press Office” if everything is sunshine and rainbows like you portray it as

We need a bigger premium offering to attract pax away from the bigger airports

Down 8% on July 2024, nothing to do with load factor !

Stupid question alert from me.Why can’t we just go with 3x daily B77W.Sell easier plus more choice of options to connect to the rest of the world

I would be happy with that or 3 x A359's

Expect August LF's to be around EK 95%, QR 98%, AI 86%, SV 74%

 

[Birmingham Aviation]

I would be happy with that or 3 x A359's

The question I ask is do we need the A380.My answer would be no because of demand and especially after Covid.I remember pre COVID we had 2 daily A380s but it’s good to see it every once a day however it does carry the old 3rd daily passengers and lunchtime passengers if you understand where I am coming from.

Even a B77W X2 1 A350 would suit it like you agreed with me just

 

[nwoody2001]

Why not just show the load factors for each airport though? -8% on what? Spinning everything as positive is not helpful. This forum might as well be called “Birmingham Airport Press Office” if everything is sunshine and rainbows like you portray it as

We need a bigger premium offering to attract pax away from the bigger airports

Because a) the CAA stats dont show the Load Factors and b) given the different configs of different EK aircraft on different routes across the UK, i dont know what the load factors would be. I'm just quoting the stats put infront of us and comparing them against other airports... im not here to say everything is rainbows, but you and your previous posts seem intent on posting everything as thunderstorms...

If you want to post the Load Factors for each airport, please feel free to do so, id be interested to see what they are!

We need a bigger premium offering to attract pax away from the bigger airports

I'm not sure sure how that works.... Replacing 50 economy seats with 8 first class seats is not going to attract pax, in fact its going to reduced pax capacity! Yes the airline yields maybe up but it isnt going to increase pax capacity... not unless you add an additional flight....

 

[GeorgeNTravels]

If you want to post the Load Factors for each airport, please feel free to do so, id be interested to see what they are!

I didn't work these out cause of this post, but EDI was 87.32% on an A350 and GLA was 84.92% on a 3 class A380

 

[nwoody2001]

Down 8% on July 2024, nothing to do with load factor !


I would be happy with that or 3 x A359's

Noooooo A359s have 321 Seats. 3x daily would be 1,872 seats daily. Our current 77W (421 seats) and 388 (615 seats) provides 2,072 seats a day... i do hope that in the near future we will have one of each on the route but tie will tell...

I didn't work these out cause of this post, but EDI was 87.32% on an A350 and GLA was 84.92% on a 3 class A380

Useful to see... thank you!

 

[Scottie Dog]

Here is my take on the CAA data for June:

 

[nwoody2001]

To think that MAD and BER were unserved from BHX for years and seems so had to attract back...

Now Madrid carrying nearly 8,000 Pax (+140%) in June - Thanks Ryanair
Now Berlin carrying over 10,000 Pax (+32%) in June - Thanks Easyjet

Also good to see JED up 47% with no real increase in capacity, just improving Load Factors....

 

[IanFarquharson]

To think that MAD and BER were unserved from BHX for years and seems so had to attract back...

Now Madrid carrying nearly 8,000 Pax (+140%) in June - Thanks Ryanair
Now Berlin carrying over 10,000 Pax (+32%) in June - Thanks Easyjet

Also good to see JED up 47% with no real increase in capacity, just improving Load Factors....

Thanks Ryanair too on Berlin

 

[nwoody2001]

As we get to the last day of August, its worth noting that while we will have to wait a few weeks or months for the final figures....

August will have been the Busiest Month on Record at BHX with over 1.5 Million Pax - the first time this milestone has been passed in a month at the airport.

August will also have seen the Busiest Day in its history, which i believe will have topped 53,500 Pax in a single day. That's almost the equivalent of 88x full A380 in a single day for some context.

Yes things have been far from perfect. The airport in parts is still a building site, other parts of the terminal require investment, and we had to deal with an emergency landing which closed the airport for nearly half a day... but, its been a record breaking month for many great reasons.

Lets hope this growth continue and the airport continue to invest in supporting this growth. Another summer season drawing to a close. Lets see what Winter 25/26 has in store!

 

[Ray Finkle]

Yes things have been far from perfect. The airport in parts is still a building site, other parts of the terminal require investment, and we had to deal with an emergency landing which closed the airport for nearly half a day... but, its been a record breaking month for many great reasons.

The biggest thing for me is the improvement over last year.

Definitely far from perfect but works are still ongoing so I'll be very interested to see how things are in S26.

I think the airport have done all they can with the current site so looking forward to the amended master plan next year, hopefully some expansion will be sooner rather than later.