- Moderator
- #1
With the demise of Doncaster Sheffield Airport I thought that I would start a record of CAA data for Humberside.
View attachment 27722
View attachment 27722
Follow along with the video below to see how to install our site as a web app on your home screen.
Note: This feature may not be available in some browsers.
Load factors arent looking good.The CAA has now provided data for December and, after a slight delay caused by my having to prioritise the wishes of "Mrs Scottie Dog", here is my take.
Comparative table for 2022 v 2021
View attachment 27775
Route analysis
View attachment 27776
Probably load-factors (Flight data from FR24 and seating from planespotters.net)
View attachment 27777
I don’t think those are an issue for Eastern. It might be worth waiting to see how Jan and Feb go first. Let’s not forget that two of those December flights were operated on an E-Jet!Load factors arent looking good.
Might get some but Billund is the normal choice for Legoland and with Ryanair flying from Manchester it's going to be much cheaper to drive over there.Esbjerg averaging around 7-8 passengers per sector in January, which seems low. Hope it picks up a bit on the back of continued advertising of the route, but when they start off slow they tend to fizzle out. I think they’re hoping to get some legoland visitors on board in the summer months, be interesting to see whether that works out.
Having looked at the fares, I think once you have paid for the Ryanair extras there’s probably not a lot of difference in it. Problem is how many seats are they selling at those prices, as if all seats are being sold at the lowest rate it’s not going to be breaking even I wouldn’t have thought. However, if the people using it are paying for the flexible fare it probably is paying its way.Might get some but Billund is the normal choice for Legoland and with Ryanair flying from Manchester it's going to be much cheaper to drive over there.
I was thinking along the lines of there commonly being 2 adults and 2 children in a party visiting Legoland so even say a £50 premium per person soon adds up. You would also have the cost of getting from Esbjerg to Legoland, which wont be cheap.Having looked at the fares, I think once you have paid for the Ryanair extras there’s probably not a lot of difference in it. Problem is how many seats are they selling at those prices, as if all seats are being sold at the lowest rate it’s not going to be breaking even I wouldn’t have thought. However, if the people using it are paying for the flexible fare it probably is paying its way.
I suspect like you say, that tourist traffic is most likely negligible to non existent on the route so the chances of selling flexible fares are higher. See whether it continues long into the summer.
Although small numbers, encouraging to see EBJ load factors increase by around 10%. Be interesting to see whether this grows further as we enter summer. Also interested to see how NQY does with the increased frequency. AMS is quite frankly depressing compared to pre-covid and it’s somewhat concerning that the airports HUY has historically outperformed on this route have returned to a pretty much normal 3xdaily service now, whereas HUY still operating to a sporadic schedule and ATC still closing the airport at 18:30 on an evening - reopening only on request or for KLM when they have a night stopper.Slightly belatedly, but here is my take on the CAA data for February:
View attachment 28207
View attachment 28208
Load Factors:
View attachment 28209
That depends on whether TUI have spare aircraft and crews available. If they have got them, would HUY be the priority to deploy them to, or are there other routes from other airports that would give a higher yield?Can't understand why TUI have not increased their offering for HUY. I'm sure a weekly ALC and a Turkish airport could be filled.
The airport is effectively closed at 17:15 every day with no plans on changing that. Reason keeps being highlighted as ATC staffing issues. It effectively narrows down the possibility of flying into Humberside between 8 and 5, unless they want to pay out of hours or can time it with a KLM arrival and still probably pay a small fortune for the privilege. This is simply unsustainable in my view and the sooner Bristow sell up the better, there’s a market of 1.5 million within 45 minutes of the airport, that is not small and is much bigger than Teesside and Norwich.That depends on whether TUI have spare aircraft and crews available. If they have got them, would HUY be the priority to deploy them to, or are there other routes from other airports that would give a higher yield?
Excepting Amsterdam load factors look really poor.
Subscribe to help support your favourite forum and in return we'll remove all our advertisements. Your contribution will help to pay for things like site maintenance, domain name renewals and annual server charges.